NZ - Waverley - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

14.4K

VIEW

Verdict

PERUGIA (2) has found it hard to win another race, and she ran on strongly from well back when finishing runner-up at Te Aroha 12 days ago. She looks to be extremely well-placed in this field, and she is the one to beat. JAEGER (1) needed the run badly at New Plymouth 11 days ago, and he has much less time between runs this time. He slides down in class and can make amends. Hard to beat. TEARS OF VICTORY (3) dropped into this class at Hawera last time out and ran a vastly improved race for fifth. She has the pole position this time, and Bruno Queiroz sticks with her. Each way value. PADDY GIFT (5) has been well below what he is capable of for some time. This company will hold no fears for him, and he would not be a total shock winner of this. One more chance. FOOL ME ONCE (8) is a staying type of mare resuming from a spell. A recent third at the trials, will ensure that she is ready to rumble fresh. Check the market moves.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
2	Most recently 2nd of 13 at Te Aroha on March 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Berenhard with 128lbs at $3.90. Before that 15th of 17 at Ellerslie Rating 65 on January 31 over 1m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Aksil with 125lbs at $48.30. Sure to measure up again. 1st Pick 2 Perugia Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Autridge J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Autridge	130	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 13 at Te Aroha on March 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Berenhard with 128lbs at $3.90. Before that 15th of 17 at Ellerslie Rating 65 on January 31 over 1m, on a slow track, 14 len behind Aksil with 125lbs at $48.30. Sure to measure up again.
1	At the latest run second last of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on March 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Roaring Bebe carrying 126lbs at $10.70. The race before that 8th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on January 24 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 12 len behind Ayteem with 129lbs at $8. No surprise if he turned things around. 2nd Pick 1 Jaeger Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Craig Grylls T: Robbie Patterson	130	-	-	-	29%
Analysis At the latest run second last of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on March 7 over 7f, on a slow track, 9 len behind Roaring Bebe carrying 126lbs at $10.70. The race before that 8th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on January 24 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 12 len behind Ayteem with 129lbs at $8. No surprise if he turned things around.
3	At the latest run 5th of 10 at Hawera on February 27 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Mille Grazie with 128lbs at $11.10. The start before that raced on the pace before fading to run last of 9 at Tauherenikau on February 6 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Leica Ripa with 127lbs at $10.80. Working up to a win. Rates highly in this line-up so expecting a much better run. 3rd Pick 3 Tears Of Victory Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge J: Bruno Queiroz T: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge	135	-	-	-	17%
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 10 at Hawera on February 27 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Mille Grazie with 128lbs at $11.10. The start before that raced on the pace before fading to run last of 9 at Tauherenikau on February 6 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Leica Ripa with 127lbs at $10.80. Working up to a win. Rates highly in this line-up so expecting a much better run.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.