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11:25 PM

NZ - Wanganui - Race 1

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
11.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

INTO THE CIRCLE (10) has been knocking on the door with another honest effort at Hawera, where he stuck on well for third over 6f. She has been a beaten favourite in each of her starts back from a spell, and she maps to be prominent again. On top again for us, so follow your money. NO LOVE LOST (11) caught the eye on debut at Otaki, finishing strongly into third in a similar field. She will naturally improve, and in this field, she will be right in the finish again. DIPLOMATIC (3) resumes after a 4-month break, and he showed enough in his initial prep to say he will be even stronger this prep. He is expected to be right in the finish fresh, especially if any money comes for him. DERRICK (2) can be forgiven for the latest effort at Otaki on a track that was firmer than he preferred after putting together back-to-back placings beforehand. Stick with him on a wet track. TOR MENT TOR (1) resumes from a wide draw, but if the track is heavy, then he is not the worst. Top 4 value.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Into The Circle silk

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Waverley on April 10 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Wailea with 125lbs at $2.70. Last start 3rd of 8 at Hawera on May 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Tongue In Cheek with 125lbs at $2.70. Profiles nicely. Expected to be very competitive.

1st Pick
10

Into The Circle

Jockey: Toni Davies

Trainer: Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley

J: Toni Davies

T: Bill Thurlow And Sam O'malley

92---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 9 at Waverley on April 10 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Wailea with 125lbs at $2.70. Last start 3rd of 8 at Hawera on May 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Tongue In Cheek with 125lbs at $2.70. Profiles nicely. Expected to be very competitive.

11
No Love Lost silk

At debut, held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.4 len behind Mercy carrying 122lbs at $23.90. Shows ability and expected to improve. Well-placed to get off the mark.

2nd Pick
11

No Love Lost

Jockey: Jim Chung

Trainer: Roydon Bergerson

J: Jim Chung

T: Roydon Bergerson

65---19%9/2

Analysis

At debut, held ground to the line 3rd of 11 at Otaki on May 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.4 len behind Mercy carrying 122lbs at $23.90. Shows ability and expected to improve. Well-placed to get off the mark.

3
Diplomatic silk

Dual acceptor. Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Otaki February 8 over 7f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Under Orders with 127lbs at $5.30. On debut fourth of 9 at Te Rapa December 20 over 6f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Confesara with 125lbs at $21.40. Has upside and can go on to better things this prep.

3rd Pick
3

Diplomatic

Jockey: Amber Riddell

Trainer: Gavin Sharrock

J: Amber Riddell

T: Gavin Sharrock

53---14%13/2

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Otaki February 8 over 7f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Under Orders with 127lbs at $5.30. On debut fourth of 9 at Te Rapa December 20 over 6f, soft track, 2.75 len behind Confesara with 125lbs at $21.40. Has upside and can go on to better things this prep.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.