NZ - Wingatui - Race 8

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

10.9K

VIEW

Verdict

DAVID MOSS (5) went huge on both days of the recent Winter Cup carnival at Riccarton, including his last start there when finishing third, in a race he could have won with a tad more luck, He has won here in the past, and would be a well deserved winner of this. SHAMEL EXPRESS (1) has been racing consistently since shifting to the South Island and racing from the beach stable of Amber Hoffman, and with the right run, he should go close to taking this out. ROCKMAN (2) is backing up 6-days after finishing sixth as the favourite at Riccarton over 7f. He will be a lot sharper now, and can make amends. Follow your money. PRETTY FLY (4) won his penultimate start here before finishing out of the money at Riccarton over 1 ?m when nearly 6 weeks between runs. She can bounce straight back into the money here. WILD JAKKAL (9) ran the race of an improver at Oamaru 3 weeks ago over 1 ?m, and a drop back to 1m should do him no harm. Stick with him for all combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Most recently 3rd of 18 at Riccarton Park on August 8 over 1m, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Bak De Ace carrying 126lbs at $72.60. The race before that 9th of 15 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Valley King with 127lbs at $35.40. Capable enough on his day and is one of the major players. 1st Pick 5 David Moss Jockey: Krishna Mudhoo Trainer: Jo-Ann Gordon J: Krishna Mudhoo T: Jo-Ann Gordon	108	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 18 at Riccarton Park on August 8 over 1m, in the wet, 1.3 len behind Bak De Ace carrying 126lbs at $72.60. The race before that 9th of 15 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on rain affected going, 8 len behind Valley King with 127lbs at $35.40. Capable enough on his day and is one of the major players.
1	Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Oamaru on August 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Winter Blaze carrying 130lbs at $3.40. The start before that 2nd of 14 at Oamaru on July 19 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Mininjagirl carrying 128lbs at $11.50. Looks very tough to beat. 2nd Pick 1 Shamel Express Jockey: Brett Murray Trainer: Amber Hoffman J: Brett Murray T: Amber Hoffman	125	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run made ground from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Oamaru on August 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Winter Blaze carrying 130lbs at $3.40. The start before that 2nd of 14 at Oamaru on July 19 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.1 len behind Mininjagirl carrying 128lbs at $11.50. Looks very tough to beat.
2	Last start 6th of 12 at Riccarton Park on August 29 over 7f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Beaver Fever carrying 130lbs at $4.20. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.75 len behind Bundy with 129lbs at $6.10. Finds a nice race this time and is right in contention. 3rd Pick 2 Rockman Jockey: Daniel Bothamley Trainer: Shankar Muniandy J: Daniel Bothamley T: Shankar Muniandy	106	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 6th of 12 at Riccarton Park on August 29 over 7f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Beaver Fever carrying 130lbs at $4.20. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Riccarton Park on August 1 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.75 len behind Bundy with 129lbs at $6.10. Finds a nice race this time and is right in contention.

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