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12 Min Till Start

NZ - Wingatui - Race 5

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
10.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MAGNASTAR (3) has all the form on the board, and is rock-hard fit for a testing 6f assignment. A good gate should ensure that he receives a nice run early on, and he get his best chance to break his winning duck on this course. INDIE ARDIE (2) could be the main threat to the top pick with plenty of upside. She resumes from a spell with some local jump-out form behind her, so don't take her lightly over a trip that is well short of her best. MONAGHAN BOY (1) made progress during an autumn campaign, and he is resuming at the right sort of level for him. He may need the run, but should be in the fight for a long time. MAMAEA (6) is another fresh runner, and she usually needs a run before hitting her straps. Follow any market confidence. MISS PEARL (5) is having her first run of the season for a new trainer and she has at least won fresh up in the past. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Magnastar silk

Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Oamaru on August 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 0.4 len behind Claudius Maximuss carrying 120lbs at $2.80. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on August 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Honor The Name with 119lbs at $24. Leading prospect.

1st Pick
3

Magnastar

Jockey: Ashlee Strawbridge

Trainer: Robert Dennis

J: Ashlee Strawbridge

T: Robert Dennis

120---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at Oamaru on August 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 0.4 len behind Claudius Maximuss carrying 120lbs at $2.80. The start before that 2nd of 12 at Riccarton Park on August 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Honor The Name with 119lbs at $24. Leading prospect.

2
Indie Ardie silk

Mare back from a spell of five-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Riccarton Park March 21 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Henry Thomas carrying 121lbs at $4. First up last campaign third of 8 at this track October 17 over 7 ½f, in the wet, 5 len behind Yoo Hoo Joy with 118lbs at $4.30. Can get the job done.

2nd Pick
2

Indie Ardie

Jockey: Cooper Stumbles

Trainer: Kelvin Tyler

J: Cooper Stumbles

T: Kelvin Tyler

69---19%9/2

Analysis

Mare back from a spell of five-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 9 at Riccarton Park March 21 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Henry Thomas carrying 121lbs at $4. First up last campaign third of 8 at this track October 17 over 7 ½f, in the wet, 5 len behind Yoo Hoo Joy with 118lbs at $4.30. Can get the job done.

1
Monaghan Boy silk

Is first-up after a break of three-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 11 at this track May 31 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Betty Spaghetti carrying 120lbs at $10.40. First up last campaign eighth of 10 at Riverton November 2 over 6f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind More Sass carrying 126lbs at $6.20. Among the better chances.

3rd Pick
1

Monaghan Boy

Jockey: Sima Mxothwa

Trainer: Kelvin Tyler

J: Sima Mxothwa

T: Kelvin Tyler

98---10%10/1

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of three-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fifth of 11 at this track May 31 over 7f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Betty Spaghetti carrying 120lbs at $10.40. First up last campaign eighth of 10 at Riverton November 2 over 6f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind More Sass carrying 126lbs at $6.20. Among the better chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

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An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.