NZ - Wingatui - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

30.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

DRAGON BISCUIT (3) has been racing consistently since joining the Cheri Trembath stable, and has been beaten by less than a length in his last couple of starts. His run of bad luck with his barrier draws will continue here, but with the right run, he can take this out. MARIA PILAR (12) built strongly to a well-deserved win at Gore by a nose nearly 7 weeks ago. The space between runs should not be an issue, and she can figure in the finish again here. SAILOR GIRL (6) followed up a hard-fought second with a game head win at Riverton just over 5 weeks ago. She should hold her form now, and another honest effort can be expected. Each way. BAKHITA (10) can mix her form and her last run for a fast finishing third was full of merit. A similar effort will take her close to winning this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Riccarton Park on January 24 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Moon Money with 131lbs at $5.90. The run before that 2nd of 14 at Riccarton Park on January 14 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Pizarro with 129lbs at $10.20. Has ability and is expected to run well. 1st Pick 3 Dragon Biscuit Jockey: Tina Comignaghi Trainer: Cheri Trembath J: Tina Comignaghi T: Cheri Trembath	134	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Riccarton Park on January 24 over 6f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Moon Money with 131lbs at $5.90. The run before that 2nd of 14 at Riccarton Park on January 14 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Pizarro with 129lbs at $10.20. Has ability and is expected to run well.
12	Racing well recently. Comes here off a 48-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at Gore December 21 over 6f in heavy going defeating Golden Spirit carrying 122lbs at $2.50. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Lucky Ferrando with 125lbs at $8.10. Sure to go close. 2nd Pick 12 Maria Pilar Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Kelly Shearing J: Amber Riddell T: Kelly Shearing	98	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Racing well recently. Comes here off a 48-day let-up. Most recently favourite, won by a nose at Gore December 21 over 6f in heavy going defeating Golden Spirit carrying 122lbs at $2.50. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 14 at Cromwell on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, neck behind Lucky Ferrando with 125lbs at $8.10. Sure to go close.
18	Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after nine months got back early 6th of 12 at Ascot Park on January 22 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bonsai Bob carrying 128lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up ran last of 9 at Te Rapa on May 3 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Force Of Nature carrying 117lbs at $20.30. Fitter and can break through. 3rd Pick 18 Dior Sauvage Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: John & Shane Phillips J: Non Runner T: John & Shane Phillips	83	-	-	-	8%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Second run back. First-up after nine months got back early 6th of 12 at Ascot Park on January 22 over 7f, slow going 4.5 len behind Bonsai Bob carrying 128lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up ran last of 9 at Te Rapa on May 3 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Force Of Nature carrying 117lbs at $20.30. Fitter and can break through.

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A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

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