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4:50 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 9

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
15.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BAK DE ACE (1) is a slow-maturing but promising gelding who set the pace at Otaki fresh up, and was only caught in the final stages when finishing second by a neck behind a smart type. He cops a wide gate here, but will relish the extra furlong. Stick with him, and follow your money. VOLUNTEER (8) has had no luck off a couple of wide gates in decent fields at Ellerslie. He gets a big swing in his draw this time, and Craig Grylls will keep the faith. He is a sound top 3 chance in this. MISISSIPI GAMBLER (10) has followed up her sound trial form with a couple of solid efforts to open her career. She tries a mile third up for the first time, and even though she is bred for further, she can have a say in the outcome of this race. Each way. ROCCADONNA (13) has been heading the right way with her form, and was a fast finishing third at Tauranga 4 weeks ago. The extra ½f means she could have the last say this time. COSMIC PURSUIT (2) is a progressive gelding with each-way claims again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Bak De Ace silk

Second-up. Promising on debut 3rd of 11 at Waverley on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind El Jaycee with 128lbs at $1.80. Returned from break gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 13 at Otaki on January 9 over 7f, long-neck behind Leica Ripa carrying 129lbs at $3.70. Fitter and worth following up.

1st Pick
1

Bak De Ace

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: George Rooke

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

147---15%6/1

Analysis

Second-up. Promising on debut 3rd of 11 at Waverley on February 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind El Jaycee with 128lbs at $1.80. Returned from break gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 13 at Otaki on January 9 over 7f, long-neck behind Leica Ripa carrying 129lbs at $3.70. Fitter and worth following up.

8
Volunteer silk

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 14 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Khaleesi carrying 129lbs at $8.70. Second-up 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on January 11 over 7f, 3 len behind Atkins with 129lbs at $7.20. Anticipating a big run.

2nd Pick
8

Volunteer

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Craig Grylls

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

78---13%7/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 14 at Tauranga on December 12 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind Khaleesi carrying 129lbs at $8.70. Second-up 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on January 11 over 7f, 3 len behind Atkins with 129lbs at $7.20. Anticipating a big run.

10
Misissipi Gambler silk

Third race start today. At debut, 3rd of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind Bubbles Up carrying 127lbs at $7.20. Last start 4th of 15 at this track on January 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Single Red carrying 125lbs at $6.20. Has improvement to come and is likely to run well again.

3rd Pick
10

Misissipi Gambler

Jockey: Vinnie Colgan

Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote

J: Vinnie Colgan

T: Ben & Ryan Foote

145---12%8/1

Analysis

Third race start today. At debut, 3rd of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 7f, on a slow track, neck behind Bubbles Up carrying 127lbs at $7.20. Last start 4th of 15 at this track on January 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Single Red carrying 125lbs at $6.20. Has improvement to come and is likely to run well again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.