NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

20.7K

VIEW

Verdict

NANCY SHE WROTE (1) is a very capable mare on her day, and racing in this direction seems to suit her best. She doesn't want it too wet, and she is worth including in all combos to be safe. EL ARISH (4) likes to run along in front, and he was only run down late at Pukekohe last time out, and before that, he was brave in third place at Matamata. Stick with him on an each-way basis. SWEET BUT PSYCHO (9) needed her fresh run at Tauranga when plugging on late for seventh on a heavy track when not many were running on that day. She has a good gate, and if she doesn't need this run as well, then she is capable of a top 4 finish. AMIRA D'ARGENTO (8) has been heading the right way with her form, and her last 2 starts have been her best on a turf surface. She cops a wide gate, but the extra 1f is what she has been looking for, and she has each-way claims again. ON THE TOWN (2) does not want it too wet, and he hit the line hard when finishing third at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago. Include him again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Most recently got back early 6th of 10 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 7f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Lachie with 123lbs at $9.90. The start before that got back early 6th of 8 at Trentham on March 1 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Anderson Bridge carrying 129lbs at $15.90. Rates highly and can improve sharply. 1st Pick 1 Nancy She Wrote Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote J: Sam Mcnab T: Ben & Ryan Foote	126	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Most recently got back early 6th of 10 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 7f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Lachie with 123lbs at $9.90. The start before that got back early 6th of 8 at Trentham on March 1 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Anderson Bridge carrying 129lbs at $15.90. Rates highly and can improve sharply.
4	Most recently faded in the straight 6th of 13 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Lupo Solitario carrying 120lbs at $14.40. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, slow going 0.3 len behind Thooza with 119lbs at $7.60. Certainly worth another chance. 2nd Pick 4 El Arish Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	122	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently faded in the straight 6th of 13 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Lupo Solitario carrying 120lbs at $14.40. Before that rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at Matamata on February 28 over 7f, slow going 0.3 len behind Thooza with 119lbs at $7.60. Certainly worth another chance.
9	Second-up. First-up after four months eased back early on 7th of 11 at Tauranga on March 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Butterfield with 121lbs at $18.90. Previously second-up ran last of 12 at this track on July 26 over 1m, in the wet, 7 len behind Tregor carrying 116lbs at $16.30. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 9 Sweet But Psycho Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	87	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months eased back early on 7th of 11 at Tauranga on March 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Butterfield with 121lbs at $18.90. Previously second-up ran last of 12 at this track on July 26 over 1m, in the wet, 7 len behind Tregor carrying 116lbs at $16.30. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.