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3:53 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
7.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
22.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

BELLA'S BOY (4) is in great form including a head 2nd here 3 starts back at this trip and came with a strong run to score over 1m here last month. Top show again. EL ARISH (9) battled on after getting a mile back in his first 2 starts since a spell over 6f and 7f then up to a mile, stayed handy, and too good at Tauranga last time. Has won 2 of 4 at this trip. UPTOWN (15) ran on well for 3rd when fresh at Ruakaka then charged home from beyond midfield to score over 1m here last start. Usually gets back so wide draw not too bad. ERIN GO BRAGH (1) placed only start at this trip and building nicely this prep, going down less than 1L last start at 7f. Include. TAJANA (7) ran on well when fresh at Ellerslie last month then missed the start a stride and got back last and copped a bad check on the turn in a G3 at Hastings. Easier here.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Bella's Boy silk

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Matamata on October 3 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Afterglo carrying 127lbs at $7. The run before that won by 2.25 len at this track on September 13 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Eliud carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Likely to feature again.

1st Pick
4

Bella's Boy

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Ralph Manning

J: George Rooke

T: Ralph Manning

98---12%8/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start raced on the pace when 2nd of 10 at Matamata on October 3 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Afterglo carrying 127lbs at $7. The run before that won by 2.25 len at this track on September 13 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Eliud carrying 132lbs at $3.10. Likely to feature again.

9
El Arish silk

Most recently came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 1m on a soft track defeating Hip Flask carrying 131lbs at $3.60. Before that 12th of 14 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, slow going 7 len behind Vanitygirl with 132lbs at $28. Big chance to go back-to-back.

2nd Pick
9

El Arish

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Joe Doyle

T: Stephen Marsh

70---3%33/1

Analysis

Most recently came from midfield and won by 0.7 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 1m on a soft track defeating Hip Flask carrying 131lbs at $3.60. Before that 12th of 14 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, slow going 7 len behind Vanitygirl with 132lbs at $28. Big chance to go back-to-back.

2
Bulgari silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Golden Wings with 125lbs at $13. Last start 5th of 11 at Matamata on October 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Magice carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Strips fitter and good enough to test this field.

3rd Pick
2

Bulgari

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Darryn & Briar Weatherley

J: Non Runner

T: Darryn & Briar Weatherley

88---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 5th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Golden Wings with 125lbs at $13. Last start 5th of 11 at Matamata on October 3 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Magice carrying 131lbs at $4.80. Strips fitter and good enough to test this field.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.