NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

20.7K

VIEW

Verdict

ORSON STONE (5) was a beaten favourite in a good field at the end of his initial prep, and probably lacked some strength at the time for his first run over a middle distance. He will be stronger now, and a recent trial will have him ready to rumble fresh, and his wide gate may even be an advantage on a heavy track. Check the market moves. ACCENTUATE (11) just battled fresh up after her saddle slipped just after the start, and that run is best ignored. She has a superior gate here, and she will have Craig Grylls replacing an apprentice this time, so give her another chance. WINWOOD (6) needed his debut run, and then caught the eye with a big finishing win by more than a length at Pukekohe just over 3 weeks ago. He has the scope to repeat the dose. SHINING PEARL (10) has raced his way into some good form, and he has raced well since winning his maiden in February. She cops a wide gate, but she is still worth including in all top 4 combos. WITH GRACE (15) has top 4 claims at big odds.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Resuming. Finished off last preparation sixth of 11 at Ellerslie December 26 over 1 5/16m, soft track, 5 len behind Reliable Squeeze with 129lbs at $3.80. On debut second of 13 at Trentham September 20 over 7f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Pacific Princess carrying 127lbs at $7.80. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 5 Orson Stone Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Elen Nicholas T: Andrew Forsman	68	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation sixth of 11 at Ellerslie December 26 over 1 5/16m, soft track, 5 len behind Reliable Squeeze with 129lbs at $3.80. On debut second of 13 at Trentham September 20 over 7f, soft track, 1.3 len behind Pacific Princess carrying 127lbs at $7.80. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.
11	Second-up. First-up after nine months 8th of 12 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 6f, in the wet, 3 len behind Nedelin carrying 120lbs at $11.80. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Otaki in the LR Ryder Stakes on July 26 over 6f, on heavy track, 14 len behind Platinum Diamond with 121lbs at $7. Worth following up. 2nd Pick 11 Accentuate Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	125	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months 8th of 12 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 6f, in the wet, 3 len behind Nedelin carrying 120lbs at $11.80. Previously second-up 6th of 8 at Otaki in the LR Ryder Stakes on July 26 over 6f, on heavy track, 14 len behind Platinum Diamond with 121lbs at $7. Worth following up.
6	Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 8 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Rocky Marciano with 128lbs at $6.10. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.3 len at Pukekohe April 1 over 7f in the wet defeating The Republican with 128lbs at $10. Progressive type who looks well placed. 3rd Pick 6 Winwood Jockey: Corentin Berge Trainer: Chris Wood J: Corentin Berge T: Chris Wood	107	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 5th of 8 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, slow going 6 len behind Rocky Marciano with 128lbs at $6.10. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn and won by 1.3 len at Pukekohe April 1 over 7f in the wet defeating The Republican with 128lbs at $10. Progressive type who looks well placed.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.