NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.6K

VIEW

Verdict

DROMMY (5) bolted in when scoring his maiden win in his penultimate start at Te Aroha, and he then ran on too late as the favourite at New Plymouth 3 weeks ago over 7f in a decent field. The extra 1f will make all the difference, and he can take this out. Follow your money. INDIAN GOLD (1) rattled home late for third out wide at New Plymouth 3 weeks ago, and he will now be spot on with his fitness. He has found form at the right time, and he will go close to winning this. MISISSIPI GAMBLER (9) has been close up in 2 starts since winning her maiden fresh up as a hot favourite at Tauranga in late May. Stick with her on an each-way basis. ELLE MCFAB (11) did not have much go her way at Avondale last time out, and her record racing in an anti-clockwise direction is far better, which includes a win on this track. She cops a wide gate, but we still give her a strong each-way hope at odds. EVER CHARM (6) has not won for some time, but he is usually very consistent. Keep him very safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	At the latest run 5th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Came True with 125lbs at $2.30. The start before that favourite, came from midfield and scored a big 3 len win at Te Aroha July 5 over 7f in the wet defeating Golden Point carrying 122lbs at $2. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 1st Pick 5 Drommy Jockey: Jonathan Riddell Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote J: Jonathan Riddell T: Ben & Ryan Foote	65	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Came True with 125lbs at $2.30. The start before that favourite, came from midfield and scored a big 3 len win at Te Aroha July 5 over 7f in the wet defeating Golden Point carrying 122lbs at $2. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
1	Last start 3rd of 14 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Dubai's Potiki carrying 126lbs at $13.30. Before that ran second last in a small field at Hawera on July 11 over 7f, in the wet, 10 len behind He's Lucid carrying 115lbs at $5.20. Making headway. Further improvement expected. 2nd Pick 1 Indian Gold Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: Tom Wigram T: Allan Sharrock	118	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start 3rd of 14 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, on a wet track, 2 len behind Dubai's Potiki carrying 126lbs at $13.30. Before that ran second last in a small field at Hawera on July 11 over 7f, in the wet, 10 len behind He's Lucid carrying 115lbs at $5.20. Making headway. Further improvement expected.
9	Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.2 len behind Timemakesthewine with 120lbs at $2.80. Before that 2nd of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on a wet track, nose behind Illustrious carrying 126lbs at $4.70. Looks a key top 4 runner. 3rd Pick 9 Misissipi Gambler Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote J: Sam Mcnab T: Ben & Ryan Foote	102	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start 4th of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.2 len behind Timemakesthewine with 120lbs at $2.80. Before that 2nd of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, on a wet track, nose behind Illustrious carrying 126lbs at $4.70. Looks a key top 4 runner.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.