NZ - Te Rapa - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

23.7K

VIEW

Verdict

MISISSIPI GAMBLER (9) has continued to race well in 3 starts since winning her maiden fresh up in late May. She is likely to settle back, and if the tempo is genuine, then she can have the last say in this. SIR FERGUS (12) ran his race in patches at Arawa Park 10 days ago when struggling on the testing heavy track there. He cops a wide gate here, but by the last race it may be a blessing in disguise. He is worth another chance, so follow your money. BORN TO BE ROYAL (11) ended her 3YO campaign in the G1 Oaks at Ellerslie, and she has made progress in a couple of tune-up trials. If she is close enough on the final turn, then she can take this out. HALO'S FIRE (6) should be peaking at the right time for this, and the step up from 6 ½f to 7 ½f is ideal. A top 3 finish is not beyond him. Each way. EVER CHARM (8) is deep into his prep, and though he has not won for some time, he is well worth including in all top 4 combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 13 at this track on August 8 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Vito carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The run before that 4th of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, in the wet, 0.2 len behind Timemakesthewine with 120lbs at $2.80. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish. 1st Pick 9 Misissipi Gambler Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Ben & Ryan Foote J: Sam Mcnab T: Ben & Ryan Foote	82	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 13 at this track on August 8 over 1m, on rain affected going, 1.75 len behind Vito carrying 123lbs at $4.20. The run before that 4th of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on July 18 over 1m, in the wet, 0.2 len behind Timemakesthewine with 120lbs at $2.80. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
12	At the latest run got back early 5th of 9 at Arawa Park on August 12 over 6f, in the wet, 3 len behind Ridgeview Vicky with 126lbs at $3.90. Before that 3rd of 12 at this track on July 25 over 6f, in the wet, 3 len behind Hey Hey Baby with 127lbs at $3.30. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 12 Sir Fergus Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Barbara Kennedy J: Hayley Hassman T: Barbara Kennedy	106	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run got back early 5th of 9 at Arawa Park on August 12 over 6f, in the wet, 3 len behind Ridgeview Vicky with 126lbs at $3.90. Before that 3rd of 12 at this track on July 25 over 6f, in the wet, 3 len behind Hey Hey Baby with 127lbs at $3.30. Terrific chance to return to form.
11	Mare back from a spell of six months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign 12th of 17 at Ellerslie in the G1 Nz Oaks February 21 over 1 ½m, soft track, 12 len behind Ohope Wins with 125lbs at $46.70. When resuming last campaign third of 11 at Te Aroha November 26 over 7f, 6 len behind Argo with 122lbs at $3.60. Everything points to a bright return. 3rd Pick 11 Born To Be Royal Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Wiremu Pinn T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	118	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Mare back from a spell of six months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign 12th of 17 at Ellerslie in the G1 Nz Oaks February 21 over 1 ½m, soft track, 12 len behind Ohope Wins with 125lbs at $46.70. When resuming last campaign third of 11 at Te Aroha November 26 over 7f, 6 len behind Argo with 122lbs at $3.60. Everything points to a bright return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.