NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

21 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race devastated by scratchings. ROCKING (10) got a mile back and motored home for a 1L 4th last start in a similar race. Has 3 wins and 4 placings from 9 starts on heavy. Conditions suit. GETAWAY (12) has put in honest efforts in all 3 starts this prep, all at 1m. Has won at 7f and ran a close 2nd in her only start on this track. Has won on heavy too. HAKATA BAY (11) led throughout beating subsequent winner Khafre at the trials last month with UNWRITTEN 3rd. Has won on heavy and first-up. Respect after nice trial. OPPENHEIMER (9) has placed 5 times from 8 starts on heavy. Led this track and trip 2 starts back but was swamped late beaten less than 1L 5th. Ordinary effort over 1m on a soft track at Ellerslie last time but heavy gives him a chance here. UNWRITTEN (16) was 4L behind HAKATA BAY in a trail last month but has a win and placing from 6 starts on heavy, has placed first-up and both wins have come from 5 starts at this trip.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 11 at Hastings on October 10 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Zorero with 126lbs at $11.70. Last start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Ellerslie on October 24 over 7f, 2 len behind War Queen carrying 126lbs at $6.40. Sure to prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 6 Hidden Achievement Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Non Runner T: Stephen Marsh	168	-	-	-	23%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 11 at Hastings on October 10 over 6f, slow going 2.75 len behind Zorero with 126lbs at $11.70. Last start raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 10 at Ellerslie on October 24 over 7f, 2 len behind War Queen carrying 126lbs at $6.40. Sure to prove hard to beat.
15	Second-up. First-up after nine months favourite, won by 0.6 len at this track on October 26 over 6 ½f defeating Diplomatic with 125lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up favourite, won by 3.5 len at Te Aroha on December 7 over 7f defeating Starlit Express with 122lbs at $3. No reason she cannot get the job done again. 2nd Pick 15 Stella Ma Bella Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	93	-	-	-	14%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months favourite, won by 0.6 len at this track on October 26 over 6 ½f defeating Diplomatic with 125lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up favourite, won by 3.5 len at Te Aroha on December 7 over 7f defeating Starlit Express with 122lbs at $3. No reason she cannot get the job done again.
2	Second run back. First-up after six months came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Erin Go Bragh carrying 123lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up ran second last of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Sorghaghtani with 125lbs at $13.30. Back in great shape and a bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 2 Altari Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	172	-	-	-	6%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Erin Go Bragh carrying 123lbs at $6.20. Previously second-up ran second last of 13 at Ellerslie on January 31 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind Sorghaghtani with 125lbs at $13.30. Back in great shape and a bold showing is expected.

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