NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

19.4f

Maiden Steeple

Turf

SOFT 7

11.6K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

RED NED (4) lost his rider as the favourite early on in the race at Te Aroha 12 days ago but took no harm from the day out. He has been placed in his other 2 starts over hurdles, and he can make amends in this field. Follow your money. DOCTOR IRIS (2) had shown ability in this role last year, and he put it all together when winning here nearly 3 weeks ago, beating some handy types in the process. He carries the same weight, and he can repeat the dose. KING CABAL (3) makes his jumping debut but he is well schooled and won a recent hurdle trial late last month. A big run is on the cards. SKAW VALLEY (5) did nothing resuming on the flat nearly 7 weeks ago, but in this field in his preferred jumping role, he can improve quickly. Include to be safe. ODYSSEUS (1) lost his rider when resuming over steeples at Te Aroha, and he could plod into a top 4 finish here with some better luck.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Last run lost his rider at Te Aroha on June 1 over 1 ¹5/16m. Start before finished second of 11 runners at Wanganui on May 10 over 1m, on slow going 6 len behind Never Look Back with 143lbs at $5.50. Rates strongly and expected to measure up. 1st Pick 4 Red Ned Jockey: Billy Marshall Trainer: John Wheeler J: Billy Marshall T: John Wheeler	137	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Last run lost his rider at Te Aroha on June 1 over 1 ¹5/16m. Start before finished second of 11 runners at Wanganui on May 10 over 1m, on slow going 6 len behind Never Look Back with 143lbs at $5.50. Rates strongly and expected to measure up.
2	Last run won by 1.75 len this track on May 24 over 1 ¾m slow track defeating Island Hop with 148lbs at $7.70 in a jumps. Race before ran last at Pukekohe on May 1 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 45 len behind Khan Hunter carrying 119lbs at $17.20. All set to continue the fine recent jumping form. 2nd Pick 2 Doctor Iris Jockey: Kylan Wiles Trainer: Dean Wiles J: Kylan Wiles T: Dean Wiles	152	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last run won by 1.75 len this track on May 24 over 1 ¾m slow track defeating Island Hop with 148lbs at $7.70 in a jumps. Race before ran last at Pukekohe on May 1 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 45 len behind Khan Hunter carrying 119lbs at $17.20. All set to continue the fine recent jumping form.
3	Returning from a spell making his jumps debut. He ended last campaign with finished seventh of 10 starters at Avondale on November 6 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 6 len behind Charlemagne carrying 129lbs at $19.80 and before that finished second in a small field at Pukekohe on October 29 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Our Easy Street carrying 129lbs at $5.60. Has since run in a trial, where he ran first. Can sneak into the finish. 3rd Pick 3 King Cabal Jockey: Corey Wiles Trainer: Grant & Tana Shaw J: Corey Wiles T: Grant & Tana Shaw	48	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Returning from a spell making his jumps debut. He ended last campaign with finished seventh of 10 starters at Avondale on November 6 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 6 len behind Charlemagne carrying 129lbs at $19.80 and before that finished second in a small field at Pukekohe on October 29 over 1m, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Our Easy Street carrying 129lbs at $5.60. Has since run in a trial, where he ran first. Can sneak into the finish.

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