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2:07 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
85.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SYSTEM OF PLAY (2) charged home form the rear to score on debut here in April then sat handy outer from the low gate and was a strong winner over this trip at Ellerslie last month. Danger from the nice gate again. JUSTIN CASE (1) sat outside the leader and fought like a tiger to win the LR Sir Colin Meads at Hastings last month. Nice trial win since and worst effort was a 4th in the G1 Sistema Stakes in March. Step up to 7f the only query. SHAMBO JACK (7) was a game 3rd to Justin Case last month before charging home to score over this trip last time. Respect again. RIP TIDE (6) motored home out wide to score at Taupo on debut then fought on well after a cosy rails run at this trip last time. Draw suits again here. INCANDESCENT (3) put in a good late run from last when fresh and ran on again behind the runaway So Fear last start, both at this trip. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
System Of Play silk

Yet to taste defeat in two starts. Had his first run for this campaign last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Ellerslie on September 19 over 7f on a soft track defeating Grocer's Girl with 126lbs at $1.80. Impressive of late. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it.

1st Pick
2

System Of Play

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

167---31%9/4

Analysis

Yet to taste defeat in two starts. Had his first run for this campaign last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at Ellerslie on September 19 over 7f on a soft track defeating Grocer's Girl with 126lbs at $1.80. Impressive of late. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it.

1
Justin Case silk

Second-up. Comes off a 44-day let-up. First-up after seven months favourite, won by a 0.2 len in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Hastings on September 12 over 6f in heavy going defeating Pinafore carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 6 len win in the G3 Matamata Slipper on February 14 over 6f in heavy going defeating Out Of The Blue with 126lbs at $4.20. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

2nd Pick
1

Justin Case

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Kris Shailer

J: Samantha Collett

T: Kris Shailer

174---17%5/1

Analysis

Second-up. Comes off a 44-day let-up. First-up after seven months favourite, won by a 0.2 len in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Hastings on September 12 over 6f in heavy going defeating Pinafore carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Previously second-up favourite, scored a big 6 len win in the G3 Matamata Slipper on February 14 over 6f in heavy going defeating Out Of The Blue with 126lbs at $4.20. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

7
Shambo Jack silk

Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by a 0.2 len at Matamata on October 3 over 7f in soft going defeating Joyeuse with 127lbs at $3.10. Before that 3rd of 7 in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Hastings on September 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.4 len behind Justin Case carrying 126lbs at $6.60. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

3rd Pick
7

Shambo Jack

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Opie Bosson

T: Stephen Marsh

116---10%10/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by a 0.2 len at Matamata on October 3 over 7f in soft going defeating Joyeuse with 127lbs at $3.10. Before that 3rd of 7 in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Hastings on September 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 1.4 len behind Justin Case carrying 126lbs at $6.60. Hard to fault and can go on with it.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.