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Resulted

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
HEAVY 10
23.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHATTAHOOCHEE (3) did not get into the race on a heavy track at Te Aroha last start, after his 2 previous runs had him heading in the right direction. There will be no fitness concerns fourth up, and the key this time will be having Opie Bosson in the saddle. They go on top for us at some value here. LEROY BROWN (1) was unsuited at Tauranga last start over 1m, where he did not seem to be his usual bright self, running off the fence as they went for home, also did him no favours. He has a superior gate this time, and he should get an uncontested lead this time. Stick with him. EL VIENTO (7) has been patiently handled, and he won his last 2 starts near the end of the year when finishing his last prep. He may need the run, but he has had a couple of trials, and he should be ready to rumble. Check the market. DREAM OF THE MOON (9) finished fourth as the favourite at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago. She returns to an anti-clockwise track, and she has each-way claims. YALDI (10) can also win this.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Chattahoochee silk

Last start ran last of 7 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Pacifico with 126lbs at $7. The run before that 6th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Omega Boy with 121lbs at $16. Well placed and can improve enough to take this out.

1st Pick
3

Chattahoochee

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Lisa Anderson

J: Opie Bosson

T: Lisa Anderson

95---17%

Analysis

Last start ran last of 7 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Pacifico with 126lbs at $7. The run before that 6th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Omega Boy with 121lbs at $16. Well placed and can improve enough to take this out.

1
Leroy Brown silk

Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Omega Boy carrying 121lbs at $5.30. The run before that scored a big 3 len win at Matamata February 28 over 1m in soft going defeating Khafre carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Expected to go very well.

2nd Pick
1

Leroy Brown

Jockey: Jack Taplin

Trainer: Stephen Ralph

J: Jack Taplin

T: Stephen Ralph

128---20%

Analysis

Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Omega Boy carrying 121lbs at $5.30. The run before that scored a big 3 len win at Matamata February 28 over 1m in soft going defeating Khafre carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Expected to go very well.

7
El Viento silk

Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by 2.5 len New Plymouth Raceway December 31 over 1m on heavy track defeating Blue Rata Warea carrying 132lbs at $1.60. First up last campaign 12th of 16 at Ellerslie September 6 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Arabian Songbird with 130lbs at $51. Everything points to a effective return.

3rd Pick
7

El Viento

Jockey: Warren Kennedy

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Warren Kennedy

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

68---12%

Analysis

Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by 2.5 len New Plymouth Raceway December 31 over 1m on heavy track defeating Blue Rata Warea carrying 132lbs at $1.60. First up last campaign 12th of 16 at Ellerslie September 6 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Arabian Songbird with 130lbs at $51. Everything points to a effective return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.