NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.6K

VIEW

Verdict

CAPOTE (4) was a deserved winner at Avondale last time out when capping off some strong form, and he got the job done in style, scoring by 2 and a half lengths, which makes us think he can take the next step immediately in this. DEEP PURSUIT (5) trained off after recording an overdue maiden win at Pukekohe at the start of April, and was put aside for a spell. He is only lightly tried for a 7YO gelding, and he looks set to improve even more this season after cruising home to win a recent trial. Hard to beat fresh up. MISS ANNA LEE (7) is also a lightly tried 6YO mare who ended her last prep with a maiden win, and then resumed from a spell with a bold effort for fourth at Otaki when peaking on her effort late. She won a trial before that, and she will be spot second up to win a race like this. OCEAN ROAD (3) will be peaking third up from a spell, and he is at his best in bad ground. With the right run he can improve his thin track stats. Each way. BELL TIME POTAE (2) has top 4 claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 2.5 len at Avondale July 15 over 6f in the wet defeating Hit The Gas carrying 129lbs at $1.90. The race before that 4th of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Kusuda Rush with 129lbs at $4.20. Draws well and another big run is in store. 1st Pick 4 Capote Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Brent Gillovic J: Samantha Collett T: Brent Gillovic	80	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 2.5 len at Avondale July 15 over 6f in the wet defeating Hit The Gas carrying 129lbs at $1.90. The race before that 4th of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Kusuda Rush with 129lbs at $4.20. Draws well and another big run is in store.
5	Gelding back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign seventh of 12 at this track May 2 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind General Menari carrying 129lbs at $19.40. Previously first up, second of 9 at Tauranga January 8 over 6f, soft track, 0.9 len behind Sarti with 122lbs at $19.10. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 2nd Pick 5 Deep Pursuit Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Tony Pike J: Sam Mcnab T: Tony Pike	115	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign seventh of 12 at this track May 2 over 6f, soft track, 6 len behind General Menari carrying 129lbs at $19.40. Previously first up, second of 9 at Tauranga January 8 over 6f, soft track, 0.9 len behind Sarti with 122lbs at $19.10. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.
7	Second-up. First-up after nine months 4th of 8 at Otaki on July 30 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Our Akashinga carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 5 over 6f, neck behind Ashoka carrying 125lbs at $24.80. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 7 Miss Anna Lee Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Peter Lock J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Peter Lock	87	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after nine months 4th of 8 at Otaki on July 30 over 6f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Our Akashinga carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 5 over 6f, neck behind Ashoka carrying 125lbs at $24.80. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

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