NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 10

23.7K

VIEW

Verdict

CHATTAHOOCHEE (3) did not get into the race on a heavy track at Te Aroha last start, after his 2 previous runs had him heading in the right direction. There will be no fitness concerns fourth up, and the key this time will be having Opie Bosson in the saddle. They go on top for us at some value here. LEROY BROWN (1) was unsuited at Tauranga last start over 1m, where he did not seem to be his usual bright self, running off the fence as they went for home, also did him no favours. He has a superior gate this time, and he should get an uncontested lead this time. Stick with him. EL VIENTO (7) has been patiently handled, and he won his last 2 starts near the end of the year when finishing his last prep. He may need the run, but he has had a couple of trials, and he should be ready to rumble. Check the market. DREAM OF THE MOON (9) finished fourth as the favourite at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago. She returns to an anti-clockwise track, and she has each-way claims. YALDI (10) can also win this.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Last start ran last of 7 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Pacifico with 126lbs at $7. The run before that 6th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Omega Boy with 121lbs at $16. Well placed and can improve enough to take this out. 1st Pick 3 Chattahoochee Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Lisa Anderson J: Opie Bosson T: Lisa Anderson	94	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Last start ran last of 7 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 1m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Pacifico with 126lbs at $7. The run before that 6th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on a wet track, 3 len behind Omega Boy with 121lbs at $16. Well placed and can improve enough to take this out.
1	Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Omega Boy carrying 121lbs at $5.30. The run before that scored a big 3 len win at Matamata February 28 over 1m in soft going defeating Khafre carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Expected to go very well. 2nd Pick 1 Leroy Brown Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Stephen Ralph J: Jack Taplin T: Stephen Ralph	128	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Comes here off a 34-day let-up. Most recently raced on the pace before fading 10th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Omega Boy carrying 121lbs at $5.30. The run before that scored a big 3 len win at Matamata February 28 over 1m in soft going defeating Khafre carrying 119lbs at $4.60. Expected to go very well.
7	Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by 2.5 len New Plymouth Raceway December 31 over 1m on heavy track defeating Blue Rata Warea carrying 132lbs at $1.60. First up last campaign 12th of 16 at Ellerslie September 6 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Arabian Songbird with 130lbs at $51. Everything points to a effective return. 3rd Pick 7 El Viento Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	68	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Resuming after a spell of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign won by 2.5 len New Plymouth Raceway December 31 over 1m on heavy track defeating Blue Rata Warea carrying 132lbs at $1.60. First up last campaign 12th of 16 at Ellerslie September 6 over 6 ½f, soft track, 4.5 len behind Arabian Songbird with 130lbs at $51. Everything points to a effective return.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.