NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

OPEN

Turf

HEAVY 8

22.7K

VIEW

Verdict

LITTLE BIT OF LOVE (2) just missed out by a nose here 3 weeks ago, and all of his 3 starts this prep have all been strong efforts on this track. He is in a good space, and as long as the tracks are heavy, he is always a winning chance. IMA BRAZEN ONE (1) has gone back-to-back in the Central Districts and won by over 3 lengths last time out at Trentham. A clever 9lbs claim will mean she carries 6lbs less weight this time, and the hat-trick beckons. FORCE OF NATURE (4) got back in the inside here in a similar field last start, and never got into the race. He has won 5 of his 9 starts in this track, and he is worth another chance. CLEAT (5) had to work too hard from a wide gate here last start, and understandably weakened. He has a chance to find the front here from a far superior draw, and he can bounce back into form at some value. GOSPODIN (6) was brave in defeat at Ellerslie a fortnight ago, an he is well overdue for another win. Stick with him for all top 4 combos.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track on June 13 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Tristar carrying 127lbs at $7.50. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track on May 30 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Bright Stripes carrying 123lbs at $4. Will take plenty of beating. 1st Pick 2 Little Bit Of Love Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Sam Mcnab T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	92	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 2nd of 13 at this track on June 13 over 6f, on a slow track, nose behind Tristar carrying 127lbs at $7.50. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track on May 30 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Bright Stripes carrying 123lbs at $4. Will take plenty of beating.
1	Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, won by 3.5 len at Trentham June 10 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Tolstoy carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Before that favourite, won by 0.6 len at Otaki May 16 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Legally Binding carrying 125lbs at $3.40. Huge chance on best form. 2nd Pick 1 Ima Brazen One Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mike Breslin J: Non Runner T: Mike Breslin	98	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last start favourite, won by 3.5 len at Trentham June 10 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Tolstoy carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Before that favourite, won by 0.6 len at Otaki May 16 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Legally Binding carrying 125lbs at $3.40. Huge chance on best form.
4	Dual acceptor. Most recently 10th of 13 at this track on June 13 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Tristar carrying 132lbs at $8.30. Before that 5th of 8 at this track on May 2 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Vegas Queen carrying 126lbs at $4.70. Tough to beat if near his best. 3rd Pick 4 Force Of Nature Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Unknown Jockey T: Andrew Forsman	94	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Dual acceptor. Most recently 10th of 13 at this track on June 13 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Tristar carrying 132lbs at $8.30. Before that 5th of 8 at this track on May 2 over 6f, slow going 3 len behind Vegas Queen carrying 126lbs at $4.70. Tough to beat if near his best.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.