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Resulted

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
46.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SO FEAR (6) won her first 2 starts narrowly before finishing third in the Star Way Stakes at Ellerslie 2 weeks ago off a wide gate. She maps to settle a lot closer to the pace here, and she is the one to beat. WALKIN IN MEMPHIS (3) ran boldly in a good field on debut, and then went to Otaki to score easily by nearly 2 lengths when racing on the pace. Craig Grylls sticks with him, and so do we. BELLE REBELLE (5) got up in the last stride to score an impressive debut win, and then was runner-up as a loose favourite in the Star Way Stakes last time out. The extra 1f is ideal, and she is bred to relish the wet ground. Stick with her. INCANDESCENT (2) has been holding his form well since winning his debut at Ellerslie in late November. He is handling his busy campaign with no issue, and his fifth against a similar field last start was very good. He steps up to 7f, and he can take this out. EXCITE (1) was fourth in the G1 Sires Produce at Trentham 5 weeks ago, so don't risk him.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Excite silk
1

Excite

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: George Rooke

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

161---36%
2
Incandescent silk
2

Incandescent

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Joe Doyle

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

104---13%
3
Walkin In Memphis silk
2nd Pick
3

Walkin In Memphis

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Craig Grylls

T: Andrew Forsman

138---25%
4
Royce silk
4

Royce

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: Tony Cole

J: Matthew Cameron

T: Tony Cole

86---5%
5
Belle Rebelle silk
3rd Pick
5

Belle Rebelle

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Donna Logan

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Donna Logan

105---19%
6
So Fear silk
1st Pick
6

So Fear

Jockey: Courtney Barnes

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Courtney Barnes

T: Stephen Marsh

88---19%
7
Amourette silk
7

Amourette

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Tony Cole

J: Non Runner

T: Tony Cole

120---9%

Scratched

8
Grocer's Girl silk
8

Grocer's Girl

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Samantha Collett

T: Tony Pike

90---8%
9
Bourbon Time silk
9

Bourbon Time

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Stephen Marsh

90---7%

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.