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2:17 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.5f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
23.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

YOUNG JACKSON (1) has needed time to mature, but has always had a reputation around him. He looked in good condition when finishing close up in a recent trial, and if he is not already looking for more ground, he can snatch a win fresh up, with an eye to some richer assignments later in the year. KYGO STAR (4) resumes from a spell for the first time from the leading Walker/Bergerson stable, and it is good to see Opie Bosson picking up the ride. A wide gate is no help, but he can still give this field a big shake. TIANTAI (9) is a very promising mare who has been given plenty of time to come to it. She won her maiden fresh up last prep, and was doing good things late in a recent trial. She needs some gaps to come her way from the pole position to be a big winning threat in this. DA ACE (7) ended his last prep with an overdue maiden win, and he should also be competitive fresh up here. VICTOR TANGO (5) ran on late fresh up over 6f, and he can improve again over 7f. Keep him safe.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Young Jackson silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign fifth of 11 at Trentham March 28 over 1m, soft track, 1.1 len behind Surround Sound with 129lbs at $2.40. On debut eighth of 14 at Ellerslie January 11 over 7f, 3 len behind Atkins carrying 129lbs at $17.80. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

1st Pick
1

Young Jackson

Jockey: Abinith Simon

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Abinith Simon

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

83---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign fifth of 11 at Trentham March 28 over 1m, soft track, 1.1 len behind Surround Sound with 129lbs at $2.40. On debut eighth of 14 at Ellerslie January 11 over 7f, 3 len behind Atkins carrying 129lbs at $17.80. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.

4
Kygo Star silk

Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign tenth of 12 at Tauranga in the G2 James and Annie Sarten Memorial Stakes November 1 over 7f, soft track, 9 len behind Swiss Prince carrying 126lbs at $10.10. On debut second of 9 at Taupo September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, a long neck behind Oratia Beauty with 125lbs at $6.40. Watch closely fresh up.

2nd Pick
4

Kygo Star

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Opie Bosson

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

105---25%3/1

Analysis

Racing first-up today. Finished off last campaign tenth of 12 at Tauranga in the G2 James and Annie Sarten Memorial Stakes November 1 over 7f, soft track, 9 len behind Swiss Prince carrying 126lbs at $10.10. On debut second of 9 at Taupo September 17 over 6 ½f, soft track, a long neck behind Oratia Beauty with 125lbs at $6.40. Watch closely fresh up.

9
Tiantai silk

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation third of 9 at Arawa Park May 9 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Circus Dancer with 121lbs at $5. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.9 len Pukekohe April 1 over 6f in the wet defeating Durrani with 126lbs at $2.70. Looks all set for a effective return.

3rd Pick
9

Tiantai

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Ken Kelso

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Ken Kelso

84---27%11/4

Analysis

Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation third of 9 at Arawa Park May 9 over 7f, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Circus Dancer with 121lbs at $5. Previous preparation first-up won by 0.9 len Pukekohe April 1 over 6f in the wet defeating Durrani with 126lbs at $2.70. Looks all set for a effective return.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.