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1:32 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
22.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SAJA (9) bounced off a smart trial win to produce a big run from the rear to get home on debut at Tauranga last month. Well worth following here. ECHANNAY (6) strong charge from midfield to win debut over 6f in July and resumed with a good run when jumped well and sat 3rd outer and kept coming gamely for 3rd over 6f last month. Scratched at Ellerslie last week. Respect. MANOLETE (2) the worst effort of her career was a 4.5L 4th on debut. Won his maiden in a tight finish over this trip at Ellerslie in June. First look Anti Clockwise but must respect this stable. MAGIC CARPET (1) came off two quiet trials to produce a big finish from the rear to be within 1L of Party Time over 6f here in September. Took on the G2 Avondale Guineas at 1 5/16m and G1 NZ Derby last season so this maybe short of his best trip but has placed both runs over it. SIBLING RIVALRY (8) was sent off at $6 but pulled out of the contest 3f out when the rider felt something amiss. Nothing found so forgive.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Saja silk

At debut, won won by 0.9 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 6f on a soft track defeating Jaimee Marie with 119lbs at $5.50. Has upside and can remain unbeaten.

1st Pick
9

Saja

Jockey: Corentin Berge

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Corentin Berge

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

99---20%4/1

Analysis

At debut, won won by 0.9 len at Tauranga on October 14 over 6f on a soft track defeating Jaimee Marie with 119lbs at $5.50. Has upside and can remain unbeaten.

6
Echannay silk

Second-up. Promising on debut tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len at Arawa Park on July 1 over 6f in the wet defeating Performer carrying 125lbs at $5.70. Returned from break 3rd of 9 at Ellerslie on October 24 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Sista Sugar with 128lbs at $10.40. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
6

Echannay

Jockey: Warren Kennedy

Trainer: Mark Brooks

J: Warren Kennedy

T: Mark Brooks

102---17%5/1

Analysis

Second-up. Promising on debut tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len at Arawa Park on July 1 over 6f in the wet defeating Performer carrying 125lbs at $5.70. Returned from break 3rd of 9 at Ellerslie on October 24 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Sista Sugar with 128lbs at $10.40. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2
Manolete silk

Resuming. Finished off last campaign fourth of 11 at Ellerslie June 20 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Nicconi County with 130lbs at $6. On debut fourth of 9 at Tauranga March 14 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Morning Cocoa with 129lbs at $6.90. Can go on to better things this campaign.

3rd Pick
2

Manolete

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: Cody Cole

J: Matthew Cameron

T: Cody Cole

95---20%4/1

Analysis

Resuming. Finished off last campaign fourth of 11 at Ellerslie June 20 over 6f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Nicconi County with 130lbs at $6. On debut fourth of 9 at Tauranga March 14 over 7f, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Morning Cocoa with 129lbs at $6.90. Can go on to better things this campaign.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.