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2:02 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 4

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
10.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
20.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MORNING COCOA (6) won fresh up, and she continues to race honestly. She was not far away again when finishing fourth over 1 ?m at Arawa Park 3 weeks ago, and she gets another good chance to win another race. SWEET BUT PSYCHO (4) had excuses when never getting into the contest here last time over 1m. She is better than that effort suggests, and with a drop back down to BM65 level, she can bounce back at value. HEZA SHARP ONE (3) returned to form in style at Matamata, lifting strongly to score over 1 ¼m after sitting handy throughout. There is more depth to this field, but he will still be on the up, and with the right run, he can repeat the dose. BRADLEY (1) has been building nicely this prep, and he went close here last start over 1 5/16m, beaten less than a length. He needs it wet, and another honest effort can be expected on similar track conditions. RELENTLESS (2) dropped into a soft race at Tauherenikau nearly 4 weeks ago and won easily. Stick with him on an each-way basis.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Morning Cocoa silk

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 12 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 1m, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Whatthemansaw with 127lbs at $6.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 17 at Ellerslie on April 18 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Super Fly with 125lbs at $26.30. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

1st Pick
6

Morning Cocoa

Jockey: Warren Kennedy

Trainer: Andrew Forsman

J: Warren Kennedy

T: Andrew Forsman

136---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 12 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 1m, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Whatthemansaw with 127lbs at $6.50. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 17 at Ellerslie on April 18 over 1m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Super Fly with 125lbs at $26.30. Best form stacks up nicely and deserves another chance.

4
Sweet But Psycho silk

Last start got back early 5th of 7 at this track on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Bonnard carrying 119lbs at $6.30. Before that eased back early on 7th of 9 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Loch Katrine with 123lbs at $6.80. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

2nd Pick
4

Sweet But Psycho

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

115---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start got back early 5th of 7 at this track on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Bonnard carrying 119lbs at $6.30. Before that eased back early on 7th of 9 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 7 ¾f, on a wet track, 5.5 len behind Loch Katrine with 123lbs at $6.80. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

3
Heza Sharp One silk

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Matamata May 13 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Ivy's Dancer carrying 131lbs at $11.60. Before that 7th of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Free Bird carrying 132lbs at $16.50. Racing well and can feature again.

3rd Pick
3

Heza Sharp One

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale

J: Matt Cartwright

T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale

108---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Matamata May 13 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Ivy's Dancer carrying 131lbs at $11.60. Before that 7th of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Free Bird carrying 132lbs at $16.50. Racing well and can feature again.

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