NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 8

19.9K

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Verdict

ANGELS BREW (4) has won her last 2 starts on the bounce at Cambridge on the poly track here, and that should have her fit enough to handle a heavy surface here. The extra 1 ?f should be no issue, and the hat-trick beckons. WINNER PATCH (2) let down strongly to score easily second up at Te Aroha nearly 2 weeks ago, and with 3lbs less to carry, he has the scope to repeat the dose. SWISS PRINCE (1) ended his last prep with a second-place finish in the G2 Levin Classic at Trentham in early January. He has had a couple of tune-up trials, and with the aid of a 4lbs claim, he will be ready to rumble fresh up. AURORA BELLE (5) franked some good trial form with a comfortable debut win here nearly 6 weeks ago. She is drawn to do no work early on, and she can measure up in this as well. OCEAN OPAL (7) was narrowly beaten as the favourite fresh up at Tauranga before scoring by almost a length at Matamata last time out. Stick with her on an each-way basis.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.75 len at Cambridge Synthetic May 20 over 4f defeating Estilo with 118lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 0.8 len at Cambridge Synthetic June 17 over 4f defeating Lady Iris with 117lbs at $3.80. Facing a 7lbs hike in the weights from the last start but still makes plenty of appeal. 1st Pick 4 Angels Brew Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Pam Gerard J: Non Runner T: Pam Gerard	92	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up favourite, won by 1.75 len at Cambridge Synthetic May 20 over 4f defeating Estilo with 118lbs at $2.30. Second run from a spell favourite, won by 0.8 len at Cambridge Synthetic June 17 over 4f defeating Lady Iris with 117lbs at $3.80. Facing a 7lbs hike in the weights from the last start but still makes plenty of appeal.
2	Third race start today. At big odds at debut, 8th of 11 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Manolete with 129lbs at $27.50. Second-up won by 2.5 len at Te Aroha June 21 over 5 ¾f on a heavy track defeating Cadaques with 129lbs at $8.80. Expected to be in the finish again. 2nd Pick 2 Winner Patch Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Shaun Phelan J: Craig Grylls T: Shaun Phelan	81	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third race start today. At big odds at debut, 8th of 11 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Manolete with 129lbs at $27.50. Second-up won by 2.5 len at Te Aroha June 21 over 5 ¾f on a heavy track defeating Cadaques with 129lbs at $8.80. Expected to be in the finish again.
1	Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last campaign second of 14 at Trentham in the G2 Levin Clssc January 3 over 7f, soft track, 0.5 len behind La Dorada with 126lbs at $15.20. On debut fifth of 13 at Avondale July 16 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Interlaken carrying 117lbs at $9.90. Looks all set for a positive return. 3rd Pick 1 Swiss Prince Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Jack Taplin T: Stephen Marsh	78	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last campaign second of 14 at Trentham in the G2 Levin Clssc January 3 over 7f, soft track, 0.5 len behind La Dorada with 126lbs at $15.20. On debut fifth of 13 at Avondale July 16 over 6f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Interlaken carrying 117lbs at $9.90. Looks all set for a positive return.

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