NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 6

15.0K

VIEW

Verdict

AYUMI (10) is a promising filly who resumed with a tough effort for third as the favourite at New Plymouth nearly 5 weeks ago. She had won a Taupo trial easily before that, and should be spot-on with her condition now. Craig Grylls takes over from an apprentice, and she can get the job done this time. Follow your money. ASTRUM (8) was well in the market when weakening late and finishing midfield at Arawa Park just over a month ago. She might already be looking for more ground, but she can be a quick improver, so stick with her. STAY FROSTY (1) charged late and finished a game runner-up by a short-head at Tauranga when making his debut there 7 weeks ago. He is bred to stay, but has been kept fresh, and he should be storming home late again. LE JACQUES CARTIER (4) makes his debut off the back of 3 trial wins. Opie Bosson in the saddle is a strong lead, and the market moves are to be respected. Can win. SILKY SHUBA (5) was a touch flat last start, but can do better. Don't drop her yet.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Second-up. First-up after seven months 3rd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Zimomo carrying 119lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Otaki in the LR Castletown Stakes on June 20 over 6f, in the wet, 7 len behind Platinum Diamond carrying 121lbs at $7. Further improvement in store. 1st Pick 10 Ayumi Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Hollie Wynyard J: Craig Grylls T: Hollie Wynyard	62	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months 3rd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Zimomo carrying 119lbs at $3.70. Previously second-up 5th of 8 at Otaki in the LR Castletown Stakes on June 20 over 6f, in the wet, 7 len behind Platinum Diamond carrying 121lbs at $7. Further improvement in store.
8	Second-up. First start 5th of 14 at Matamata on May 14 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Viva Glam with 122lbs at $6.60. Went for a break before racing on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 13 at Arawa Park on December 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Sugar Schnapps carrying 125lbs at $4.70. Rates highly and should improve sharply. 2nd Pick 8 Astrum Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Ken & Bev Kelso	77	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Second-up. First start 5th of 14 at Matamata on May 14 over 6f, on a wet track, 5 len behind Viva Glam with 122lbs at $6.60. Went for a break before racing on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 13 at Arawa Park on December 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Sugar Schnapps carrying 125lbs at $4.70. Rates highly and should improve sharply.
1	At debut, 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on December 12 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Belle Noire carrying 129lbs at $16.20. Should take the next step today and is a major player. 3rd Pick 1 Stay Frosty Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	92	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis At debut, 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on December 12 over 6f, on a slow track, head behind Belle Noire carrying 129lbs at $16.20. Should take the next step today and is a major player.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.