NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

PORTLAND (10) has been in rock-solid form on wet tracks, with a pair of second-place finishes at New Plymouth in her last couple of starts. She has trialled on firmer surfaces, so there should not be an excuse there, and from a good draw, she is the one to beat. THUMBELINA (13) just battled on debut as a juvenile, and her trial form has been better, including a recent narrow win at a tune-up trial. She resumes with the advantage of the pole position and should be ready to rumble fresh. Check the market. NEFFU (1) has changed stables since an initial solid prep last season, which included a couple of placings. He resumes without the blinkers on and will be hitting the line late. Watch for any market leads. BUCCINO (6) has been trying to win a race for some time, but has been placed often, including a fresh third at Matamata 4 weeks ago. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Zimomo with 119lbs at $4.30. The start before that 2nd in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on December 4 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Waka carrying 120lbs at $3.90. Capable of fighting out the finish again. 1st Pick 10 Portland Jockey: Tayla Mitchell Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Tayla Mitchell T: Stephen Marsh	241	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 8 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Zimomo with 119lbs at $4.30. The start before that 2nd in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on December 4 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 2.75 len behind Waka carrying 120lbs at $3.90. Capable of fighting out the finish again.
13	Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 6th of 9 at this track on May 24 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Geneva carrying 119lbs at $11. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign. 2nd Pick 13 Thumbelina Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	106	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when 6th of 9 at this track on May 24 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Geneva carrying 119lbs at $11. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.
1	Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 17 at Ellerslie May 7 over 1m, soft track, 2.5 len behind Gate Crashers with 129lbs at $5.50. On debut fifth of 10 at Te Aroha March 7 over 5 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Katashi carrying 129lbs at $28.80. Expecting a bright start to the prep. 3rd Pick 1 Neffu Jockey: Lynsey Satherley Trainer: Lisa Anderson J: Lynsey Satherley T: Lisa Anderson	52	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Resuming after a eight months break. Finished off last preparation eighth of 17 at Ellerslie May 7 over 1m, soft track, 2.5 len behind Gate Crashers with 129lbs at $5.50. On debut fifth of 10 at Te Aroha March 7 over 5 ¾f, 2.5 len behind Katashi carrying 129lbs at $28.80. Expecting a bright start to the prep.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.