NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

IMPERIAL ROSE (7) was put aside after being a beaten favourite at Ellerslie in January, probably not coping with the quick backup after her second on debut at Te Aroha 8 days earlier. She looked sharp when winning a recent trial, and she can get her season back on track here. On top. HIGH GOAL (2) won a trial before finishing fourth in a 6-horse field on debut at Tauherenikau when showing pace to lead that day. He will be better for the experience, and he is worth another chance in this. RUPENI (3) ruined his chances fresh up at Matamata by racing greenly throughout 3 weeks ago. He has a tricky gate, but will be a lot trimmer for this assignment, and he is well worth including in all top 4 combos. ZAFAR (6) makes his debut off some good trial form. Opie Bosson rides, and despite copping a nasty gate, he is sure to have plenty of market support. TIMELESS BEAUTY (12) is a stablemate of the fourth pick, and she is also making her debut, but she will have a far superior draw. Each-way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation second last of 7 at Ellerslie January 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Stromlinien carrying 121lbs at $2.40. On debut second in a small field at Te Aroha January 3 over 5f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind State The Obvious with 122lbs at $4.50. Looks all set for a positive return. 1st Pick 7 Imperial Rose Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	98	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Racing first-up today. Finished off last preparation second last of 7 at Ellerslie January 11 over 6f, 6 len behind Stromlinien carrying 121lbs at $2.40. On debut second in a small field at Te Aroha January 3 over 5f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind State The Obvious with 122lbs at $4.50. Looks all set for a positive return.
2	Was well-supported at debut, 4th in a small field at Tauherenikau on March 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Spark carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Expect him to run well. 2nd Pick 2 High Goal Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	118	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th in a small field at Tauherenikau on March 22 over 5f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Spark carrying 121lbs at $3.10. Expect him to run well.
3	Second run back. First-up after four months second last of 9 at Matamata on March 22 over 5 ¼f, slow going 5 len behind Mayfair Street with 127lbs at $11.10. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Trentham on October 18 over 4f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Midnight Dart with 126lbs at $2.30. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer. 3rd Pick 3 Rupeni Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	113	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months second last of 9 at Matamata on March 22 over 5 ¼f, slow going 5 len behind Mayfair Street with 127lbs at $11.10. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Trentham on October 18 over 4f, on rain affected going, 0.8 len behind Midnight Dart with 126lbs at $2.30. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.