NZ - Te Rapa - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

20.7K

VIEW

Verdict

PERFECT CHAOS (7) has been a beaten favourite in both of her starts to date, including a narrow defeat as the favourite at Pukekohe just over 8 weeks ago. She has won another trial since then, and she should get the job done this time. SYSTEM OF PLAY (3) won his latest of 3 public trials, and he hails from the leading Walker/Bergerson stable. He was a high-priced, ready-to-run candidate, and he is expected to be very competitive on debut. Follow the market moves. VANTAGE POINT (5) did not fire on debut after getting too far back on the inside. He was a trial comfortably before that, and he can make amends here. Stick with him for all top 4 combos. HIGH GOAL (1) raced greenly on debut at Tauherenikau when well-found in the market. He will improve with the experience, and he has the ability to win a race at short notice, so stick with him. MISS MAGNETICA (10) has won her only public trial very easily, and she is in good hands. Use the market as your best guide.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Since last run won Cambridge Synthetic trial over 4 ¾f on 14/4/2026, Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind Belle Rebelle carrying 122lbs at $3. The start before that, second of 7 at Tauherenikau February 6 over 5f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Pinafore with 121lbs at $1.90. Shapes as a key runner. 1st Pick 7 Perfect Chaos Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: George Rooke T: Stephen Marsh	100	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Since last run won Cambridge Synthetic trial over 4 ¾f on 14/4/2026, Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Pukekohe on February 25 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind Belle Rebelle carrying 122lbs at $3. The start before that, second of 7 at Tauherenikau February 6 over 5f, soft track, 1.75 len behind Pinafore with 121lbs at $1.90. Shapes as a key runner.
3	Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson trained two-year-old colt lining up for first race start. Won a recent Ellerslie trial. Is trialling well and should run a big race. 2nd Pick 3 System Of Play Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	71	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson trained two-year-old colt lining up for first race start. Won a recent Ellerslie trial. Is trialling well and should run a big race.
5	At debut, ran last of 9 at Matamata on March 22 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Mayfair Street with 127lbs at $8.30. Expected to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 5 Vantage Point Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Kurtis Pertab J: Samantha Collett T: Kurtis Pertab	83	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis At debut, ran last of 9 at Matamata on March 22 over 5 ¼f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Mayfair Street with 127lbs at $8.30. Expected to be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.