NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

5.5f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 6

22.5K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky race with all facing the starter for the first time. HELENA BEL (5) ran 4th to Princess Grazi in her first trial then ran on nicely out wide for 2nd to Show Me Sugar in her latest trial. Scratched from Ellerslie last month in favour of this. Respect here. PICK UP ARTIST (3) held the rail in a close 2nd and fought well for 0.5L 2nd to Glory Of Spring with a gap to 3rd in a recent trail. Nice, compact filly. DAMHOT (1) pinged the start to lead and not asked for a lot when 2L 2nd to Wildcatter in a recent trial. Place claims look best here. MIGHTY SOVEREIGN (2) away well to sit outside the leader and battled on ok for 4L 3rd to Mister Houdini in a recent trial. Big colt that may take time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Filly by Sword Of State on debut. Trial form indicates she's up to a solid debut. Won a Te Awamutu trial over 4 ¼f on October 22. Expected to run well. 1st Pick 4 Dragons Edge Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance Noble J: Non Runner T: Lance Noble	29	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Filly by Sword Of State on debut. Trial form indicates she's up to a solid debut. Won a Te Awamutu trial over 4 ¼f on October 22. Expected to run well.
5	Filly by Hellbent making her first appearance. Was runner-up in a trial at Matamata on October 6 over 4f. Looks set for a bold showing. 2nd Pick 5 Helena Bel Jockey: Corentin Berge Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Corentin Berge T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	52	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Filly by Hellbent making her first appearance. Was runner-up in a trial at Matamata on October 6 over 4f. Looks set for a bold showing.
3	First starter by Trapeze Artist out of Pickup The Pieces. Trialled on October 29 when second at Avondale over 4f. Profiles well and a bold run is expected. 3rd Pick 3 Pick Up Artist Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Matthew Cameron T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	52	-	-	-	48%	11/10
Analysis First starter by Trapeze Artist out of Pickup The Pieces. Trialled on October 29 when second at Avondale over 4f. Profiles well and a bold run is expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.