NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 9

11.8K

VIEW

Verdict

COLGATE (1) was beaten by a nose on debut at Tauranga, and then did not finish his run off as expected off a wide trip last time out at Avondale just over 3 weeks ago. He will be suited to stepping up to a middle distance, and we think he can take this out. HEAVENLY LADY (8) has turned a corner with her form over a middle distance, and she was only beaten by a short-head at Avondale last time out. She can go one better in this. JANKA (2) finished third at Te Aroha nearly 2 weeks ago, and he will be spot on with his fitness fourth up from a spell. Stick with him on an each-way basis. OUTRAGEOUS (9) ran her best race yet when racing over this trip for the first time 5 weeks ago when finishing third. This field is not too strong, and she can figure in the finish again. LINIOUS (10) has been steadily improving, and she is worth including in all top 4 combos here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, 2nd of 13 at Tauranga on June 27 over 1m, on rain affected going, nose behind Da Ace carrying 129lbs at $47.80. Last start 7th of 12 at Avondale on July 15 over 1m, on heavy track, 21 len behind Classic Grace carrying 129lbs at $6.60. Ready to bounce back and win this. 1st Pick 1 Colgate Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Sam Mcnab T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	128	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, 2nd of 13 at Tauranga on June 27 over 1m, on rain affected going, nose behind Da Ace carrying 129lbs at $47.80. Last start 7th of 12 at Avondale on July 15 over 1m, on heavy track, 21 len behind Classic Grace carrying 129lbs at $6.60. Ready to bounce back and win this.
8	Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Avondale on July 15 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 0.2 len behind Sidetrack carrying 147lbs at $3.30. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Tauranga on July 12 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 4 len behind King Cabal with 120lbs at $2.80. Expected to be in the finish again. 2nd Pick 8 Heavenly Lady Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	100	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 7 at Avondale on July 15 over 1 5/16m, on a wet track, 0.2 len behind Sidetrack carrying 147lbs at $3.30. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Tauranga on July 12 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 4 len behind King Cabal with 120lbs at $2.80. Expected to be in the finish again.
2	Most recently 3rd of 13 at Te Aroha on July 26 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Monroe with 129lbs at $18.20. Before that 7th of 12 at this track on July 4 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Diva Kingdom with 129lbs at $18.20. Can improve again. Strong chance to break though. 3rd Pick 2 Janka Jockey: Erin M Leighton Trainer: Shelley Wright J: Erin M Leighton T: Shelley Wright	102	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 13 at Te Aroha on July 26 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2.5 len behind Monroe with 129lbs at $18.20. Before that 7th of 12 at this track on July 4 over 1 5/16m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Diva Kingdom with 129lbs at $18.20. Can improve again. Strong chance to break though.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.