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1:05 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
11.9f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
20.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CHARLBURY (2) was only beaten by a neck here 8 days ago, and will have no fitness concerns leading into this race. She strikes another small field, and she should go close to taking this out. GIPPSY GOD (1) ran on too late after getting a long way back at Ellerslie last time out a week ago. The extra 1 ½f is the key, and he can bounce straight back into the money here. PERFECTMANZ (3) set the pace and weakened in the run home here last time out, finishing fourth as the favourite. He is better when ridden with some cover, and he is worth another chance. Follow your money. ORTEM LEGACY (4) will be peaking third up, and she is capable of a top 3 finish in this field, so don't risk her. MY MAEBELLINE GIRL (6) has been holding her form well, and she will again be hard to peg back.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Charlbury silk

Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 7 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Perfectmanz carrying 123lbs at $6.90. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at this track on April 17 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 0.4 len behind Awhina with 121lbs at $6.30. Tough to beat.

1st Pick
2

Charlbury

Jockey: Corentin Berge

Trainer: Catherine Cameron

J: Corentin Berge

T: Catherine Cameron

177---27%11/4

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 7 at Te Aroha on March 28 over 1m, on a wet track, 6 len behind Perfectmanz carrying 123lbs at $6.90. Second run from a spell 2nd in a small field at this track on April 17 over 1 5/16m, on heavy track, 0.4 len behind Awhina with 121lbs at $6.30. Tough to beat.

1
Gippsy God silk

Last start eased back early on 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on April 18 over 1 5/16m, slow going 5 len behind Castle Rock carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Ellerslie April 4 over 1m on a soft track defeating Fastdeeldun with 132lbs at $2.90. Nicely placed and can play a major role.

2nd Pick
1

Gippsy God

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Opie Bosson

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

167---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start eased back early on 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on April 18 over 1 5/16m, slow going 5 len behind Castle Rock carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Before that favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Ellerslie April 4 over 1m on a soft track defeating Fastdeeldun with 132lbs at $2.90. Nicely placed and can play a major role.

3
Perfectmanz silk

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th in a small field at this track on April 17 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Awhina with 117lbs at $3.40. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at Te Aroha March 28 over 1m in heavy going defeating Squire carrying 112lbs at $4.70. Major player.

3rd Pick
3

Perfectmanz

Jockey: Joe Nishizuka

Trainer: Stephen Ralph

J: Joe Nishizuka

T: Stephen Ralph

106---17%5/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th in a small field at this track on April 17 over 1 5/16m, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Awhina with 117lbs at $3.40. The run before that favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.3 len at Te Aroha March 28 over 1m in heavy going defeating Squire carrying 112lbs at $4.70. Major player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.