NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

10.4f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

11.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LONG ISLAND (9) was only beaten by a nose at Ellerslie 2 weeks ago, and she is bred to relish the step up to a middle distance for the first time. She goes on top for us in this field. PLAYINASANDPIT (10) resumed with a gutsy effort for third at Te Aroha nearly 2 weeks ago over 1 ?m. She revels in wet ground and should pick up her first win at short notice. THE DARZI (2) came home with a rush along the fence here in her penultimate start when finishing runner-up, and then made up plenty to finish fourth at Ellerslie a fortnight ago. Stick with her with an extra 2 ½f to travel this time. Each way. SATOMI (1) has turned a corner in his last couple of runs, and he benefits from a 4lbs claim this time. His stable has a good record when trekking their team to this course. ARKADUS (3) ran a much better race last time out when finishing third on the Cambridge poly track last time out. Include in all top 4 combos here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 1m, slow going nose behind La Tienda carrying 116lbs at $10. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Aixoise with 125lbs at $5.90. Looks a key runner. 1st Pick 9 Long Island Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Donna Logan J: Tom Wigram T: Donna Logan	141	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 2nd of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 1m, slow going nose behind La Tienda carrying 116lbs at $10. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Aixoise with 125lbs at $5.90. Looks a key runner.
10	Second run back. First-up after 10 months ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 1m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Mobilized with 125lbs at $8.70. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at this track on July 26 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Rio Grande with 122lbs at $5.40. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 2nd Pick 10 Playinasandpit Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Shaun Phelan J: Unknown Jockey T: Shaun Phelan	102	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 10 months ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Te Aroha on June 21 over 1m, on a wet track, 3.5 len behind Mobilized with 125lbs at $8.70. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at this track on July 26 over 1m, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Rio Grande with 122lbs at $5.40. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.
2	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind La Tienda with 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that came from the tail of the field 2nd of 14 at this track on May 30 over 1m, slow going neck behind Not Usual Moana with 127lbs at $11.20. Can improve on the latest effort and is well-placed to take this out. 3rd Pick 2 The Darzi Jockey: Erin M Leighton Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Erin M Leighton T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	134	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind La Tienda with 129lbs at $5.50. The start before that came from the tail of the field 2nd of 14 at this track on May 30 over 1m, slow going neck behind Not Usual Moana with 127lbs at $11.20. Can improve on the latest effort and is well-placed to take this out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.