NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

37.6K

VIEW

Verdict

LA DORADA (1) was a G1-winning juvenile who failed to settle in early in the season over in Australia, and has been given a freshen up. She can get her season back on track here, and with the benefit of a 7lbs claim, she is the one to beat. YOUSITO (7) resumed from a spell and posted a gritty win at Avondale just over 5 weeks ago. She has had a quiet trial since then, and has the scope to measure up in this better field. TO BRAVERY BORN (2) won a nice race fresh up at Taupo by a nose, and then was a touch weak in the Whanganui Guineas after that on a track that was probably heavier than he would have liked. He was third in a recent trial behind a nice type, and with Opie Bosson in the saddle, from the pole position, he can give this a shake. TO CAP IT ALL (3) was unsuited by the heavy track in the G1 2000 Guineas at Riccarton, and then tried hard last week when runner-up in the Bonecrusher Stakes at Pukekohe. Go again. GET ME AN ANGEL (4) steps up in class, but can cope. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Champagne September 26 over 6f, 6 len behind Snow Mercy with 123lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign second last of 14 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks September 6 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Baraqiel carrying 110lbs at $26. Is the one to beat fresh up. 1st Pick 1 La Dorada Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	175	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of 11 weeks. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Moonee Valley in the G3 Champagne September 26 over 6f, 6 len behind Snow Mercy with 123lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign second last of 14 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks September 6 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Baraqiel carrying 110lbs at $26. Is the one to beat fresh up.
7	Third race start. Promising on debut 2nd of 13 at Matamata 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 6f, on heavy track, nose behind Varjak with 122lbs at $7.70. Returned from break won by 1.0 len at Avondale November 6 over 6f on a soft track defeating Shiniqua with 123lbs at $3.10. Great chance to score again. 2nd Pick 7 Yousito Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Paul Richards J: Craig Grylls T: Paul Richards	119	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Third race start. Promising on debut 2nd of 13 at Matamata 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 6f, on heavy track, nose behind Varjak with 122lbs at $7.70. Returned from break won by 1.0 len at Avondale November 6 over 6f on a soft track defeating Shiniqua with 123lbs at $3.10. Great chance to score again.
2	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Guineas August 30 over 6f, in the wet, 6 len behind Platinum Diamond with 126lbs at $6.30. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Taupo August 17 over 5 ½f on heavy track defeating Faultless carrying 128lbs at $1.40. Looks all set for a effective return. 3rd Pick 2 To Bravery Born Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	142	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of three-and-a-half months. Finished off last preparation sixth of 10 at Wanganui in the LR Wanganui Guineas August 30 over 6f, in the wet, 6 len behind Platinum Diamond with 126lbs at $6.30. Previous preparation first-up won by nose Taupo August 17 over 5 ½f on heavy track defeating Faultless carrying 128lbs at $1.40. Looks all set for a effective return.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.