NZ - Te Rapa - Race 1

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

11.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

20.7K

VIEW

Verdict

HEPHAESTUS (2) was under pressure and unable to run on at Pukekohe last time out over 1 5/16m, and for now, he may just be better racing in an anti-clockwise direction. Stepping out to 1 ½m is the key, and in a slightly easier field, he should bounce back and be hard to beat. TAUPO DANCER (4) can be a touch one-paced and is at his best when the tracks are wet. He will find the 1 ½m to his liking, and has Craig Grylls in the saddle, which is a strong lead in a field like this. Stick with him on an each-way basis. MY MAEBELLINE GIRL (6) has found some form again by setting up big leads early on in her races. She has been placed 3 times from 6 starts over this trip, and she will make it interesting for a long way. SPRING QUEEN (14) has needed her racing to get fit, and all of her form has been on this track, including a placing over this trip. She is now ready to put her best hoof forward. Include. GUIPAGO (3) was an overdue maiden winner at Avondale 9 days ago. Go again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Most recently 11th of 14 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1 5/16m, 8 len behind Castle Rock carrying 131lbs at $6.80. In a suitable race and can play a major role. 1st Pick 2 Hephaestus Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: George Rooke T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	137	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently 11th of 14 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1 5/16m, 8 len behind Castle Rock carrying 131lbs at $6.80. In a suitable race and can play a major role.
4	Most recently 6th of 10 at Trentham on March 21 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Helluvah Return carrying 129lbs at $8.10. Worth following up. 2nd Pick 4 Taupo Dancer Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge J: Craig Grylls T: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge	93	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Most recently 6th of 10 at Trentham on March 21 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Helluvah Return carrying 129lbs at $8.10. Worth following up.
6	Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 13 at Ellerslie on April 4 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Gippsy God with 121lbs at $12.70. The start before that led but faded 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1 5/16m, 1.75 len behind Castle Rock with 121lbs at $54.20. Steps out over an extra 1f and must be considered. 3rd Pick 6 My Maebelline Girl Jockey: Joe Nishizuka Trainer: Kylie Little J: Joe Nishizuka T: Kylie Little	96	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run 4th of 13 at Ellerslie on April 4 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind Gippsy God with 121lbs at $12.70. The start before that led but faded 2nd of 14 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 1 5/16m, 1.75 len behind Castle Rock with 121lbs at $54.20. Steps out over an extra 1f and must be considered.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.