NZ - Te Rapa - Race 9

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 7

23.3K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

EL VIENTO (5) was beaten by a nose here fresh up, and followed that up with 2 more sound efforts in similar company. He has drawn well, and with Craig Grylls back in the saddle, he is the one to beat. BONNARD (6) has gone form strength to strength this year, and made it a hat-trick of wins when scoring here nearly 3 weeks ago in BM75 company. He likes it wet, drops in weight, and can measure up in open-class for the first time. UDERZO (3) broke his win drought with a deserved win at Ellerslie last week, and he is as tough as old boots. Stick with him on an each-way basis. HASSTOBEAWINNER (1) has found it hard to win at times, but he posted a rare victory at Ellerslie 3 weeks ago. He is slapped with an extra 11lbs for this, but he can produce another honest effort in this. Include. JOSHUA BROWN (2) will be peaking third up from a spell, and if he can find a soft lead, he could take them all the way at a decent price.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 11 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, slow going 0.9 len behind Hasstobeawinner carrying 119lbs at $3.20. Before that 4th of 15 at this track on May 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Financier with 127lbs at $5.30. Shapes as one of the key chances. 1st Pick 5 El Viento Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	163	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 11 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, slow going 0.9 len behind Hasstobeawinner carrying 119lbs at $3.20. Before that 4th of 15 at this track on May 2 over 1m, on a slow track, 2 len behind Financier with 127lbs at $5.30. Shapes as one of the key chances.
6	Recent form sound. Last start favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track May 24 over 1m in soft going defeating Transaction carrying 127lbs at $3.20. The run before that favourite, scored a big 6 len win at Waipukurau April 26 over 1m in the wet defeating Cheval De Foudre carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Well placed to extend the streak. 2nd Pick 6 Bonnard Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Shane Crawford J: Amber Riddell T: Shane Crawford	198	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start favourite, scored a big 3.5 len win at this track May 24 over 1m in soft going defeating Transaction carrying 127lbs at $3.20. The run before that favourite, scored a big 6 len win at Waipukurau April 26 over 1m in the wet defeating Cheval De Foudre carrying 121lbs at $2.40. Well placed to extend the streak.
3	Racing well recently. Last start won by 0.8 len at Ellerslie June 6 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Sweet Smile carrying 119lbs at $6.10. The run before that 2nd of 8 at this track on May 30 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Bright Stripes with 119lbs at $4.30. Should be right in the finish. 3rd Pick 3 Uderzo Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Non Runner T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	126	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start won by 0.8 len at Ellerslie June 6 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Sweet Smile carrying 119lbs at $6.10. The run before that 2nd of 8 at this track on May 30 over 7f, slow going 1.4 len behind Bright Stripes with 119lbs at $4.30. Should be right in the finish.

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