NZ - Te Rapa - Race 9

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

22.9K

VIEW

Verdict

ORIGIN OF LOVE (1) resumed with a fair effort fresh up in a stronger field at Ellerslie nearly 3 weeks ago, and probably needed the run. She maps to get every chance from the pole position, and as a second up winner last season, it would be no surprise to see her take this out. ZANTABULOUS (2) is a stablemate of the top pick resuming from a spell, and she showed that she has lost none of her zest when winning a recent trial very easily earlier in the month. Expect her to be very competitive fresh up. BOLLI BELLE (13) makes up the trio of runners for the powerful Walker/Bergerson stable, and she will improve quickly after a sound run fresh up at Te Aroha on a track that was heavier than she preferred just over 3 weeks ago. The extra 1 ¼f here is the key, and she has top 3 claims this time. OH MAIMAI (12) strips fitter second up, and the Patterson stable has a strong record on this track. Include. OPPENHEIMER (3) is not to be underestimated with a run under his belt. Keep safe at odds.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second-up. First-up after six months 6th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Big Wave carrying 129lbs at $6.70. Previously second-up won by a neck at Riccarton Park on September 27 over 7f defeating Quisiera with 119lbs at $2.80. Will be better for that run and is one of the main hopes. 1st Pick 1 Origin Of Love Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	213	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 6th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Big Wave carrying 129lbs at $6.70. Previously second-up won by a neck at Riccarton Park on September 27 over 7f defeating Quisiera with 119lbs at $2.80. Will be better for that run and is one of the main hopes.
2	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign when last of 13 at Otaki in the LR Rangitikei Gold Cup May 16 over 1m, soft track, 16 len behind Riverplate carrying 117lbs at $9.50. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at Tauranga November 1 over 6f, soft track, 0.5 len behind Bak Da Angel with 116lbs at $14. Looks all set for a effective return. 2nd Pick 2 Zantabulous Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Wiremu Pinn T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	138	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign when last of 13 at Otaki in the LR Rangitikei Gold Cup May 16 over 1m, soft track, 16 len behind Riverplate carrying 117lbs at $9.50. When resuming last campaign third of 10 at Tauranga November 1 over 6f, soft track, 0.5 len behind Bak Da Angel with 116lbs at $14. Looks all set for a effective return.
13	Second run back. First-up after six months settled back and ran on when 7th of 13 at Te Aroha on September 3 over 5 ¾f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Chatelle Rose carrying 120lbs at $6.90. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Matamata on February 14 over 7f in the wet defeating Our Lurrina with 119lbs at $3.70. Worth following up. 3rd Pick 13 Bolli Belle Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	109	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months settled back and ran on when 7th of 13 at Te Aroha on September 3 over 5 ¾f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Chatelle Rose carrying 120lbs at $6.90. Previously second-up came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Matamata on February 14 over 7f in the wet defeating Our Lurrina with 119lbs at $3.70. Worth following up.

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