NZ - Te Rapa - Race 9

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

37.6K

VIEW

Verdict

SMART LOVE (2) has been superbly placed to win all of her 3 starts this season, and she lines up in BM75 class again. The extra furlong won't be a problem, and with only an extra 4lbs to carry, she can continue on her winning way. SHE'S A DEALER (3) is a very progressive and patiently handled mare who won very comfortably fresh up at Ellerslie nearly 6 weeks ago. She remains in the same class and is good enough to give the top pick plenty to think about. KING OF THE NORTH (6) caught the eye with a big finish for eighth at Pukekohe 3 weeks ago. He will be hoping the gaps come a bit sooner this time, and he is good enough to have the last say. DESERT MYSTIC (5) lost his way at the end of his last prep on some wet tracks, and resumes from a spell with a couple of trials under his belt. He will be running on late here and is worth including in all combinations at a price. OUTOVSTOCK (1) will be peaking third up and drops in class. Don't treat him lightly. Each way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Dual acceptor. On a four run winning streak. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Pukekohe November 8 over 6 ½f defeating First Dance with 127lbs at $1.40. Before that favourite, won by 1.5 len at Arawa Park October 12 over 7f in the wet defeating Big Wave carrying 120lbs at $2.20. Key runner. 1st Pick 2 Smart Love Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Unknown Jockey T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	75	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Dual acceptor. On a four run winning streak. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2 len at Pukekohe November 8 over 6 ½f defeating First Dance with 127lbs at $1.40. Before that favourite, won by 1.5 len at Arawa Park October 12 over 7f in the wet defeating Big Wave carrying 120lbs at $2.20. Key runner.
3	Second run back. Comes off a 39-day let-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 1.3 len at Ellerslie November 4 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Mizella carrying 123lbs at $3. Previously second-up favourite, won by 1.3 len at Ellerslie Mdn-Sw April 9 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Chur Nibble with 123lbs at $4.50. Can get the job done again. 2nd Pick 3 She's A Dealer Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Sam Mcnab T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	132	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second run back. Comes off a 39-day let-up. First-up after five months favourite, won by 1.3 len at Ellerslie November 4 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Mizella carrying 123lbs at $3. Previously second-up favourite, won by 1.3 len at Ellerslie Mdn-Sw April 9 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Chur Nibble with 123lbs at $4.50. Can get the job done again.
6	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up second last of 14 at Tauranga on November 1 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Bourbon Proof with 123lbs at $8.30. Second run from a spell 8th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Queen Zou with 130lbs at $15.30. Hard to beat on his best form. 3rd Pick 6 King Of The North Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	75	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up second last of 14 at Tauranga on November 1 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Bourbon Proof with 123lbs at $8.30. Second run from a spell 8th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Queen Zou with 130lbs at $15.30. Hard to beat on his best form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.