NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.4f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

165.1K

VIEW

Verdict

OHOPE WINS (2) had been crying out for more ground prior to scoring an impressive win at Ellerslie in her first run at 1 ¼m just over 5 weeks ago in the G2 Sir Patrick Hogan Stakes, denting some reputations along the way. She has trialled nicely since then, and she can repeat the dose. CHILLING OUT (3) was chasing a hat-trick when finishing a game fifth in the Karaka Millions for 3-year-olds at Ellerslie a fortnight ago over a mile. She is bred to relish the longer trip here, and she will be hard to hold out. BORN TO BE ROYAL (6) dropped back in class after finishing third behind the top pick in the same race in her penultimate start, and was far too good for maiden grade at Matamata 15 days ago. She has sound top 4 claims back in this company. FAIRY DREAM (4) lifted late when scoring a short-head win in the G3 Desert Gold Stakes at Trentham 3 weeks ago. The extra 2 ½f is ideal, and she can repeat. SAVVY DONNA (9) did it tough but was still too good at Matamata last start. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 37-day let-up. At the latest run settled well back, won by 2.25 len at Ellerslie G2 Sir Patrick Hogan (Royal) Stakes January 1 over 1 ¼m in soft going defeating Origin Of Love carrying 125lbs at $9.10. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on December 20 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Julianus with 121lbs at $3.40. In form and certainly worth following up. 1st Pick 2 Ohope Wins Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Joe Doyle T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	85	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 37-day let-up. At the latest run settled well back, won by 2.25 len at Ellerslie G2 Sir Patrick Hogan (Royal) Stakes January 1 over 1 ¼m in soft going defeating Origin Of Love carrying 125lbs at $9.10. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on December 20 over 1m, slow going 1.75 len behind Julianus with 121lbs at $3.40. In form and certainly worth following up.
3	Most recently 5th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR Karaka Millions 3yo on January 24 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Well Written with 121lbs at $38.30. The start before that won by 0.7 len at Ellerslie January 11 over 7 ½f defeating Miss Ziggy carrying 121lbs at $3.60. Tough to beat on best form. 2nd Pick 3 Chilling Out Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	107	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR Karaka Millions 3yo on January 24 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind Well Written with 121lbs at $38.30. The start before that won by 0.7 len at Ellerslie January 11 over 7 ½f defeating Miss Ziggy carrying 121lbs at $3.60. Tough to beat on best form.
6	Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by 0.9 len at Matamata January 23 over 1 ¼m in soft going defeating Summer In London with 121lbs at $1.60. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie in the G2 Sir Patrick Hogan (Royal) Stakes on January 1 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Ohope Wins carrying 125lbs at $14.50. Key chance capable of going on with it. 3rd Pick 6 Born To Be Royal Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	117	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start favourite, won by 0.9 len at Matamata January 23 over 1 ¼m in soft going defeating Summer In London with 121lbs at $1.60. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Ellerslie in the G2 Sir Patrick Hogan (Royal) Stakes on January 1 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Ohope Wins carrying 125lbs at $14.50. Key chance capable of going on with it.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

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A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.