NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

20.7K

VIEW

Verdict

BHARNSTORM (6) steadily improved through his initial prep in the spring, ending on a high with a big win at Matamata over 1 ¼m in December. He has had a trial to bring his fitness levels up, and despite 6 ½f being short of his best, he can still be very competitive fresh, especially on a wet track. ESTERNAY (8) needed her first run in NZ after relocating from Australia when failing to find any form there in the spring. She slides down in class, and from a superior gate, she can be a quick improver. TRACK TESTER (3) found the company a touch easier when finishing second by a nose at this level at Matamata nearly 4 weeks ago. He is still improving, and another honest effort is expected. LIECHTENSTEIN (9) finished less than a length from the winner when runner-up at Pukekohe just over a fortnight ago. She is drawn to receive the run of the race, and another bold effort is likely. Each-way. FLEETING STAR (2) resumes from a spell, and her last run was in stakes company. Don't risk her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Resuming. Finished off last preparation winning won by 1.75 len Matamata December 19 over 1 ¼m slow track defeating Rocky Balboa with 129lbs at $2.70. On debut ninth of 12 at Tauranga October 1 over 7f, soft track, 8 len behind Reckoning with 129lbs at $12.20. Shows promise and worth following up. 1st Pick 6 Bharnstorm Jockey: Jack Taplin Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Jack Taplin T: Stephen Marsh	55	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation winning won by 1.75 len Matamata December 19 over 1 ¼m slow track defeating Rocky Balboa with 129lbs at $2.70. On debut ninth of 12 at Tauranga October 1 over 7f, soft track, 8 len behind Reckoning with 129lbs at $12.20. Shows promise and worth following up.
8	Second-up. First-up after five months 7th of 11 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Charmrose with 120lbs at $9. Previously second-up second last of 12 at Cranbourne Bm66 on October 31 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Miss Playlounge with 125lbs at $15. Rates highly and is among the leading hopes. 2nd Pick 8 Esternay Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	87	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 7th of 11 at Pukekohe on March 20 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Charmrose with 120lbs at $9. Previously second-up second last of 12 at Cranbourne Bm66 on October 31 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Miss Playlounge with 125lbs at $15. Rates highly and is among the leading hopes.
3	Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Matamata on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind Mille Grazie with 129lbs at $9.40. Before that sat on the pace before fading 8th of 11 at Ellerslie on March 7 over 7 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Confesara carrying 126lbs at $30.30. In form and will be hard to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Track Tester Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Joe Doyle T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	183	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Matamata on March 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.1 len behind Mille Grazie with 129lbs at $9.40. Before that sat on the pace before fading 8th of 11 at Ellerslie on March 7 over 7 ½f, slow going 3 len behind Confesara carrying 126lbs at $30.30. In form and will be hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.