NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 7

88.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MONOLOGUE (7) drove hard and only just missed by half a length at Whanganui nearly 3 weeks ago in the G3 Manawatu Breeders' Stakes. She will be at her peak fitness for this, and she revels in wet ground. If she can get to the right part of the track in the run to the line, then she can take this out. QALI AL FARRASHA (1) was a G2 winner in the spring, and her form since then has been good enough in some hot fields, including a last start in G1 class at Trentham, where she was out of the money. Opie Bosson is back in the saddle, and the pair can win this. KHANSHE (2) overcame a wide gate to flash home for fourth in the G1 NZTB Breeders' Stakes at Trentham 4 weeks ago. She is strong enough now to cope with a middle distance, and she has top 3 claims this time. PRIVY GARDEN (8) just battled in the G3 Ester Handicap 7 days ago, and she will be spot on for her first run this prep in an anti-clockwise direction. Don't risk her. LOTUS (10) will be peaking at the right time. Include at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start 3rd of 10 at Wanganui in the G3 Manawatu Breeders Stakes on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 0.5 len behind Girl Talk carrying 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that 3rd of 11 at Wanganui on March 14 over 1m, slow going 0.3 len behind Girl Talk with 120lbs at $4.50. Key runner who is a great chance to measure up again. 1st Pick 7 Monologue Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: A Fieldes J: Joe Doyle T: A Fieldes	67	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Last start 3rd of 10 at Wanganui in the G3 Manawatu Breeders Stakes on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 0.5 len behind Girl Talk carrying 125lbs at $6.50. The run before that 3rd of 11 at Wanganui on March 14 over 1m, slow going 0.3 len behind Girl Talk with 120lbs at $4.50. Key runner who is a great chance to measure up again.
1	Last start 10th of 17 at Trentham in the G1 Nz Tb Breeders on March 28 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind She's A Dealer with 126lbs at $21.90. The run before that 4th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.75 len behind Omega Boy with 121lbs at $6.30. Can return to winning form. 2nd Pick 1 Qali Al Farrasha Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Michael Mcnab T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	149	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 10th of 17 at Trentham in the G1 Nz Tb Breeders on March 28 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind She's A Dealer with 126lbs at $21.90. The run before that 4th of 14 at Tauranga in the G2 Japan Trophy on March 14 over 1m, on a wet track, 1.75 len behind Omega Boy with 121lbs at $6.30. Can return to winning form.
2	Last start 4th of 17 at Trentham in the G1 Nz Tb Breeders on March 28 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind She's A Dealer with 126lbs at $21.90. Before that 5th of 12 at Trentham in the G3 Cuddle Stks on March 1 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Afternoon Siesta with 123lbs at $12. Terrific chance to atone at this level. 3rd Pick 2 Khanshe Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Fraser Auret J: Matthew Cameron T: Fraser Auret	102	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Last start 4th of 17 at Trentham in the G1 Nz Tb Breeders on March 28 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind She's A Dealer with 126lbs at $21.90. Before that 5th of 12 at Trentham in the G3 Cuddle Stks on March 1 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Afternoon Siesta with 123lbs at $12. Terrific chance to atone at this level.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.