NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

37.6K

VIEW

Verdict

DREAM OF THE MOON (8) made good progress as a 3-year-old and won at Stakes level in her penultimate start at Riccarton in April. She cops a wide gate for her return over a trip that will be well short of her best, but she is fit with 3 trials under her belt, and will be steaming home late. Each way. TRISTAR (5) is another very promising mare who won 2 of her 3 starts last prep, leading into winter. She has had a couple of quiet tune-up trials and will be ready to rumble fresh up. Check the market moves. ERIN GO BRAGH (9) was not ridden out last start due to his jockey's concerns over his action. He was runner-up when resuming, and is worth another chance in this. Each way. BEAST OF BURDEN (6) was not suited to a heavy track at Riccarton in the Listed Stewards Stakes 4 weeks ago and will only need some luck from a wide draw to be a top 4 chance in this. COOPER (4) won as expected fresh up at Whanganui, and his stable seldom treks North unless they think they can win. Stick with him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 16 at Riccarton Park in the LR Warstep Stakes April 26 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Loose Sally with 125lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Riccarton Park March 5 over 6f in the wet defeating Avitus with 129lbs at $1.80. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 8 Dream Of The Moon Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	118	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 16 at Riccarton Park in the LR Warstep Stakes April 26 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Loose Sally with 125lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Riccarton Park March 5 over 6f in the wet defeating Avitus with 129lbs at $1.80. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.
5	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic June 21 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Cork carrying 122lbs at $5.60. Previous preparation first-up won by neck Trentham 3yo SWP May 10 over 6f in the wet defeating Detrimental carrying 119lbs at $2.20. Trialled prior to this and looks set for another bold first-up showing. 2nd Pick 5 Tristar Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	64	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic June 21 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Cork carrying 122lbs at $5.60. Previous preparation first-up won by neck Trentham 3yo SWP May 10 over 6f in the wet defeating Detrimental carrying 119lbs at $2.20. Trialled prior to this and looks set for another bold first-up showing.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on November 1 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Kitty Flash with 128lbs at $5. Second-up raced on the pace before fading 12th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Moxie with 130lbs at $4.10. Rates highly and open to further improvement. 3rd Pick 9 Erin Go Bragh Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	183	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on November 1 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Kitty Flash with 128lbs at $5. Second-up raced on the pace before fading 12th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Moxie with 130lbs at $4.10. Rates highly and open to further improvement.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.