NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

37.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TRISTAR (5) is another very promising mare who won 2 of her 3 starts last prep, leading into winter. She has had a couple of quiet tune-up trials and will be ready to rumble fresh up. Check the market moves. ERIN GO BRAGH (9) was not ridden out last start due to his jockey's concerns over his action. He was runner-up when resuming, and is worth another chance in this. Each way. COOPER (4) won as expected fresh up at Whanganui, and his stable seldom treks North unless they think they can win. Stick with him. WHEN STARS ALIGN (11) won here fresh up by over a length, and drops in weight with the step up in class. Opie Bosson rides from a good draw, and he can repeat the dose. HAVE A CRACK (10) is in good form, and is his jockey, Tayla Mitchell. They have to overcome a wide gate, but are still top 4 chances.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 16 at Riccarton Park in the LR Warstep Stakes April 26 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Loose Sally with 125lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Riccarton Park March 5 over 6f in the wet defeating Avitus with 129lbs at $1.80. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign. 1st Pick 8 Dream Of The Moon Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	118	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of eight months. Finished off last preparation eighth of 16 at Riccarton Park in the LR Warstep Stakes April 26 over 1 ¼m, on heavy track, 9 len behind Loose Sally with 125lbs at $4.80. Previous preparation first-up won by 1.0 len Riccarton Park March 5 over 6f in the wet defeating Avitus with 129lbs at $1.80. Expecting her to hit the ground running this campaign.
5	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic June 21 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Cork carrying 122lbs at $5.60. Previous preparation first-up won by neck Trentham 3yo SWP May 10 over 6f in the wet defeating Detrimental carrying 119lbs at $2.20. Trialled prior to this and looks set for another bold first-up showing. 2nd Pick 5 Tristar Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	64	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation fourth of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic June 21 over 7f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind Cork carrying 122lbs at $5.60. Previous preparation first-up won by neck Trentham 3yo SWP May 10 over 6f in the wet defeating Detrimental carrying 119lbs at $2.20. Trialled prior to this and looks set for another bold first-up showing.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on November 1 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Kitty Flash with 128lbs at $5. Second-up raced on the pace before fading 12th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Moxie with 130lbs at $4.10. Rates highly and open to further improvement. 3rd Pick 9 Erin Go Bragh Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	183	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 2nd of 11 at Tauranga on November 1 over 6f, slow going long-neck behind Kitty Flash with 128lbs at $5. Second-up raced on the pace before fading 12th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Moxie with 130lbs at $4.10. Rates highly and open to further improvement.

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