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3:48 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
10.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DARK DUKE (5) debuts for the Roger James & Robert Wellwood stable after a tidy Avondale trial win earlier in the month. He also trialled in the spring and was deliberately put aside to wait for some wet tracks. If he starts from a wide gate, then he will be hard to beat. WEDDING BELLE (15) had only the one start in her maiden prep when finishing eighth at Ellerslie over 6 ½f and is expected to have improved with time. Her trial form is sound, and she will be ready to run a race fresh. LAURA (11) produced a strong closing effort to finish third at Pukekohe over 1m last start, and she was scratched midweek to be saved for this race. She should again be in the finish with a similar effort. THE RITZ (13) resumed at Pukekohe and was sound without threatening, finishing midfield over 7f. She is bred to want more ground, and she is likely to be running on late here. Each way value. SHOW MERICAN (10) ran on late for third at Ellerslie last start, and the pole position helps. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Dark Duke silk

Three-year-old gelding (Vadamos - Dark Princess). Roger James & Robert Wellwood has him primed for this with three recent trials leading in today's debut. Won his most recent trial at Avondale over 5f on May 12. Should be primed for a big run despite a tricky barrier.

1st Pick
5

Dark Duke

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

78---11%17/2

Analysis

Three-year-old gelding (Vadamos - Dark Princess). Roger James & Robert Wellwood has him primed for this with three recent trials leading in today's debut. Won his most recent trial at Avondale over 5f on May 12. Should be primed for a big run despite a tricky barrier.

15
Wedding Belle silk

Returns to racing after only one start. Back after a year break. At debut last start 8th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 25 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Beneath The Stars with 118lbs at $9. Had three recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was third in an Avondale barrier trial over 5f on May 12. Anticipating her to hit the ground running this campaign.

2nd Pick
15

Wedding Belle

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Unknown Jockey

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

75---8%12/1

Analysis

Returns to racing after only one start. Back after a year break. At debut last start 8th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 25 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Beneath The Stars with 118lbs at $9. Had three recent trials to get ready for this. Last trial Was third in an Avondale barrier trial over 5f on May 12. Anticipating her to hit the ground running this campaign.

11
Laura silk

At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Radradra carrying 125lbs at $8.90. The run before that second last in a small field at Te Aroha on March 6 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Alikat carrying 123lbs at $2.60. Made headway last time. Strong chance.

3rd Pick
11

Laura

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

202---14%13/2

Analysis

At the latest run 3rd of 12 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Radradra carrying 125lbs at $8.90. The run before that second last in a small field at Te Aroha on March 6 over 1m, slow going 7 len behind Alikat carrying 123lbs at $2.60. Made headway last time. Strong chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.