NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

10.6K

VIEW

Verdict

ANOTHER FLOOZIE (7) was well ridden when coming with a sustained run from well back to score comfortably at Arawa Park nearly 3 weeks ago. She is bred to be better than a 1-win mare, and she can now go on with the job. QUONDO (3) was G2 placed as a juvenile and was a tad disappointing fresh up in the G2 Levin Classic in his first start as a 3-year-old. He can get his confidence back at this level and can make amends. UNWRITTEN (4) followed up a deserved maiden win at Te Aroha with a strong finishing third at Ruakaka 10 days ago. She cops a wide gate, but is still worth including in all combos. LERADO (1) will be peaking third up and has a superior gate this time. Don't risk him. WASHI (12) is peaking third up and won't be far away at some each-way value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Second-up. First-up after a year from last on the turn 9th of 11 at Matamata on December 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Transaction carrying 126lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up favourite, won by 4.5 len at Arawa Park December 28 2024 over 7 ¾f defeating Golden Century with 121lbs at $3.20. Fitter and can break through. 1st Pick 8 Crown Princess Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	123	-	-	-	19%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after a year from last on the turn 9th of 11 at Matamata on December 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Transaction carrying 126lbs at $3.90. Previously second-up favourite, won by 4.5 len at Arawa Park December 28 2024 over 7 ¾f defeating Golden Century with 121lbs at $3.20. Fitter and can break through.
7	Last start won by 1.3 len at Arawa Park December 27 over 7 ¾f in soft going defeating Lofty Manuel with 125lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 9 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Dragon Blossom carrying 127lbs at $8.60. Can make it back-to-back wins. 2nd Pick 7 Another Floozie Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	126	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Last start won by 1.3 len at Arawa Park December 27 over 7 ¾f in soft going defeating Lofty Manuel with 125lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 9 at Arawa Park on December 5 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Dragon Blossom carrying 127lbs at $8.60. Can make it back-to-back wins.
3	Second-up. First-up after two months ran last of 14 at Trentham in the G2 Levin Classic on January 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 14 len behind La Dorada with 126lbs at $30.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at this track in the G2 Hawke's Bay Guineas on September 27 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Magic Carpet carrying 126lbs at $4.90. Will appreciate this easier contest and should be right in the mix. 3rd Pick 3 Quondo Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Opie Bosson T: Andrew Forsman	128	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months ran last of 14 at Trentham in the G2 Levin Classic on January 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 14 len behind La Dorada with 126lbs at $30.80. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at this track in the G2 Hawke's Bay Guineas on September 27 over 7f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Magic Carpet carrying 126lbs at $4.90. Will appreciate this easier contest and should be right in the mix.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.