NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7
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Verdict
| #/Silk | Horse#/Horse | Power Rating | High Speed | Win % | Top 3% | Win Prob | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Second run back. First-up after eight months 7th of 13 in the G2 Foxbridge Plate at this track on August 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Alabama Lass carrying 129lbs at $13.70. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at this track on June 14 2025 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Gospodin with 121lbs at $1.30. Expect a far better result this time. 1st Pick 1 Twain Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: John Bell J: Tom Wigram T: John Bell | 131 | - | - | - | 11% | 17/2 |
Analysis Second run back. First-up after eight months 7th of 13 in the G2 Foxbridge Plate at this track on August 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Alabama Lass carrying 129lbs at $13.70. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at this track on June 14 2025 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Gospodin with 121lbs at $1.30. Expect a far better result this time. | |||||||
3 | Last start 8th of 14 at this track on September 13 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Lhasa with 127lbs at $17.70. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track on August 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Dusty Road carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Too good to dismiss and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 3 Little Bit Of Love Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Michael Mcnab T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott | 119 | - | - | - | 6% | 18/1 |
Analysis Last start 8th of 14 at this track on September 13 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Lhasa with 127lbs at $17.70. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track on August 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Dusty Road carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Too good to dismiss and deserves another chance. | |||||||
6 | Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 11 at Ellerslie April 4 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Cannon Hill with 123lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, third of 10 at Trentham January 31 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Archaic Smile carrying 119lbs at $6.50. Capable of big run. 3rd Pick 6 I'm All In Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Warren Kennedy T: Stephen Marsh | 68 | - | - | - | 11% | 17/2 |
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 11 at Ellerslie April 4 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Cannon Hill with 123lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, third of 10 at Trentham January 31 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Archaic Smile carrying 119lbs at $6.50. Capable of big run. | |||||||

