NZ - Te Rapa - Race 7

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

28.6K

VIEW

Verdict

TWAIN (1) is a quality performer when right, and his effort for seventh fresh up in the G2 Foxbridge Plate was full of merit. He is unbeaten second up, and will notice the drop in grade. The rise in weight is no problem for a horse of his class, and he should be the one to beat. I'M ALL IN (6) produced some handy results in good fields last season, and resumes in good shape after winning a recent Ellerslie trial. He comes to hand quickly, and is worthy of each-way respect fresh up. SWEET SMILE (8) is a lightly tried and progressive 6YO gelding resuming from a spell. He won a recent trial, and will be ready to rumble. JETHRO TULL (7) has been thereabouts since winning, and he maps to get a run to suit him here. Include in all top 4 combos. CHATELLE ROSE (11) will be chasing a hat-trick of wins up in class, but looks up to the task, especially with the aid of the pole position.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Second run back. First-up after eight months 7th of 13 in the G2 Foxbridge Plate at this track on August 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Alabama Lass carrying 129lbs at $13.70. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at this track on June 14 2025 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Gospodin with 121lbs at $1.30. Expect a far better result this time. 1st Pick 1 Twain Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: John Bell J: Tom Wigram T: John Bell	131	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after eight months 7th of 13 in the G2 Foxbridge Plate at this track on August 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind Alabama Lass carrying 129lbs at $13.70. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at this track on June 14 2025 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Gospodin with 121lbs at $1.30. Expect a far better result this time.
3	Last start 8th of 14 at this track on September 13 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Lhasa with 127lbs at $17.70. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track on August 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Dusty Road carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Too good to dismiss and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 3 Little Bit Of Love Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Non Runner T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	119	-	-	-	6%	Scratched
Analysis Last start 8th of 14 at this track on September 13 over 5 ½f, on rain affected going, 2.75 len behind Lhasa with 127lbs at $17.70. Before that 3rd in a small field at this track on August 8 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Dusty Road carrying 126lbs at $2.50. Too good to dismiss and deserves another chance.
6	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 11 at Ellerslie April 4 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Cannon Hill with 123lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, third of 10 at Trentham January 31 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Archaic Smile carrying 119lbs at $6.50. Capable of big run. 3rd Pick 6 I'm All In Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Warren Kennedy T: Stephen Marsh	68	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last campaign seventh of 11 at Ellerslie April 4 over 6 ½f, soft track, 2.5 len behind Cannon Hill with 123lbs at $6.50. Previously first up, third of 10 at Trentham January 31 over 6f, soft track, 0.8 len behind Archaic Smile carrying 119lbs at $6.50. Capable of big run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.