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2:28 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 6

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
9.9f
OPEN
Turf
SOFT 5
420.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LEGARTO (8) had no luck last start at Trentham when bizarrely her jockey decided to stay to the inside of the track when the winners were all coming wide that day, so to finish fourth was a very good effort. Opie Bosson steps into the irons, and she gets her chance to break back into the winner's circle here. KINGSWOOD (1) was well ridden last start when making a quick move to lead on a slow pace, and then quickening well to score easily by over a length in the G1 Zabeel Classic. He has the pole position, and won't have to lead to be a big chance of repeating the dose. EL VENCEDOR (2) needs to lead to be at his best, and he is likely to be right on the pace with a step back up to a middle distance after a disappointing effort over 7 ½f at Ellerslie a week ago. Stick with him. KNOBELAS (10) will strip fitter after finishing third in the G3 Aotearoa Classic as the favourite 2 weeks ago over a mile. Follow your money. HINEKAHA (9) is in terrific form against similar fields. Each way.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Legarto silk

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 12 at Trentham in the G2 Thorndon Mile on January 17 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Doctor Askar with 128lbs at $3.90. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Ellerslie in the G1 Zabeel Classic on December 26 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2 len behind Kingswood with 126lbs at $5.60. Give another chance.

1st Pick
8

Legarto

Jockey: Opie Bosson

Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso

J: Opie Bosson

T: Ken & Bev Kelso

152---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 12 at Trentham in the G2 Thorndon Mile on January 17 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Doctor Askar with 128lbs at $3.90. The start before that 3rd of 9 at Ellerslie in the G1 Zabeel Classic on December 26 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2 len behind Kingswood with 126lbs at $5.60. Give another chance.

1
Kingswood silk

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 43-day let-up. Last start won by 1.5 len at Ellerslie G1 Zabeel Classic December 26 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Jaarffi carrying 130lbs at $10.30. The run before that came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Ballarat in the LR Brat Cup on December 6 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Berkeley Square carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Looks hard to beat again.

2nd Pick
1

Kingswood

Jockey: Rory Hutchings

Trainer: Gavin Bedggood

J: Rory Hutchings

T: Gavin Bedggood

120---37%7/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 43-day let-up. Last start won by 1.5 len at Ellerslie G1 Zabeel Classic December 26 over 1 ¼m on a rain affected track defeating Jaarffi carrying 130lbs at $10.30. The run before that came from midfield, 4th of 14 at Ballarat in the LR Brat Cup on December 6 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 5 len behind Berkeley Square carrying 130lbs at $4.60. Looks hard to beat again.

2
El Vencedor silk

Last start 8th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR FULTON FAMILY STAKES on January 31 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Special Sakura carrying 137lbs at $2.90. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Ellerslie in the G1 Zabeel Classic on December 26 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kingswood carrying 130lbs at $3.60. Suited to this trip, so go again.

3rd Pick
2

El Vencedor

Jockey: Wiremu Pinn

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Wiremu Pinn

T: Stephen Marsh

135---10%9/1

Analysis

Last start 8th of 13 at Ellerslie in the LR FULTON FAMILY STAKES on January 31 over 7 ½f, slow going 8 len behind Special Sakura carrying 137lbs at $2.90. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Ellerslie in the G1 Zabeel Classic on December 26 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Kingswood carrying 130lbs at $3.60. Suited to this trip, so go again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.