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3:09 AM

NZ - Te Rapa - Race 6

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
6.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
10.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MARZENIE (1) continues to race in consistent form with 4 placings from as many starts this preparation. She set the pace and was only claimed in the run home when third at Ellerslie over 7f nearly 4 weeks ago, and from a superior gate, this looks a more suitable assignment. Well placed to take this out. MUTEKI (10) makes her debut from the coveted pole position, and she showed plenty in a recent Avondale trial win under race-day rider Matt Cartwright. Follow the money trails. AURORA BELLE (9) also makes her debut after a tidy Avondale trial win and represents a stable that can get them ready to rumble. She is bred to relish wet ground, and she can make an immediate impact. THE GIGGLER (14) is another first-starter from a respected yard, and she has shown enough at the trials to suggest she won't be a maiden for long. HONOR THE NAME (4) ran on well at Ellerslie last time out, and she could have a fitness edge over some of her main rivals. Each way value.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Marzenie silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Wee Nessy carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Rumours with 126lbs at $2.70. Sure to be tough to beat.

1st Pick
1

Marzenie

Jockey: Wiremu Pinn

Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

J: Wiremu Pinn

T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall

166---27%11/4

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 15 at Ellerslie on April 27 over 7f, slow going 2.25 len behind Wee Nessy carrying 122lbs at $2.80. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 9 at Matamata on March 11 over 7f, slow going 1.3 len behind Rumours with 126lbs at $2.70. Sure to be tough to beat.

10
Muteki silk

Filly by Per Incanto facing the starter for the first time. Won an Avondale trial over 5f on May 12. Expected to feature.

2nd Pick
10

Muteki

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Stephen Marsh

60---14%13/2

Analysis

Filly by Per Incanto facing the starter for the first time. Won an Avondale trial over 5f on May 12. Expected to feature.

9
Aurora Belle silk

Three-year-old filly making debut by Belardo out of Nina Arora. Won a trial at Avondale over 5f May 12. Expected to run well.

3rd Pick
9

Aurora Belle

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Conor And Sarah Fahy

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Conor And Sarah Fahy

65---16%11/2

Analysis

Three-year-old filly making debut by Belardo out of Nina Arora. Won a trial at Avondale over 5f May 12. Expected to run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.