NZ - Te Rapa - Race 5

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

101.2K

VIEW

Verdict

QALI AL FARRASHA (1) won the G2 Breeders' Stakes at Pukekohe 3 weeks ago, where the only surprise was the price she paid. She is even better stepping up to a mile, and with Opie Bosson back in the irons, she can repeat the dose, just don't expect another fancy price. HINEKAHA (5) has won her last 2 starts by a neck at BM75 level, but won't be overawed by stepping up to Group company. She is nicely drawn, and the hat-trick beckons. JAARFFI (2) ran on from well back when finishing just over 2 lengths behind the top pick last time out. That run will have her ready to step up to a mile here, and she can figure in the top 4 again here. QUEEN ZOU (6) capped off some improving form to score a well-deserved nose win at Pukekohe 3 weeks ago. This is her toughest test to date, but she is up to the challenge. Include in all combinations. ELECTRON (3) lifted strongly to score by a nose at Otaki nearly 2 weeks ago. She races on the pace, and is not without a top 4 chance here as well.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Pukekohe G2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeder's Stakes November 22 over 7f on a soft track defeating Provence with 126lbs at $13.30. The run before that 9th of 14 at this track in the G1 Howden Mile on September 27 over 1m, in the wet, 7 len behind Waitak with 126lbs at $17.80. Key chance capable of going on with it. 1st Pick 1 Qali Al Farrasha Jockey: Opie Bosson Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Opie Bosson T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	200	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis At the latest run ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Pukekohe G2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeder's Stakes November 22 over 7f on a soft track defeating Provence with 126lbs at $13.30. The run before that 9th of 14 at this track in the G1 Howden Mile on September 27 over 1m, in the wet, 7 len behind Waitak with 126lbs at $17.80. Key chance capable of going on with it.
5	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by a long-neck at Waverley November 14 over 7f on a soft track defeating Special Sakura carrying 128lbs at $2.20. The run before that favourite, won by a long-neck at Ellerslie October 25 over 7f in soft going defeating Leroy Brown carrying 122lbs at $4.30. Hard to fault and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 5 Hinekaha Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	125	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 29 day let-up. At the latest run favourite, won by a long-neck at Waverley November 14 over 7f on a soft track defeating Special Sakura carrying 128lbs at $2.20. The run before that favourite, won by a long-neck at Ellerslie October 25 over 7f in soft going defeating Leroy Brown carrying 122lbs at $4.30. Hard to fault and can go on with it.
2	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe in the G2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeder's Stakes on November 22 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Qali Al Farrasha carrying 126lbs at $6.70. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Pukekohe in the LR WaikRC Sprint Handicap on November 8 over 6f, nose behind Force Of Nature carrying 128lbs at $11.60. Going well. Can feature with the right run. 3rd Pick 2 Jaarffi Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	118	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 11 at Pukekohe in the G2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeder's Stakes on November 22 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Qali Al Farrasha carrying 126lbs at $6.70. The start before that 2nd of 8 at Pukekohe in the LR WaikRC Sprint Handicap on November 8 over 6f, nose behind Force Of Nature carrying 128lbs at $11.60. Going well. Can feature with the right run.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.