NZ - Te Rapa - Race 2

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

20.4K

VIEW

Verdict

SEE YOU IN BEIJING (3) looked to peak late on his run when resuming at Waverly 3 weeks ago, but he still managed to finish third. He had won a trial easily before that, and despite a wide gate here, he is the one to beat. SIR FERGUS (7) was less than a length from the winner fresh up at Tauranga, and then may have found 7f a tad too far at Te Aroha last time out. He is worth another chance with a return to this trip. JELLY ROLL (1) is as tough as they come, and since his brave win by a nose at Te Aroha in June, he has finished third twice. Stick with him, especially if the track is heavy. MISS ANNA LEE (8) was a late scratching at Hawera due to a mix up, and she was in good nick that day after winning a trial at Foxton last month. Don't risk her. HEY HEY BABY (4) has not won for some time, but she is a genuine mare with top 4 claims in this field.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Dual acceptor. Racing second-up today. Last outing 3rd of 13 at Waverley on July 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Great Escape carrying 130lbs at $7.70. At only start last preparation won by a nose at New Plymouth Raceway December 4 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Belles Boom carrying 129lbs at $5.70. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 1st Pick 3 See You In Beijing Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Peter Lock J: Non Runner T: Peter Lock	104	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Racing second-up today. Last outing 3rd of 13 at Waverley on July 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Great Escape carrying 130lbs at $7.70. At only start last preparation won by a nose at New Plymouth Raceway December 4 over 6f on a heavy track defeating Belles Boom carrying 129lbs at $5.70. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.
7	Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 12 at Tauranga on May 29 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Opaea Joe carrying 131lbs at $9.10. Last start ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at Te Aroha on July 5 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.4 len behind Sally carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Expected to go close with repeat of latest. 2nd Pick 7 Sir Fergus Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Barbara Kennedy J: Warren Kennedy T: Barbara Kennedy	103	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 3rd of 12 at Tauranga on May 29 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Opaea Joe carrying 131lbs at $9.10. Last start ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at Te Aroha on July 5 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.4 len behind Sally carrying 129lbs at $4.80. Expected to go close with repeat of latest.
1	Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 10 at Hawera on July 11 over 6f, in the wet, 5 len behind Amazing Son carrying 123lbs at $6.80. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Tauranga on June 27 over 6f, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Purosangue with 131lbs at $9. Has solid top 4 prospects. 3rd Pick 1 Jelly Roll Jockey: Tom Wigram Trainer: Samantha Logan J: Tom Wigram T: Samantha Logan	88	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 3rd of 10 at Hawera on July 11 over 6f, in the wet, 5 len behind Amazing Son carrying 123lbs at $6.80. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Tauranga on June 27 over 6f, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Purosangue with 131lbs at $9. Has solid top 4 prospects.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.