NZ - Tauranga - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

22.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HELL ISLAND (2) bided his time at the back before unleashing a huge run to score last start at Ellerslie in May. Trail winner with plenty in reserve last month. Take beating here. BETHANY DEE (4) good efforts both starts this prep, fighting well from on the pace fresh over 5 ½f and making up many lengths over 6 ½f last time. Win came at this trip. OUR SOLANA (10) led all the way in her easy maiden win in January. Peaked on her run when fresh at Ellerslie. Great record 2nd-up. HIGHLY ANTICIPATED (13) led most of the way & yielded late over 7 ¾f on the synthetic 2 back then caught wide on the speed and battled late last time. FROZEN FORTUNE (7) rounded them up from the tail at Ellerslie back in April then outclassed in the G3 Championship Stakes last time. Keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Gelding back from a spell of five-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign by 0.2 len Ellerslie May 6 over 7 ½f slow track defeating Madame Kleptomane carrying 129lbs at $4.70. When resuming last campaign second of 8 at Te Aroha March 28 over 5 ¾f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Wine Rocs with 128lbs at $21.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Looks all set for a positive return. 1st Pick 2 Hell Island Jockey: Corentin Berge Trainer: Chris Wood J: Corentin Berge T: Chris Wood	89	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of five-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign by 0.2 len Ellerslie May 6 over 7 ½f slow track defeating Madame Kleptomane carrying 129lbs at $4.70. When resuming last campaign second of 8 at Te Aroha March 28 over 5 ¾f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Wine Rocs with 128lbs at $21.10. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Looks all set for a positive return.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Not raced for 39 days. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Ruakaka on August 15 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Scolera with 119lbs at $7.60. Second run from a spell 2nd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.3 len behind Big Wave with 119lbs at $8.80. Main contender. 2nd Pick 4 Bethany Dee Jockey: Wiremu Pinn Trainer: David Greene J: Wiremu Pinn T: David Greene	181	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Not raced for 39 days. Resuming 2nd in a small field at Ruakaka on August 15 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Scolera with 119lbs at $7.60. Second run from a spell 2nd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.3 len behind Big Wave with 119lbs at $8.80. Main contender.
10	Second run back. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 6 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Day One carrying 123lbs at $11.80. Previously second-up won by 2.5 len at Taupo on February 22 over 7f defeating Bellish Boy carrying 125lbs at $4.50. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 10 Our Solana Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	112	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 6 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Day One carrying 123lbs at $11.80. Previously second-up won by 2.5 len at Taupo on February 22 over 7f defeating Bellish Boy carrying 125lbs at $4.50. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

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