NZ - Tauranga - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

PRUDENTIA (11) will appreciate it if there is any rain on the day, and she has been close up in a couple of starts since her big finishing win by a head at Te Rapa in April. She maps to receive the run of the race from the pole position, and she has also won here in the past. On top for us. RIBKRAKA (3) has found form at the right time when finishing third at Te Rapa 2 weeks ago in a similar field. He normally holds his form when fit, and he should be hard to beat. PRINCIPLED (1) sailed home out wide when winning his last start at Te Aroha by a space. He cops an extra 7lbs, but in similar heavy track conditions, he can repeat the dose. SENSE OF TIMING (4) has needed both of her starts back from a spell, and even from a wide gate, she is worth including in all top 4 combos. THE NOMAD (8) can mix his form, but he has won his only start on this track. Stick with him at value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Dual acceptor. Most recently 5th of 13 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Moneypenny with 119lbs at $8.20. The run before that 3rd of 16 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind Overdrawn with 119lbs at $14.10. Can improve on the latest effort and is a key runner. 1st Pick 11 Prudentia Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	120	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Most recently 5th of 13 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Moneypenny with 119lbs at $8.20. The run before that 3rd of 16 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.3 len behind Overdrawn with 119lbs at $14.10. Can improve on the latest effort and is a key runner.
3	Dual acceptor. Last start 3rd of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Erin Go Bragh carrying 126lbs at $14.80. Before that 6th of 13 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Moneypenny carrying 126lbs at $38.20. Further improvement expected. 2nd Pick 3 Ribkraka Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Unknown Jockey T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	118	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Dual acceptor. Last start 3rd of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 7f, on a slow track, 1.0 len behind Erin Go Bragh carrying 126lbs at $14.80. Before that 6th of 13 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Moneypenny carrying 126lbs at $38.20. Further improvement expected.
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 14th of 16 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 7f, slow going 7 len behind Overdrawn with 126lbs at $71.80. Second-up ran on from midfield and won by 5.5 len at Te Aroha June 4 over 1m in heavy going defeating Nancy She Wrote carrying 125lbs at $54.70. Key chance who should prove hard to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Principled Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Paul Richards J: Matthew Cameron T: Paul Richards	113	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 14th of 16 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 7f, slow going 7 len behind Overdrawn with 126lbs at $71.80. Second-up ran on from midfield and won by 5.5 len at Te Aroha June 4 over 1m in heavy going defeating Nancy She Wrote carrying 125lbs at $54.70. Key chance who should prove hard to beat.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.