NZ - Tauranga - Race 6

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

LEVAKIA (9) is the main threat to the top pick now that she is peaking third up from a spell. She tries a middle distance for the first time, and she has the talent to take this out and then go on with it. MOLLIFY (5) has improved this season, and made it 2 wins from 4 starts this prep with a big win at Pukekohe nearly 3 weeks ago. She only cops an extra kilo in weight, and can repeat the dose. GILLIAN (7) dug deep to score by a head at Te Aroha a month ago, and will still be on the up with her fitness. She can secure the run of the race after drawing the pole position, and there is more in store for this progressive mare. MALDINI (6) has not won for some time, but his form has been solid. Each way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Most recently 4th of 8 at Ellerslie on November 29 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Santa Catalina carrying 122lbs at $6.30. The run before that 8th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Solidify carrying 123lbs at $14.40. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance. 1st Pick 11 Moonlight Magic Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Non Runner T: Andrew Forsman	90	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 4th of 8 at Ellerslie on November 29 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Santa Catalina carrying 122lbs at $6.30. The run before that 8th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Solidify carrying 123lbs at $14.40. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.
9	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up second last of 10 at this track on November 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Bak Da Angel carrying 126lbs at $6.20. Second-up 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Queen Zou with 125lbs at $15.50. Worth following up. 2nd Pick 9 Levakia Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Ken & Bev Kelso J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Ken & Bev Kelso	90	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up second last of 10 at this track on November 1 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Bak Da Angel carrying 126lbs at $6.20. Second-up 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 22 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Queen Zou with 125lbs at $15.50. Worth following up.
5	Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at Pukekohe November 22 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Atmospheric with 123lbs at $3.50. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on November 8 over 1m, 1.4 len behind I'm Lulu carrying 119lbs at $5.60. Impressed last start and can go on with it. 3rd Pick 5 Mollify Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	90	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently favourite, won by 0.8 len at Pukekohe November 22 over 1 5/16m on a soft track defeating Atmospheric with 123lbs at $3.50. The start before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Pukekohe on November 8 over 1m, 1.4 len behind I'm Lulu carrying 119lbs at $5.60. Impressed last start and can go on with it.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.