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3:15 AM

NZ - Tauranga - Race 6

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
7f
OPEN
Turf
HEAVY 10
45.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

TRISTAR (4) broke her win drought with a deserved win by a nose at Te Rapa 2 weeks ago, and it is important to note that she has won on this track in the past. She cops a superior gate this time, and an extra 7lbs may not be enough to stop her from winning again. GRANDE GALLO (2) got up late to score by a nose at Te Aroha just over 3 weeks ago, and her record on this track is very good, including 3 wins. She loves it heavy and will be among the hardest to beat again. CHURCHILLIAN (1) likes to set the pace, and those tactics around this circuit can be quite useful with a soft quarter in the running. This is her pet trip, and if she can dictate the early pace, then she can take them all the way. ASTORIA BROOKE (12) has improved in each of her 3 starts back from a spell, and she has won her only start on this course over the trip. Michael McNab sticks with her, and so do we. HONEY BADGER (3) has been racing well since her fresh-up BM75 win at Whanganui in April. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Tristar silk

Racing well recently. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose at Te Rapa June 13 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Little Bit Of Love carrying 119lbs at $2.90. Before that 4th of 8 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Vegas Queen carrying 119lbs at $2.90. Tough to beat on latest and can measure up again.

1st Pick
4

Tristar

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: George Rooke

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

95---16%11/2

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose at Te Rapa June 13 over 6f on a rain affected track defeating Little Bit Of Love carrying 119lbs at $2.90. Before that 4th of 8 at Te Rapa on May 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Vegas Queen carrying 119lbs at $2.90. Tough to beat on latest and can measure up again.

2
Grande Gallo silk

Last start came from midfield and won by a nose at Te Aroha June 4 over 5 ¾f in heavy going defeating Honey Badger carrying 120lbs at $8.20. The start before that 5th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 16 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Yaldi carrying 122lbs at $11. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

2nd Pick
2

Grande Gallo

Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Masahiro Hashizume

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

112---12%15/2

Analysis

Last start came from midfield and won by a nose at Te Aroha June 4 over 5 ¾f in heavy going defeating Honey Badger carrying 120lbs at $8.20. The start before that 5th of 11 at Ellerslie on May 16 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Yaldi carrying 122lbs at $11. Terrific chance to continue the strong form.

1
Churchillian silk

At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at Wanganui in the LR WangJC AGC Training (Jackson) Stakes on May 30 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Electron with 126lbs at $3.20. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at Arawa Park G3 Itm Stakes May 9 over 7f in heavy going defeating Platinum Diamond with 126lbs at $6.30. Huge chance on best figures.

3rd Pick
1

Churchillian

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Samantha Collett

T: Tony Pike

97---16%11/2

Analysis

At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 11 at Wanganui in the LR WangJC AGC Training (Jackson) Stakes on May 30 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Electron with 126lbs at $3.20. Before that favourite, won by 2 len at Arawa Park G3 Itm Stakes May 9 over 7f in heavy going defeating Platinum Diamond with 126lbs at $6.30. Huge chance on best figures.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.