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2:40 AM

NZ - Tauranga - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
10.4f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 10
19.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WHATTHEMANSAW (4) has really come of age this prep, winning twice, and then fighting on gamely for second at Te Aroha last time out. He has a superior gate this time, and with no problems in deep ground, he is the one to beat in this. HEZA SHARP ONE (3) has raced himself back into top form recently, and was less than a length from the winner when finishing fourth at Te Rapa 2 weeks ago, following on from a brace of wins in May. Stick with him. DANCE FOR HER (5) caught the eye with a nice late finish for fourth fresh, and then let down powerfully to score by half a length at Otaki 6 weeks ago. The gap between runs is our only query, but if ready, she can figure in the top 3 here. TENFOOT TALL (7) did nothing fresh before winning a trial, and then running on late over 1m at Matamata last time out. The extra 2 ½f is the key, and she can take this out. JUST A KARIN (6) is usually consistent when fit, and her start second was sound on the Cambridge poly track. Include in all combos.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Whatthemansaw silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 1m, in the wet, 3 len behind Pick Of The Litter carrying 123lbs at $5. The start before that won by a 0.1 len at Arawa Park May 9 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Pure Bars with 129lbs at $12.30. Nicely placed and is sure to run well.

1st Pick
4

Whatthemansaw

Jockey: Lynsey Satherley

Trainer: Debbie Sweeney

J: Lynsey Satherley

T: Debbie Sweeney

54---25%3/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd of 11 at Te Aroha on June 4 over 1m, in the wet, 3 len behind Pick Of The Litter carrying 123lbs at $5. The start before that won by a 0.1 len at Arawa Park May 9 over 1m on a heavy track defeating Pure Bars with 129lbs at $12.30. Nicely placed and is sure to run well.

3
Heza Sharp One silk

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Boxmoss carrying 125lbs at $5.70. The start before that won by 1.0 len at Te Rapa May 30 over 1m in soft going defeating Bradley with 130lbs at $5.10. Well placed. Expected to feature.

2nd Pick
3

Heza Sharp One

Jockey: George Rooke

Trainer: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale

J: George Rooke

T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale

86---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 14 at Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ½m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Boxmoss carrying 125lbs at $5.70. The start before that won by 1.0 len at Te Rapa May 30 over 1m in soft going defeating Bradley with 130lbs at $5.10. Well placed. Expected to feature.

5
Dance For Her silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Freshened for 42 days. Resuming 4th of 16 at Te Rapa on April 25 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Ballbeena with 126lbs at $21. Second-up ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Otaki May 16 over 1m on a soft track defeating The Weapon carrying 126lbs at $9.10. Can get the job done again.

3rd Pick
5

Dance For Her

Jockey: Matthew Cameron

Trainer: Tony Cole

J: Matthew Cameron

T: Tony Cole

83---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Freshened for 42 days. Resuming 4th of 16 at Te Rapa on April 25 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Ballbeena with 126lbs at $21. Second-up ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Otaki May 16 over 1m on a soft track defeating The Weapon carrying 126lbs at $9.10. Can get the job done again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.