NZ - Tauranga - Race 4

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

11.1K

VIEW

Verdict

CIAO BELLISSIMA (13) never fired a shot at Pukekohe last time out despite some solid market support. She was much better before that on this track when finishing fourth, and in this field, she can make amends. Each-way. CHICA (11) fought on gamely for second at Te Rapa nearly 3 weeks ago, following on from a fair debut fifth at Matamata. All of her trials have been in a clockwise direction, and she can go one better here. LAST WISH (12) needed the experience fresh up, and then ran on from last when finishing third at Whanganui last time out. He is peaking at the right time, and even from a wide gate, she will be among the hardest to beat here. O'HELLO (3) did not let down as expected at Ellerslie last start when peaking late on his effort. He has less time between runs, and he has solid top 3 claims. Stick with him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Most recently 10th of 13 at Pukekohe on January 18 over 6 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Starlit Express carrying 121lbs at $5.70. The start before that 4th of 11 at this track on January 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Panther with 121lbs at $4.20. Better than that last run suggests. 1st Pick 13 Ciao Bellissima Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Lance Noble J: Warren Kennedy T: Lance Noble	147	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently 10th of 13 at Pukekohe on January 18 over 6 ½f, slow going 6 len behind Starlit Express carrying 121lbs at $5.70. The start before that 4th of 11 at this track on January 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Panther with 121lbs at $4.20. Better than that last run suggests.
11	Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, 5th of 7 at Matamata on December 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Red Pearl with 123lbs at $4.10. Second-up 2nd of 15 at Te Rapa on January 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Single Red carrying 121lbs at $5.40. Progressing well and is a major player. 2nd Pick 11 Chica Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Joe Doyle T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	128	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Lining up for just third start. When well in the market at debut, 5th of 7 at Matamata on December 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Red Pearl with 123lbs at $4.10. Second-up 2nd of 15 at Te Rapa on January 16 over 7f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Single Red carrying 121lbs at $5.40. Progressing well and is a major player.
12	Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Arawa Park on December 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Clear Conscience carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Wanganui on January 19 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.75 len behind Erbys Darci carrying 125lbs at $4.30. Forward showing expected. 3rd Pick 12 Last Wish Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Lauren Brennan J: George Rooke T: Lauren Brennan	94	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Having third race start. When well in the market at debut, sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at Arawa Park on December 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Clear Conscience carrying 123lbs at $4.40. Second-up came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 7 at Wanganui on January 19 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.75 len behind Erbys Darci carrying 125lbs at $4.30. Forward showing expected.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.