NZ - Tauranga - Race 4

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

10.4f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

SWEET BUT PSYCHO (2) is proving to be rather frustrating, and she let us down 3 weeks ago when dropping into this grade and finishing fourth when running on dourly late for fourth. We are giving her another chance in this. Each way. MO CHARAID (4) has also disappointed his supporters in 3 of his 4 starts this prep. He is bred to cope with more ground, and the extra 3f could be the key to his form reversal. Stick with him. PURE BARS (11) dropped back to 13f at Ellerslie 5 weeks ago and failed to flatter. His form over this trip prior to that was very good, and he can make amends in this, despite his wide gate. PRISCA (10) drops back from a competitive BM75 field at Te Rapa 2 weeks ago, and she is capable of a top 4 finish this time. ALASKAN (5) was solid fresh up at New Plymouth, and then fought on gamely for fifth at Ellerslie 3 weeks ago. She is peaking at the right time, and she can bounce straight back into the money here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	At the latest run 4th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 2.75 len behind Free Bird with 128lbs at $10.70. Before that got back early 5th of 7 at Te Rapa on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Bonnard carrying 119lbs at $6.30. This looks a nice assignment so she can bounce back. 1st Pick 2 Sweet But Psycho Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	126	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 12 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 1 5/16m, slow going 2.75 len behind Free Bird with 128lbs at $10.70. Before that got back early 5th of 7 at Te Rapa on May 24 over 1m, on a slow track, 6 len behind Bonnard carrying 119lbs at $6.30. This looks a nice assignment so she can bounce back.
4	Last start ran second last of 14 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 7 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Andiamo with 130lbs at $8.50. The race before that 7th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind I Park with 125lbs at $12.80. Deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 4 Mo Charaid Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Terry Wenn J: Sam Mcnab T: Terry Wenn	97	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Last start ran second last of 14 at Ellerslie on June 6 over 7 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Andiamo with 130lbs at $8.50. The race before that 7th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind I Park with 125lbs at $12.80. Deserves another chance.
11	Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind I Park carrying 125lbs at $9. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 1m, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Whatthemansaw carrying 118lbs at $3.90. Has ability and can return to form. 3rd Pick 11 Pure Bars Jockey: Ethan Jones Trainer: Brent Pinny J: Ethan Jones T: Brent Pinny	152	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 at Ellerslie on May 23 over 1m, slow going 8 len behind I Park carrying 125lbs at $9. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 1m, in the wet, 0.1 len behind Whatthemansaw carrying 118lbs at $3.90. Has ability and can return to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.