NZ - Tauranga - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

6.5f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

14.5K

VIEW

Verdict

WE FOUND LOVE (5) has been a beaten favourite in similar company in both of her runs since resuming from a spell, firstly by a nose when resuming, and then finishing fourth at Te Aroha over an unsuitable 5f 16 days ago. She is perfectly placed for her peak run and can get the job done in a modest field. LINKIN PARK (7) goes very quickly early on, but can overdo it in front sometimes. He is still a maiden, so he drops 7lbs from his last run, and if he can settle a touch better, then he can take them all the way. NOTABADBERGS (3) settled too far back over 5f last start and only battled on late. He will race a lot handier to the pace over 6 ½f, and a form reversal is on the cards. GOLD CARD (1) has needed all of his 3 starts back from a spell, and can figure in the top 4 this time. RIDGEVIEW VICKY (4) has been racing consistently and was in the money for the first time on a good track against most of these last time out at Te Aroha. Stick with her.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going nose behind Goldiluxe carrying 128lbs at $3. Second-up 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Karyon with 128lbs at $2.40. One of the main contenders. 1st Pick 5 We Found Love Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Lauren Brennan J: George Rooke T: Lauren Brennan	128	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going nose behind Goldiluxe carrying 128lbs at $3. Second-up 4th of 10 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 5f, 1.2 len behind Karyon with 128lbs at $2.40. One of the main contenders.
7	Dual acceptor. Comes off a 36 day let-up. At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Road To Paris carrying 129lbs at $5.90. The run before that 2nd of 13 at this track on November 1 over 7f, slow going head behind Happy Venture carrying 129lbs at $12.80. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 7 Linkin Park Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Sam Mynott J: Matthew Cameron T: Sam Mynott	112	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Dual acceptor. Comes off a 36 day let-up. At the latest run led to the turn then faded 6th of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 7f, on a slow track, 7 len behind Road To Paris carrying 129lbs at $5.90. The run before that 2nd of 13 at this track on November 1 over 7f, slow going head behind Happy Venture carrying 129lbs at $12.80. Capable of sharp improvement.
3	Last start second last of 10 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Karyon with 131lbs at $17.50. The run before that 5th of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Goldiluxe with 130lbs at $11.40. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 3 Notabadbergs Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: Elen Nicholas T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	115	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Last start second last of 10 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 5f, 4.5 len behind Karyon with 131lbs at $17.50. The run before that 5th of 8 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Goldiluxe with 130lbs at $11.40. Can improve on the latest effort and is expected to be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.