NZ - Tauranga - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.7K

VIEW

Verdict

JELLY ROLL (2) was back in winning form with a gritty performance to score by a nose at Te Aroha on a bog track, and he won't find this much harder, so with half a kilo less to carry, he can repeat the dose. TONIA'S DRAGON (7) has set the pace and only been run down late in her 2 starts this prep, and she usually hits her stride at this stage of her prep. She benefits from a 7lbs claim and has a good chance to break her course duck. PUROSANGUE (5) had excuses last time out at Te Rapa after winning his maiden very comfortably at Arawa Park before that. He has a good gate and is well worth another chance. OPRESSOR (3) has followed up his debut win with a pair of solid efforts in this company, including a third at Ellerslie 3 weeks ago. Stick with him on an each-way basis. OPAEA JOE (1) posted career win number 10 at Te Aroha 6-days ago, and he is always a chance on a wet track. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Racing well recently. At the latest run won by a nose at Te Aroha June 4 over 5 ¾f in heavy going defeating Timetoplaythegame with 132lbs at $8.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track on May 29 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Opaea Joe carrying 130lbs at $26. Sure to prove hard to beat. 1st Pick 2 Jelly Roll Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Samantha Logan J: Michael Mcnab T: Samantha Logan	115	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run won by a nose at Te Aroha June 4 over 5 ¾f in heavy going defeating Timetoplaythegame with 132lbs at $8.50. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track on May 29 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Opaea Joe carrying 130lbs at $26. Sure to prove hard to beat.
7	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Comes off a 49 day let-up. First-up 2nd of 8 at Avondale on April 8 over 6f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Unison carrying 120lbs at $3.60. Second-up 4th of 13 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 6f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind Amazonia with 122lbs at $5.10. Big chance. 2nd Pick 7 Tonia's Dragon Jockey: Joe Nishizuka Trainer: Pam Gerard J: Joe Nishizuka T: Pam Gerard	65	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Comes off a 49 day let-up. First-up 2nd of 8 at Avondale on April 8 over 6f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Unison carrying 120lbs at $3.60. Second-up 4th of 13 at Arawa Park on May 9 over 6f, in the wet, 1.4 len behind Amazonia with 122lbs at $5.10. Big chance.
5	Most recently ran last of 12 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 18 len behind Kia Kaha with 126lbs at $4.60. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Arawa Park May 9 over 6f in the wet defeating Gracetheace carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Has ability and is well placed to atone. 3rd Pick 5 Purosangue Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	123	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently ran last of 12 at Te Rapa on May 30 over 6f, on a slow track, 18 len behind Kia Kaha with 126lbs at $4.60. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Arawa Park May 9 over 6f in the wet defeating Gracetheace carrying 129lbs at $2.60. Has ability and is well placed to atone.

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