NZ - Tauranga - Race 10

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

10.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

FASTDEELDUN (2) much better effort last time when making ground from midfield but was a touch flat footed on the turn. Fitter for two runs after a spell. HIP FLASK (4) stalked them in midfield, loomed up & got home strongly for a nice maiden win two back then battled after racing much handier last time. Don't drop. STATE THE OBVIOUS (14) getting better each start this prep and she ran on well late over 7f at Ellerslie last time. Keep safe. KHANDO (12) put in some useful efforts racing on the pace last prep & comes in fresh after a quiet trial. Can give a sight without from the nice draw. YOUNG JACKSON (3) ran on strongly when fresh over 6 ½f at Te Rapa & was making ground again last time at 7f. Trip suits.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 13th of 16 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, slow going 11 len behind Allaces with 128lbs at $22.10. Second-up 5th of 14 at Te Rapa on September 25 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Uptown carrying 131lbs at $8.40. Ready to show his best. 1st Pick 2 Fastdeeldun Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	133	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 13th of 16 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, slow going 11 len behind Allaces with 128lbs at $22.10. Second-up 5th of 14 at Te Rapa on September 25 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Uptown carrying 131lbs at $8.40. Ready to show his best.
4	Most recently 9th of 12 at Te Aroha on September 18 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Brian Lamont with 146lbs at $6.60. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at Te Aroha on September 3 over 7f in heavy going defeating Bacana with 125lbs at $3.20. Worth another try. 2nd Pick 4 Hip Flask Jockey: Sam Mcnab Trainer: Ross Mccarroll J: Sam Mcnab T: Ross Mccarroll	91	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Most recently 9th of 12 at Te Aroha on September 18 over 1m, in the wet, 4 len behind Brian Lamont with 146lbs at $6.60. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by a 0.3 len at Te Aroha on September 3 over 7f in heavy going defeating Bacana with 125lbs at $3.20. Worth another try.
14	Last start 4th of 8 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind System Of Play with 121lbs at $19.50. Before that 6th of 8 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Asturia with 121lbs at $12.90. One of the better chances. 3rd Pick 14 State The Obvious Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall J: Warren Kennedy T: Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall	114	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Last start 4th of 8 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind System Of Play with 121lbs at $19.50. Before that 6th of 8 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Asturia with 121lbs at $12.90. One of the better chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.