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11:50 PM

NZ - Tauranga - Race 1

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7.5f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
14.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

IVY'S DANCER (6) resumed from a spell and finished third as the favourite, and losing a shoe that day probably did not help her. She cops a wide gate, but strips fitter, and is worth following in this. On top. TYPHOON LUCY (14) looked promising at the trials prior to finishing a bold fourth on debut at Ellerslie 4 weeks ago. She is bred to improve with time, and if 7 ½f is not already too short for her, then she can take this out. REKINDLE (10) has been thereabouts in both of her runs back from a spell, and she has a nice gate to work with her. Matt Cartwright is back in the saddle, and the pair merits healthy respect. DUN TALKIN' (1) was put aside to mature after a couple of solid efforts to finish third in the spring. He resumes from the pole position without a trial, and if he doesn't need it, then he can figure in the top 3 here. GADABOUT (7) just battled home at Ruakaka last time out, but was in good form prior to that. Stick with her.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Ivy's Dancer silk

Second run back. Comes off a 43-day let-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 14 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 7f, 2 len behind Bethany Dee with 125lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up made significant ground from the rear of the field 3rd of 16 at Te Rapa on June 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Timetoplaythegame with 125lbs at $10.40. Fitter and is a leading contender.

1st Pick
6

Ivy's Dancer

Jockey: Rory Hutchings

Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

J: Rory Hutchings

T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott

99---20%4/1

Analysis

Second run back. Comes off a 43-day let-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 14 at Te Aroha on November 26 over 7f, 2 len behind Bethany Dee with 125lbs at $3.40. Previously second-up made significant ground from the rear of the field 3rd of 16 at Te Rapa on June 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 4.5 len behind Timetoplaythegame with 125lbs at $10.40. Fitter and is a leading contender.

14
Typhoon Lucy silk

At debut, 4th of 10 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Fleeting Star with 123lbs at $6.10. Can measure up this time.

2nd Pick
14

Typhoon Lucy

Jockey: Joe Doyle

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Joe Doyle

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

129---25%3/1

Analysis

At debut, 4th of 10 at Ellerslie on December 11 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Fleeting Star with 123lbs at $6.10. Can measure up this time.

10
Rekindle silk

Third-up today. First-up 5th of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 21 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Justice For All carrying 127lbs at $17.80. Second-up 5th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Bubbles Up carrying 127lbs at $14.20. Tough to beat if near her best.

3rd Pick
10

Rekindle

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Stephen Marsh

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Stephen Marsh

109---8%12/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 5th of 9 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 21 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Justice For All carrying 127lbs at $17.80. Second-up 5th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on December 27 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Bubbles Up carrying 127lbs at $14.20. Tough to beat if near her best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.