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4:03 AM

NZ - Trentham - Race 9

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
23.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ELIUD (6) looked to be very promising earlier in his career and was sold to Hong Kong, where things did not pan out as they should have. He is happy to be back home, and he has looked in good condition at a couple of tune-up trials. He will probably need the run, but we are not taking that risk. HOORAH HENRY (3) won 2 nice races on the bounce here before finishing fifth over 1m on this track last time out. Dropping back to 7f will do her no harm, and she has each-way claims again. DOLLYBIRD (9) doesn't mind a fight, and her chances improve when the tracks are at their worst. She needed her last start at Waipukurau, and will be spot on for this assignment. Each way value. BELLES FATE (7) was trapped wide throughout last time out, and has a better draw this time. Don't drop her yet.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Eliud silk

Is first-up after a break of 20 months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation sixth of 11 at Flemington 3yo Hcp July 6 2024 over 1/16m, 5.5 len behind Steel Run with 120lbs at $3.50. First up last campaign second of 11 at Matamata Mdn-Sw April 26 2024 over 7f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Ferino carrying 128lbs at $7.70. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
6

Eliud

Jockey: Michael Mcnab

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Michael Mcnab

T: Tony Pike

88---19%9/2

Analysis

Is first-up after a break of 20 months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation sixth of 11 at Flemington 3yo Hcp July 6 2024 over 1/16m, 5.5 len behind Steel Run with 120lbs at $3.50. First up last campaign second of 11 at Matamata Mdn-Sw April 26 2024 over 7f, in the wet, 1.0 len behind Ferino carrying 128lbs at $7.70. Expected to feature.

12
La Prima Dama silk

Second-up. First-up after three months won by 0.9 len at this track March 1 over 7f in soft going defeating Ridefromtheashes carrying 126lbs at $4. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Wanganui Mdn-Sw November 29 over 1m in soft going defeating Nightowl with 122lbs at $5. Clearly the one to beat again. The one they have to beat.

2nd Pick
12

La Prima Dama

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

J: Non Runner

T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood

113---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after three months won by 0.9 len at this track March 1 over 7f in soft going defeating Ridefromtheashes carrying 126lbs at $4. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by a nose at Wanganui Mdn-Sw November 29 over 1m in soft going defeating Nightowl with 122lbs at $5. Clearly the one to beat again. The one they have to beat.

3
Hoorah Henry silk

At the latest run 5th of 8 at this track on March 1 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Anderson Bridge with 129lbs at $9.90. Before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a 0.4 len at this track January 31 over 1m on a soft track defeating Teresa Mac carrying 132lbs at $6.70. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
3

Hoorah Henry

Jockey: Samantha Collett

Trainer: Lisa Latta

J: Samantha Collett

T: Lisa Latta

108---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 8 at this track on March 1 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind Anderson Bridge with 129lbs at $9.90. Before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by a 0.4 len at this track January 31 over 1m on a soft track defeating Teresa Mac carrying 132lbs at $6.70. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.