NZ - Trentham - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

23.0K

VIEW

Verdict

VALLEY KING (2) was thrice beaten as the favourite at Riccarton in his most recent racing, and he will be backing up a week on from his last start there over 1m. If he can get handy before the turn, then he can have the last say. MELONI (6) made up a stack of late ground to finish fourth by less than a length as the favourite at Whanganui 3 weeks ago. Stepping up to a mile is the key, and he will be hard to hold out. Follow your money. WONDERBOY (3) has been consistent through a winter campaign, and he has won his only start on this track. A wide gate make it tougher, but he is still a top 4 chance. EXPLOSIVE IMPACT (10) disappointed as a beaten favourite last start at New Plymouth, but can make amends here. WINTER ROSE (13) should be kept safe after breaking her maiden status last time out.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	Resumes. Finished off last campaign eighth of 14 at Otaki January 9 over 1 5/16m, 6 len behind Not So Unusual carrying 127lbs at $2.40. When resuming last campaign fourth of 13 at this track September 20 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Pacific Princess with 125lbs at $9.40. Everything points to a bright return. 1st Pick 11 Legacy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Johno Benner J: Non Runner T: Johno Benner	126	-	-	-	10%	Scratched
Analysis Resumes. Finished off last campaign eighth of 14 at Otaki January 9 over 1 5/16m, 6 len behind Not So Unusual carrying 127lbs at $2.40. When resuming last campaign fourth of 13 at this track September 20 over 7f, soft track, 3.5 len behind Pacific Princess with 125lbs at $9.40. Everything points to a bright return.
2	Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on September 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Santita carrying 128lbs at $1.80. The race before that 2nd of 18 at Riccarton Park on August 8 over 1m, in the wet, 1.2 len behind Bak De Ace carrying 131lbs at $1.60. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 2 Valley King Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Kevin Myers J: Floor Moerman T: Kevin Myers	176	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th of 11 at Riccarton Park on September 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 2.25 len behind Santita carrying 128lbs at $1.80. The race before that 2nd of 18 at Riccarton Park on August 8 over 1m, in the wet, 1.2 len behind Bak De Ace carrying 131lbs at $1.60. Capable of sharp improvement.
6	Second run back. First-up after 10 months ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at Wanganui on August 29 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 0.9 len behind Bokushi carrying 130lbs at $4.70. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 21 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Palmarow carrying 131lbs at $3.50. Strips fitter and is sure to measure up. 3rd Pick 6 Meloni Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Craig Grylls T: Robbie Patterson	153	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 10 months ran on from midfield, 4th of 14 at Wanganui on August 29 over 6 ¾f, on heavy track, 0.9 len behind Bokushi carrying 130lbs at $4.70. Previously second-up 8th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 21 over 7f, slow going 4 len behind Palmarow carrying 131lbs at $3.50. Strips fitter and is sure to measure up.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.