NZ - Trentham - Race 6

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

24.4f

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

56.4K

VIEW

Verdict

NEVER LOOK BACK (5) has put it all together this season and made it 2 jumping wins in a row when scoring here by more than a length just over 2 weeks ago. He is a nippy hurdler, and with his pace on the flat, he has to be respected again, with our only query being the extra 4 ½f on offer here. NEDWIN (1) has been a fantastic jumper for a long time, and he showed that he has not lost any of his dash when winning by a nose in a very tough effort at Te Rapa 2 weeks ago. He lumps an extra 9lbs, but can repeat the dose. SMUG (2) was so brave when finishing third behind the second pick last time out, and he will be right at his peak for this. He has unfinished business on this track after being disqualified here last season when winning. Stick with him. BRUCIE (7) fought on bravely here, second up from a spell, and he is also at his peak fitness. He can mix his jumping, but his best will take him close again. Each-way. JUSTICE (4) is well worth including in all top 4 combos to be safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Chasing a hat-trick. Last outing won by 1.3 len this track on June 10 over 2 7/16m on heavy going defeating Saint Bernard with 143lbs at $1.90 in a jumps. Start before won by 6 len Wanganui on May 10 over 1m slow track defeating Red Ned carrying 153lbs at $4.80 in a jumps. Racing well. Expected to improve further and can measure up again. 1st Pick 5 Never Look Back Jockey: Emily J Farr Trainer: Gail Temperton J: Emily J Farr T: Gail Temperton	235	-	-	-	67%
Analysis Chasing a hat-trick. Last outing won by 1.3 len this track on June 10 over 2 7/16m on heavy going defeating Saint Bernard with 143lbs at $1.90 in a jumps. Start before won by 6 len Wanganui on May 10 over 1m slow track defeating Red Ned carrying 153lbs at $4.80 in a jumps. Racing well. Expected to improve further and can measure up again.
1	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran last at Woodville on April 29 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 17 len behind Rusty Lane with 127lbs at $37.20. Last start won by a nose Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m slow going defeating Leaderboard carrying 143lbs at $4 in a jumps. Fitter now and making headway every start. Major player again over the obstacles. 2nd Pick 1 Nedwin Jockey: M Gillies Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal J: M Gillies T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal	138	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran last at Woodville on April 29 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 17 len behind Rusty Lane with 127lbs at $37.20. Last start won by a nose Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m slow going defeating Leaderboard carrying 143lbs at $4 in a jumps. Fitter now and making headway every start. Major player again over the obstacles.
2	Racing well. Last run finished third of 11 starters at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going a long-neck behind Nedwin carrying 143lbs at $23.10. Start before finished fourth of 8 runners at Te Rapa on May 24 over 2m, slow track, 16 len behind West Coast with 141lbs at $14. Progressing well this campaign. Will be in this for a long way. 3rd Pick 2 Smug Jockey: M J Roustoby Trainer: Chris Wood J: M J Roustoby T: Chris Wood	72	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Racing well. Last run finished third of 11 starters at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going a long-neck behind Nedwin carrying 143lbs at $23.10. Start before finished fourth of 8 runners at Te Rapa on May 24 over 2m, slow track, 16 len behind West Coast with 141lbs at $14. Progressing well this campaign. Will be in this for a long way.

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