NZ - Trentham - Race 6

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 5

86.8K

VIEW

Verdict

LUX LIBERTAS (9) raced well without winning last prep, and was at her best on wet tracks. She has had a recent quiet trial, and the weather has been a bit indifferent lately in the capital. Her stable is still running hot, and she can win this fresh up. Check the market. MAROTIRI MOLLY (8) fought on gamely for fifth in the G2 Breeders' Stakes at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago. She loves it here and is unbeaten in a couple of starts over this trip on this track. A good draw helps, and she will be competitive. BELLES BEAU (4) franked a trial win with a comfortable victory at Waverley fresh up, and then was hitting the line hard at G3 level over 7f a fortnight ago on this track. Craig Grylls is back in the saddle, and the pair merits healthy respect. OUR ECHO (2) needed the run here 6 days ago, and will be a lot sharper second up. He has a good record on this course over the trip and will finish a lot closer this time. DOCTOR ASKAR (3) is ready rumble third up. Don't sell him short. Each way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic June 21 over 7f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Cork carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Te Rapa July 27 2024 over 6f on heavy track defeating Reptak with 125lbs at $3.10. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it. 1st Pick 9 Lux Libertas Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott J: Bruno Queiroz T: Lance O'sullivan & Andrew Scott	65	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of six months. Finished off last preparation second of 9 at Tauranga in the LR Tauranga Classic June 21 over 7f, in the wet, 0.5 len behind Cork carrying 126lbs at $3.20. Previous preparation first-up favourite, won by 2.5 len Te Rapa July 27 2024 over 6f on heavy track defeating Reptak with 125lbs at $3.10. Huge chance on latest and can go on with it.
8	Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Pukekohe in the G2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeder's Stakes on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Qali Al Farrasha with 126lbs at $6.80. The start before that won by a head at Tauherenikau November 1 over 7f in soft going defeating Blissful Belle carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Can return to form. 2nd Pick 8 Marotiri Molly Jockey: Kate Hercock Trainer: Matthew Dixon J: Kate Hercock T: Matthew Dixon	112	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 11 at Pukekohe in the G2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeder's Stakes on November 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Qali Al Farrasha with 126lbs at $6.80. The start before that won by a head at Tauherenikau November 1 over 7f in soft going defeating Blissful Belle carrying 132lbs at $2.60. Can return to form.
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by 0.5 len at Waverley November 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Bold Belle with 119lbs at $4.50. Second-up 5th of 11 at this track in the G3 Red Badge Spring Sprint on December 6 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind The Scunner with 119lbs at $20.40. Racing well. Hard to fault if anywhere near right. 3rd Pick 4 Belles Beau Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Robbie Patterson J: Craig Grylls T: Robbie Patterson	113	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by 0.5 len at Waverley November 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Bold Belle with 119lbs at $4.50. Second-up 5th of 11 at this track in the G3 Red Badge Spring Sprint on December 6 over 7f, slow going 3 len behind The Scunner with 119lbs at $20.40. Racing well. Hard to fault if anywhere near right.

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Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bullet

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Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.