NZ - Trentham - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

GIRL TALK (7) has handled each step up in class in her last 3 starts, winning them all, including her toughest assignment yet here 2 weeks ago. She cops another wide gate, but is perfectly placed with 4lbs less to carry, and she can win again. UNCLE ARCH (3) will be chasing a hat-trick of wins after winning at this level 3 weeks ago at Whanganui off a wide gate. He has a superior gate this time, and the weight rise may not be enough to stop him from getting the job done again. TINY DIAMOND (11) impressed when winning at New Plymouth in his penultimate start before finishing runner-up there 16 days ago. He needs a strong tempo, and with a run to suit, he is always an each-way chance. COULTHARD (4) did well off a wide gate when finishing third at Whanganui 3 weeks ago. He has a better gate here, so go again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	On a three run winning streak. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at this track December 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Can Do carrying 128lbs at $4.30. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track October 26 over 1m in soft going defeating Dubai's Potiki with 126lbs at $7.30. Well placed. Well placed and sure to be in the finish. 1st Pick 7 Girl Talk Jockey: Kate Hercock Trainer: Stephen Nickalls J: Kate Hercock T: Stephen Nickalls	90	-	-	-	15%
Analysis On a three run winning streak. Last start ran on strongly from last on the turn and won by a neck at this track December 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Can Do carrying 128lbs at $4.30. The run before that ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track October 26 over 1m in soft going defeating Dubai's Potiki with 126lbs at $7.30. Well placed. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.
3	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Tauherenikau November 9 over 7f in soft going defeating Fashion Savvy with 131lbs at $5.50. Last start won by 0.8 len at Wanganui November 29 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Bow Hill with 125lbs at $8.40. Racing well. One of the major players. 2nd Pick 3 Uncle Arch Jockey: Erin M Leighton Trainer: Bryce Newman J: Erin M Leighton T: Bryce Newman	116	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield and won by 1.0 len at Tauherenikau November 9 over 7f in soft going defeating Fashion Savvy with 131lbs at $5.50. Last start won by 0.8 len at Wanganui November 29 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Bow Hill with 125lbs at $8.40. Racing well. One of the major players.
2	Most recently 3rd of 14 at Otaki on November 30 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Renovations carrying 131lbs at $8.40. Before that 5th of 11 at Waverley on November 14 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Hinekaha with 131lbs at $4.40. Sure to be in the finish. 3rd Pick 2 Wingman Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Roydon Bergerson J: Non Runner T: Roydon Bergerson	138	-	-	-	16%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 14 at Otaki on November 30 over 7f, 1.4 len behind Renovations carrying 131lbs at $8.40. Before that 5th of 11 at Waverley on November 14 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Hinekaha with 131lbs at $4.40. Sure to be in the finish.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

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A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.