NZ - Trentham - Race 1

Thoroughbred

5 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

23.1K

VIEW

Verdict

FAULTLESS (3) has been racing well in some tougher fields lately, and his last start is best forgotten in Listed company at Ellerslie 3 weeks ago. Expect a form reversal in a small field here. On top. TOO SWEET (1) finished fifth in the G3 Bonecrusher Stakes 2 weeks ago over 7f, and she is nicely placed over 6f, especially in a small field at this easier level. Stick with her. ZORERO (4) was an effortless winner at Waipukurau on debut nearly 5 weeks ago. There is more depth to this field, but he will continue to improve and can give the top picks plenty to think about. PERFECT HABIT (2) did not do much last time out in the same race as the second pick, but will have a positive jockey change with Joe Doyle stepping into the irons. Stick with him. PROSPER (5) won on debut and then tackled some tougher company. She resumes from a short spell that would have done her the world of good, and she can't be totally ruled out of a top 3 finish in a 5-horse field.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	At the latest run didn't do much in the run home, ran last of 12 at Ellerslie in the LR Trevor Eagle Memorial on November 29 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Pulsatilla with 126lbs at $7.70. The start before that second last in a small field at Wanganui on November 22 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Passiflora carrying 121lbs at $3.60. Capable of sharp improvement. 1st Pick 3 Faultless Jockey: Samantha Collett Trainer: Peter & Shaun Mckay J: Samantha Collett T: Peter & Shaun Mckay	78	-	-	-	25%
Analysis At the latest run didn't do much in the run home, ran last of 12 at Ellerslie in the LR Trevor Eagle Memorial on November 29 over 7 ½f, on a slow track, 10 len behind Pulsatilla with 126lbs at $7.70. The start before that second last in a small field at Wanganui on November 22 over 6f, slow going 3.5 len behind Passiflora carrying 121lbs at $3.60. Capable of sharp improvement.
1	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Pukekohe in the G3 Bonecrusher Stakes on December 6 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind That's Gold with 121lbs at $8.40. The race before that 5th of 12 at Tauranga in the G2 James and Annie Sarten Memorial Stakes on November 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Swiss Prince carrying 121lbs at $13.10. Hard to beat this time. 2nd Pick 1 Too Sweet Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Trainer: Roydon Bergerson J: Vinnie Colgan T: Roydon Bergerson	126	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Pukekohe in the G3 Bonecrusher Stakes on December 6 over 7f, slow going 3.5 len behind That's Gold with 121lbs at $8.40. The race before that 5th of 12 at Tauranga in the G2 James and Annie Sarten Memorial Stakes on November 1 over 7f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Swiss Prince carrying 121lbs at $13.10. Hard to beat this time.
4	At debut, won won by 2.5 len at Waipukurau November 16 over 6f defeating Damiano with 126lbs at $7.30. Among the leading chances again. 3rd Pick 4 Zorero Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos J: Craig Grylls T: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos	83	-	-	-	40%
Analysis At debut, won won by 2.5 len at Waipukurau November 16 over 6f defeating Damiano with 126lbs at $7.30. Among the leading chances again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.