NZ - Te Aroha - Race 9

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ARJAY'S FLIGHT (4) has steadily improved in each of his 3 runs back from a spell, and he is drawn to receive the run of the race from a good draw. His best form would be too much for this field. DID THE TRICK (11) is getting ready for a jumping career, but he still retains plenty of dash on the flat, and in a field like this, he is worth including in all top 4 combos. KING CABAL (5) was too strong for a modest field at Tauranga last time out when scoring by more than 4 lengths. He can hold his form now, and another win would be no surprise. MUSCOVADO (3) ran his best race yet this prep when finishing on strongly into second at Hawera just over 2 weeks ago. He is due for another win, and he can get the job done here. SLICK CHICK (17) has been out of form for a while, but has also not had all the luck in the world. Stick with her at bolter's odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Most recently 5th of 8 at Ruakaka on July 18 over 1 5/16m, 2.25 len behind Sibella carrying 121lbs at $4. The race before that 9th of 14 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1m, on heavy track, 4 len behind Afterglo with 122lbs at $13. Can turn things around. 1st Pick 4 Arjay's Flight Jockey: Elen Nicholas Trainer: Shaun Phelan J: Elen Nicholas T: Shaun Phelan	158	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 8 at Ruakaka on July 18 over 1 5/16m, 2.25 len behind Sibella carrying 121lbs at $4. The race before that 9th of 14 at Te Rapa on July 4 over 1m, on heavy track, 4 len behind Afterglo with 122lbs at $13. Can turn things around.
11	At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Tauranga on July 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Chahoo carrying 131lbs at $4.80. The run before that ran second last of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Vadanova carrying 132lbs at $14.70. Look for a much better performance. 2nd Pick 11 Did The Trick Jockey: Erin M Leighton Trainer: W Hillis & R Cole J: Erin M Leighton T: W Hillis & R Cole	89	-	-	-	4%	25/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 8 at Tauranga on July 12 over 1m, on rain affected going, 2 len behind Chahoo carrying 131lbs at $4.80. The run before that ran second last of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7 ¾f, on rain affected going, 5 len behind Vadanova carrying 132lbs at $14.70. Look for a much better performance.
5	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 4 len win at Tauranga July 12 over 1 5/16m on a heavy track defeating Heavenly Lady with 129lbs at $3.90. The run before that 5th of 14 at this track on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Mobilized carrying 122lbs at $21.20. Can go on with it. 3rd Pick 5 King Cabal Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Grant & Tana Shaw J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Grant & Tana Shaw	69	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, scored a big 4 len win at Tauranga July 12 over 1 5/16m on a heavy track defeating Heavenly Lady with 129lbs at $3.90. The run before that 5th of 14 at this track on June 21 over 1m, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Mobilized carrying 122lbs at $21.20. Can go on with it.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.