NZ - Te Aroha - Race 9

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LUMUMBA (12) pinged out to lead from the wide gate and gave a good kick when headed turn but swamped final strides when up to this trip last time. Danger here. DIVIDER (1) improved effort when landed outside the leader and fought on very strongly for a close 3rd this track and trip last month. Respect. COMANECI GOLD (7) ran on strongly in her first two starts for 2L 5ths over 7f and 1m earlier this year. Two quiet trials to prepare for this. CISCO (2) led throughout to win a trial in August then got back and was very green in his debut Sept 2nd. Quiet trial Oct 6th. Improver.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
11	At debut, tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd in a small field at Cambridge Synthetic on September 30 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Itchy Heart carrying 121lbs at $6.30. Improver with winning prospects. 1st Pick 11 Rozezina Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Lance Noble J: Non Runner T: Lance Noble	102	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis At debut, tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd in a small field at Cambridge Synthetic on September 30 over 6 ½f, 0.6 len behind Itchy Heart carrying 121lbs at $6.30. Improver with winning prospects.
12	Form hard to fault. At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Shambo Jack carrying 122lbs at $9.60. The race before that 4th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Spellbound with 122lbs at $35. Anticipating sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 12 Lumumba Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Cody Cole J: Matthew Cameron T: Cody Cole	193	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 7f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Shambo Jack carrying 122lbs at $9.60. The race before that 4th of 13 at Ellerslie on September 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.2 len behind Spellbound with 122lbs at $35. Anticipating sharp improvement.
1	Third race start. First start ran last of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Girl Code with 129lbs at $21. Returned from break held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track on September 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.1 len behind Aim Up carrying 122lbs at $21. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Divider Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Pam Gerard J: Michael Mcnab T: Pam Gerard	92	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Third race start. First start ran last of 11 at Pukekohe on May 1 over 7f, slow going 9 len behind Girl Code with 129lbs at $21. Returned from break held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track on September 3 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.1 len behind Aim Up carrying 122lbs at $21. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

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