NZ - Te Aroha - Race 7

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.7f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

JAIMEE MARIE (3) makes her debut and has been given plenty of time to mature. She was close up in a recent quiet trial at Avondale, and the wide draw is our main concern, but if the track is heavy, then is may be a blessing in disguise. Let the market be the best guide. HEBRIDEAN WAY (1) is a recent Australian import, and his only run there was on debut at Ballarat-Synthetic when finishing fifth. He is bred to want more ground than 1150, but with a couple of sharp trials under his belt, he should be ready to run a big race, especially if the fence is the place to be. WITHALLMYGRACE (2) improved quickly second to finish runner-up as the favourite at Ruakaka 15 days ago on a reasonable surface. She cops another wide gate, but will be peaking for this, and she can go one better. VALSOEUR (4) won a trial nicely prior to producing a poor effort on debut at Tauranga nearly 2 months ago. She is much better than that, and we will give her another chance. CIABATTA (5) is worth including.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	First starter. Three-year-old filly by Per Incanto out of Enyanna Marie. At the most recent trial finished fourth at an Avondale over 4f June 16. Ready for a bright start to her career. 1st Pick 3 Jaimee Marie Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Simon & Katrina Alexander J: Craig Grylls T: Simon & Katrina Alexander	68	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis First starter. Three-year-old filly by Per Incanto out of Enyanna Marie. At the most recent trial finished fourth at an Avondale over 4f June 16. Ready for a bright start to her career.
1	Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when eased back early on 5th of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 11 2025 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Chills 'N' Thrills carrying 126lbs at $11. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign. 2nd Pick 1 Hebridean Way Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Michael Mcnab T: Stephen Marsh	64	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Resuming after a lengthy spell. Only one run when eased back early on 5th of 7 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 11 2025 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Chills 'N' Thrills carrying 126lbs at $11. Anticipating him to hit the ground running this campaign.
2	Third-up today. First-up 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Kusuda Rush carrying 125lbs at $7.90. Last start 2nd of 10 at Ruakaka on July 11 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Cowboy with 125lbs at $2.80. Capable of a better showing. Cherry-ripe now and sure to be very competitive. 3rd Pick 2 Withallmygrace Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Jenna Mahoney J: Hayley Hassman T: Jenna Mahoney	201	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on June 20 over 6f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Kusuda Rush carrying 125lbs at $7.90. Last start 2nd of 10 at Ruakaka on July 11 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Cowboy with 125lbs at $2.80. Capable of a better showing. Cherry-ripe now and sure to be very competitive.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.