NZ - Te Aroha - Race 6

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Unknown

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

CHASING WARRIOR (1) has been showing plenty of speed in all of his 4 starts this prep, and fought hard for second at Tauranga in his penultimate start, before weakening late at Avondale 11 days ago. This course can suit front runners sometimes, and this gelding could steal it this time. TIMETOPLAYTHEGAME (3) got caught wide and failed to run on at Arawa Park last start, and his effort here in this weaker company for second by a nose is the guide to use. He likes it heavy, and is good enough to take this out. Stick with him. GOLD CARD (10) set the pace and did not show much fight when finishing eighth on the Cambridge poly track just over 2 weeks ago over 7 ¾f, He is better placed over this shorter trip, and we have included him in all top 4 combos. SHE'LL BE RIGHT (9) hit the line strongly when finishing third by less than a length here 3 weeks ago in a tougher field. She slides down in class, and should be hard to hold out. KORO'S PRINCESS (16) is not the worst in this at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 11 at Avondale on July 15 over 7f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Chicago Jack with 127lbs at $3.40. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Tauranga on June 27 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Purosangue with 119lbs at $17.70. Can take this out. 1st Pick 1 Chasing Warrior Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley J: Michael Mcnab T: Bruce Wallace & Grant Cooksley	101	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently 4th of 11 at Avondale on July 15 over 7f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Chicago Jack with 127lbs at $3.40. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Tauranga on June 27 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.5 len behind Purosangue with 119lbs at $17.70. Can take this out.
3	Most recently ran second last of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, in the wet, 8 len behind Illustrious with 122lbs at $6.90. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track on June 4 over 5 ¾f, on rain affected going, nose behind Jelly Roll carrying 130lbs at $4.50. Terrific chance to return to form. 2nd Pick 3 Timetoplaythegame Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: David Greene J: Joe Doyle T: David Greene	95	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Most recently ran second last of 12 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, in the wet, 8 len behind Illustrious with 122lbs at $6.90. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at this track on June 4 over 5 ¾f, on rain affected going, nose behind Jelly Roll carrying 130lbs at $4.50. Terrific chance to return to form.
10	At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 11 at Cambridge Synthetic on July 9 over 7 ¾f, 8 len behind Mister Meaner with 128lbs at $6. The race before that 4th of 12 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 17 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Anton with 119lbs at $14.40. Certainly worth another chance. 3rd Pick 10 Gold Card Jockey: Lynsey Satherley Trainer: Jason Teaz J: Lynsey Satherley T: Jason Teaz	94	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 11 at Cambridge Synthetic on July 9 over 7 ¾f, 8 len behind Mister Meaner with 128lbs at $6. The race before that 4th of 12 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 17 over 6 ½f, 2 len behind Anton with 119lbs at $14.40. Certainly worth another chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.