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2:55 AM

NZ - Te Aroha - Race 5

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
14.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ARGO (2) has had 3 runs back from a spell at Ellerslie in far stronger fields than what he meets here. The extra furlong is the key here, and in an easier field, he is the one to beat for us. BORN TO BE ROYAL (10) was very disappointing fresh up at Taupo in the middle of September, where she probably was not ready for a testing soft track. She has been given a further 2 trials since then, and is in the right race to pay back her supporters who had sent her out as a hot favourite when resuming. Follow your money. NIGHT WOLF (1) is heading the right way with his form and followed up a fourth-place finish at Matamata with a bold effort for second at Avondale last time out. Hard to beat in this. DA DA WING (3) tried hard but peaked on his effort late when finishing fourth on debut at Pukekohe 4 weeks ago. A wide gate is no help, but he is still worth including in all combos. WHISTLER (9) was doing his best work late on debut at Tauranga, and should be running on late here as well.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Argo silk

Most recently 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on November 4 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Golden Wings carrying 126lbs at $9.20. Before that 4th of 14 at Ellerslie on October 18 over 6f, 3 len behind Miss Fladgate carrying 123lbs at $8.60. Hard to beat on his best form.

1st Pick
2

Argo

Jockey: Sam Mcnab

Trainer: Tony Pike

J: Sam Mcnab

T: Tony Pike

86---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 11 at Ellerslie on November 4 over 6f, slow going 6 len behind Golden Wings carrying 126lbs at $9.20. Before that 4th of 14 at Ellerslie on October 18 over 6f, 3 len behind Miss Fladgate carrying 123lbs at $8.60. Hard to beat on his best form.

10
Born To Be Royal silk

Dual acceptor. Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at Taupo on September 17 over 6 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Oratia Beauty with 122lbs at $2.60. First up last campaign 2nd in a small field at Matamata on January 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind In Haste with 122lbs at $2.80. Runner-up in an Avondale trial over 5f on November 14. Everything points to a positive return.

2nd Pick
10

Born To Be Royal

Jockey: Craig Grylls

Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

J: Craig Grylls

T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson

86---27%11/4

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign raced behind the speed prior to fading second last of 9 at Taupo on September 17 over 6 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Oratia Beauty with 122lbs at $2.60. First up last campaign 2nd in a small field at Matamata on January 22 over 6f, slow going 4.5 len behind In Haste with 122lbs at $2.80. Runner-up in an Avondale trial over 5f on November 14. Everything points to a positive return.

1
Night Wolf silk

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 9 at Matamata on October 17 over 6f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Halo's Fire with 127lbs at $17.70. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 2nd of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Road To Paris with 126lbs at $15.80. Fitter now and making headway. The maiden win looks imminent.

3rd Pick
1

Night Wolf

Jockey: Matt Cartwright

Trainer: Kylie Hoskin

J: Matt Cartwright

T: Kylie Hoskin

82---20%4/1

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 4th of 9 at Matamata on October 17 over 6f, on a wet track, 2.75 len behind Halo's Fire with 127lbs at $17.70. Second run from a spell raced on the pace when 2nd of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 7f, slow going 1.75 len behind Road To Paris with 126lbs at $15.80. Fitter now and making headway. The maiden win looks imminent.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.