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2:05 AM

NZ - Te Aroha - Race 5

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
17.4f
Unknown
Turf
HEAVY 10
23.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

DUKE OF PLUMPTON (4) did a demolition job on his rivals when winning his steeplechase debut at Woodville 2 weeks ago, and even in this field with more depth, he can repeat the dose. SMUG (2) tried his heart out at Trentham last start when finishing fourth in a slog to the line, and before that he was a narrowly beaten third in a stronger field than this at Te Rapa. He can chance a jump or 2 in his round, but if he keeps focused on the job at hand, then he is the main threat to the top pick. NAME THE GAME (6) has been tuned up for this with a sharp effort over hurdles at Trentham last start, and he has had a trial since then to keep him up to the mark. His only win has come over the bigger fences, and he should be right in the finish here. INVISIBLE SPIRIT (5) is a tough jumper who is seldom far away in this role. He has a good record on this track, and is a must for all top 4 combos. JUSTICE (3) was pulled up at Trentham last start, but he can bounce back into form here. Include.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Duke Of Plumpton silk

Useful type. Last start to post a big 31 len win. Woodville on July 12 over 2 7/16m on heavy going defeating Super Flash with 150lbs at $2.10 in a steeplechase. The run before made some head-way from midfield, finished eighth of 10 runners at Waverley on July 4 over 1m, on slow going 7 len behind Mckhan with 110lbs at $46.60. Fought on last time. Rates highly on that latest effort and can go on with it.

1st Pick
4

Duke Of Plumpton

Jockey: Hamish Mc Neill

Trainer: Caley Myers

J: Hamish Mc Neill

T: Caley Myers

81---39%13/8

Analysis

Useful type. Last start to post a big 31 len win. Woodville on July 12 over 2 7/16m on heavy going defeating Super Flash with 150lbs at $2.10 in a steeplechase. The run before made some head-way from midfield, finished eighth of 10 runners at Waverley on July 4 over 1m, on slow going 7 len behind Mckhan with 110lbs at $46.60. Fought on last time. Rates highly on that latest effort and can go on with it.

2
Smug silk

Recent form impressive for this race. Last outing finished fourth of 8 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 3 m, in the wet, 5 len behind Brucie carrying 143lbs at $6.60. Start before finished third of 11 runners at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going a long-neck behind Nedwin carrying 143lbs at $23.10. Key chance on best form.

2nd Pick
2

Smug

Jockey: M J Roustoby

Trainer: Chris Wood

J: M J Roustoby

T: Chris Wood

70---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form impressive for this race. Last outing finished fourth of 8 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 3 m, in the wet, 5 len behind Brucie carrying 143lbs at $6.60. Start before finished third of 11 runners at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going a long-neck behind Nedwin carrying 143lbs at $23.10. Key chance on best form.

6
Name The Game silk

Last outing finished second of 9 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 1/16m, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Affordable with 143lbs at $19.70. Start before finished sixth of 8 starters at Trentham on June 10 over 2 7/16m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Never Look Back with 144lbs at $18.10. Progressing well this campaign. Can return to the winner's list.

3rd Pick
6

Name The Game

Jockey: Brandon Holliday

Trainer: Gail Temperton

J: Brandon Holliday

T: Gail Temperton

69---12%15/2

Analysis

Last outing finished second of 9 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 1/16m, on rain affected going, 5.5 len behind Affordable with 143lbs at $19.70. Start before finished sixth of 8 starters at Trentham on June 10 over 2 7/16m, on rain affected going, 12 len behind Never Look Back with 144lbs at $18.10. Progressing well this campaign. Can return to the winner's list.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.