NZ - Te Aroha - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.7f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

14.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ARCTIC JEWEL (9) had been to the fore at her trials before finishing runner-up as a short-priced favourite on debut at Avondale nearly 3 weeks ago. A firmer surface won't bother her, and even from a wide gate, she is the one to beat in this modest field. BEST IN BLACK (7) needed her first run back from a spell and will have the winkers on, as well as a tongue tie this time. A better draw with a kilo less to carry, she should finish a lot closer this time. Include in all combinations. REAL MONEY (2) had a couple of trials last season before having a spell, and was back at the Taupo trials late last month, scoring by nearly a length. Hard to beat on debut, especially if the money comes for him. WATCH ME GO (1) was put aside after finishing third in both of his starts last season on the Cambridge poly track. A recent quiet trial would have brought his fitness along, and he should pick up a maiden win at short notice. GLACIAL STORM (10) was third on debut here 15 days ago. Each way.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Hey Dana with 122lbs at $2.60. Worth following, and she is the one to beat. 1st Pick 9 Arctic Jewel Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Craig Grylls T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	196	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, slow going 1.0 len behind Hey Dana with 122lbs at $2.60. Worth following, and she is the one to beat.
7	Second run back. First-up after eight months second last of 11 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Yousito with 127lbs at $17.50. Previously second-up second last of 7 at this track on March 7 over 5 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Just Faith carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Fitter and rates highly. 2nd Pick 7 Best In Black Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: Matt Cartwright T: Stephen Marsh	102	-	-	-	3%	40/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after eight months second last of 11 at Avondale on November 6 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Yousito with 127lbs at $17.50. Previously second-up second last of 7 at this track on March 7 over 5 ¾f, 3.5 len behind Just Faith carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Fitter and rates highly.
2	Four-year-old gelding making debut by Shamexpress out of River Thames. Won a trial at Taupo over 4 ½f October 30. Big chance to make an immediate impact. 3rd Pick 2 Real Money Jockey: Sam Weatherley Trainer: Darryn & Briar Weatherley J: Sam Weatherley T: Darryn & Briar Weatherley	39	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Four-year-old gelding making debut by Shamexpress out of River Thames. Won a trial at Taupo over 4 ½f October 30. Big chance to make an immediate impact.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.