NZ - Te Aroha - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

5.7f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

TARDIS (1) won a trial before finishing third fresh up at Matamata nearly 3 weeks ago, where he raced greenly throughout the running. He will be much better for the experience, and he should go close to taking this out. BILLECART (7) was trialling up nicely prior to finishing fifth on debut at Matamata. She will naturally improve with that run out of the way, and she can figure in the top 4 this time. BACK OF THE BUS (11) did not get in it on debut at Ellerslie nearly 4 weeks ago. Her trial form before that run was solid, including a win, and with Craig Grylls taking over the reins, she can improve quickly. Check the market moves. JUST THE BERRIES (9) has won both of her trials this year, and she is bred to cope with a wet track. Can win.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third race start. First start ran last of 9 at Pukekohe in the LR Counties Chllng on November 22 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 11 len behind De Armas with 126lbs at $22. Went for a break before returning 3rd of 10 at Matamata on May 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Honour Roll carrying 127lbs at $12.70. Further improvement in store. 1st Pick 1 Tardis Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Daniel Miller J: Warren Kennedy T: Daniel Miller	176	-	-	-	46%	6/5
Analysis Third race start. First start ran last of 9 at Pukekohe in the LR Counties Chllng on November 22 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 11 len behind De Armas with 126lbs at $22. Went for a break before returning 3rd of 10 at Matamata on May 13 over 6f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Honour Roll carrying 127lbs at $12.70. Further improvement in store.
2	Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 9 at Hawera on May 17 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Crosswell carrying 127lbs at $3.40. Has ability and can step up with the run under the belt. 2nd Pick 2 Furston Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Non Runner T: Andrew Forsman	142	-	-	-	15%	Scratched
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 9 at Hawera on May 17 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Crosswell carrying 127lbs at $3.40. Has ability and can step up with the run under the belt.
7	Was at big odds at debut, got back early 5th of 9 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Dee Oyster carrying 122lbs at $31.80. Leading contender. 3rd Pick 7 Billecart Jockey: Corentin Berge Trainer: Conor And Sarah Fahy J: Corentin Berge T: Conor And Sarah Fahy	126	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Was at big odds at debut, got back early 5th of 9 at Ellerslie on May 6 over 5 ½f, slow going 3.5 len behind Dee Oyster carrying 122lbs at $31.80. Leading contender.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.