NZ - Te Aroha - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

17.4f

Maiden Steeple

Turf

HEAVY 10

11.6K

VIEW

Verdict

MONT VENTOUX (2) finished a brave fourth in a better steeple field than this here 3 weeks ago, and he looks to be perfectly placed back in maiden-steeple company. His jumping has improved, and he won't lack fitness, so follow your money. TAIKA (6) has been a very accomplished hurdler and was runner-up in that role in his penultimate start at Te Rapa. He will have no trouble adapting to the bigger fences, and should go close to taking this out. EMPIRE STATE (5) is a stable mate of the second pick, who will also be making his steeple debut. He is peaking at the right time, and has to be respected on an each-way basis. MUSE (8) has been placed 4 times over the steeples, and should now be ready fourth up to show some form again. DOROTHY'S DAUGHTER (9) won a recent jumping trial very easily, and she is usually always running on over the hurdles. She has picked a nice race to make her debut over the bigger fences, and she would not be a shock winner of this race.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Racing well. Last outing finished fourth of 10 runners at this track on July 5 over 2m, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Jerricoop with 148lbs at $3.30. The run before finished third of 7 runners at this track on June 21 over 1 ¹5/16m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Jake carrying 152lbs at $2.70. Gets a chance to win. Can take this out. 1st Pick 2 Mont Ventoux Jockey: Nick Downs Trainer: Rudy Liefting J: Nick Downs T: Rudy Liefting	75	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Racing well. Last outing finished fourth of 10 runners at this track on July 5 over 2m, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Jerricoop with 148lbs at $3.30. The run before finished third of 7 runners at this track on June 21 over 1 ¹5/16m, on heavy track, 4.5 len behind Jake carrying 152lbs at $2.70. Gets a chance to win. Can take this out.
6	Useful type. Last outing ran last at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, in the wet, 29 len behind Happy Star carrying 152lbs at $12.30. The run before finished second of 8 runners at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going 1.0 len behind Pacheco carrying 152lbs at $8.70. Finds a suitable race and can make amends. 2nd Pick 6 Taika Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal J: Non Runner T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal	91	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Useful type. Last outing ran last at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, in the wet, 29 len behind Happy Star carrying 152lbs at $12.30. The run before finished second of 8 runners at Te Rapa on June 13 over 2m, on slow going 1.0 len behind Pacheco carrying 152lbs at $8.70. Finds a suitable race and can make amends.
5	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up finished eighth of 9 runners at Trentham on June 10 over 1/16m, in the wet, 15 len behind Happy Star with 143lbs at $13.80. Second run from a spell finished sixth of 11 runners at this track on July 5 over 1 ¹5/16m, on heavy track, 14 len behind My Maebelline Girl carrying 151lbs at $16.40. Fitter now and making headway every start. Is a top 4 player on his best figures. 3rd Pick 5 Empire State Jockey: Mr Ashley Dascombe Trainer: P Nelson & C Mcdougal J: Mr Ashley Dascombe T: P Nelson & C Mcdougal	51	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up finished eighth of 9 runners at Trentham on June 10 over 1/16m, in the wet, 15 len behind Happy Star with 143lbs at $13.80. Second run from a spell finished sixth of 11 runners at this track on July 5 over 1 ¹5/16m, on heavy track, 14 len behind My Maebelline Girl carrying 151lbs at $16.40. Fitter now and making headway every start. Is a top 4 player on his best figures.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.