NZ - Te Aroha - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.9f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

INTOXICATED (3) found the line boldly from midfield when fresh over 1m last start & just missed. Good form around this trip last prep. Go close from the perfect alley. INTERPLANETARY (1) was cuddled up on fence to the 3f then loomed up turn and put them away over 1 ½m at Ellerslie last start. Has a win and 2nd from two starts this track and trip. JAMAICAN BOY (5) was shuffled back to the tail coming off the back but weaved a path through to get up for a close 4th last start. Well seasoned at this trip. Respect. MR BLACKJACK (2) was fresh since 1 July when trailed, loomed turn but condition gave out over 7 ½f at Ellerslie. Has won 2nd-up. SO BE IT (7) ran on from a mile back on the synthetic last start. Her lone win and a placing have come on turf.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 12 at this track on September 18 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.4 len behind Brian Lamont with 142lbs at $5.20. Previously second-up won by a neck at Tauranga on October 1 2025 over 1m in soft going defeating Our Shocks with 129lbs at $2.60. Winning chance with that run under the belt. 1st Pick 3 Intoxicated Jockey: Matthew Cameron Trainer: Antony Fuller J: Matthew Cameron T: Antony Fuller	67	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 12 at this track on September 18 over 1m, on a wet track, 0.4 len behind Brian Lamont with 142lbs at $5.20. Previously second-up won by a neck at Tauranga on October 1 2025 over 1m in soft going defeating Our Shocks with 129lbs at $2.60. Winning chance with that run under the belt.
1	Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Most recently won by 2.25 len at Ellerslie on September 19 over 1 ½m in soft going defeating Ballinran with 126lbs at $3.10. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 14 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Sharapova with 127lbs at $5.70. Confidence back and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 1 Interplanetary Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: George Rooke T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	85	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Comes here off a 32-day let-up. Most recently won by 2.25 len at Ellerslie on September 19 over 1 ½m in soft going defeating Ballinran with 126lbs at $3.10. The run before that eased back early on 8th of 14 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Sharapova with 127lbs at $5.70. Confidence back and can go on with it.
5	Most recently 5th of 14 at Woodville on October 7 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Dojakata carrying 125lbs at $5.70. The start before that 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Sharapova with 125lbs at $5.50. Working up to a win. Knocking on the door and is one of the main hopes. 3rd Pick 5 Jamaican Boy Jockey: Joe Doyle Trainer: Shane Crawford J: Joe Doyle T: Shane Crawford	63	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently 5th of 14 at Woodville on October 7 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.75 len behind Dojakata carrying 125lbs at $5.70. The start before that 6th of 14 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.1 len behind Sharapova with 125lbs at $5.50. Working up to a win. Knocking on the door and is one of the main hopes.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.