NZ - Te Aroha - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

10.5K

VIEW

Verdict

DJIBOUTI (10) led and was caught late over 1 ¼m at Matamata 2 back then midrace move from midfield to lead turn & tried hard last time. Will give a sight again here. ROCKY BALBOA (1) has run 3rd in his last 4 starts and a trial back in September. Usually raced up on the pace and can figure again here. KINROSS (4) solid runs, making ground from the rear in first 3 starts the a lot handier but held-up for most of the straight last time. Improver. DUN TALKIN' (2) led and fought strongly for 2nd in R60 grade over 1m in July then back and wide when fresh at Matamata. Placed 2 of 3 second-up starts. BOOM TOWN (5) fought on well from a handy spot over 1m on debut then got back and ran on late over 1 ?m last time. Worth thought here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Escape Room with 125lbs at $2.90. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 at Matamata on September 16 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.75 len behind Seduire with 125lbs at $1.80. Expected to be very competitive. 1st Pick 10 Djibouti Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Kurtis Pertab J: Craig Grylls T: Kurtis Pertab	147	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1m, on a slow track, long-neck behind Escape Room with 125lbs at $2.90. The start before that rolled along in front before being edged out 3rd of 11 at Matamata on September 16 over 1 ¼m, slow going 1.75 len behind Seduire with 125lbs at $1.80. Expected to be very competitive.
1	Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 at Cambridge Synthetic on September 30 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Niagara Sky with 126lbs at $3.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track on September 18 over 1m, in the wet, 2 len behind Luckytobehere carrying 151lbs at $4.40. Deserves a win and gets his chance. 2nd Pick 1 Rocky Balboa Jockey: Matt Cartwright Trainer: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale J: Matt Cartwright T: G A & D G Rogerson & Clint Isdale	125	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 3rd of 8 at Cambridge Synthetic on September 30 over 1 ¼m, 2 len behind Niagara Sky with 126lbs at $3.50. Before that 3rd of 9 at this track on September 18 over 1m, in the wet, 2 len behind Luckytobehere carrying 151lbs at $4.40. Deserves a win and gets his chance.
4	At the latest run 6th of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Escape Room with 129lbs at $24. The start before that 4th of 9 at this track on September 18 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Queen Sansa with 148lbs at $11.10. Can improve on the latest effort and is a key runner. 3rd Pick 4 Kinross Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy J: George Rooke T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy	88	-	-	-	12%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1m, slow going 1.4 len behind Escape Room with 129lbs at $24. The start before that 4th of 9 at this track on September 18 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Queen Sansa with 148lbs at $11.10. Can improve on the latest effort and is a key runner.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.