NZ - Te Aroha - Race 3

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 10

9.8K

VIEW

Verdict

BLACK DIAMOND (9) is a promising filly who has been close up in the money in each of her 2 starts to date. A wide gate here is the only draw back we see, and hopefully Craig Grylls can find a handy spot early on. Hard to beat. PADDY MURPHY (3) was an improver at the trials before finishing third here on debut 3 weeks ago over this trip. He will probably be looking for more ground, but he will still be running on strongly in this. Each way. KAIROS (1) fought on gamely when finishing second here 5 weeks ago on a heavy track. The gap between runs is a query, but with the aid of the pole position, he can figure in the top 3 again. DRAGONSTONE (4) has been showing pace in his last couple of starts before weakening in the run home. He will still be getting stronger, and he is worth including in all top 4 combos in a field like this. MUST BEE (12) came to the end of her run in front at Avondale 11 days go and finished fifth. She will be peaking third up, and is not the worst at odds.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Raced two times to date. At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, in the wet, 0.6 len behind Noble Cabello with 127lbs at $11. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Avondale on July 15 over 7f, on a wet track, 0.7 len behind Golden Point carrying 122lbs at $3.20. Progressing well and will give this a shake. 1st Pick 9 Black Diamond Jockey: Craig Grylls Trainer: Andrew Forsman J: Craig Grylls T: Andrew Forsman	215	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Raced two times to date. At debut, rolled along in front then was edged out late 2nd of 11 at Arawa Park on July 1 over 7f, in the wet, 0.6 len behind Noble Cabello with 127lbs at $11. Second-up sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 8 at Avondale on July 15 over 7f, on a wet track, 0.7 len behind Golden Point carrying 122lbs at $3.20. Progressing well and will give this a shake.
3	At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at this track on July 5 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.2 len behind Meisai carrying 129lbs at $9.10. Can progress and take this out. 2nd Pick 3 Paddy Murphy Jockey: George Rooke Trainer: Stephen Marsh J: George Rooke T: Stephen Marsh	153	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At debut, raced on the pace when 3rd of 13 at this track on July 5 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.2 len behind Meisai carrying 129lbs at $9.10. Can progress and take this out.
1	Third-up today. Resuming ran last of 11 at Tauranga on May 29 over 6f, 9 len behind Catwalk Queen with 127lbs at $23.60. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at this track on June 21 over 7f, on a wet track, 0.7 len behind Sugar Daddy with 129lbs at $7.40. Fitter now and making headway. Expected to be very competitive. 3rd Pick 1 Kairos Jockey: Jasmine Fawcett Trainer: Moira & Kieran Murdoch J: Jasmine Fawcett T: Moira & Kieran Murdoch	144	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming ran last of 11 at Tauranga on May 29 over 6f, 9 len behind Catwalk Queen with 127lbs at $23.60. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at this track on June 21 over 7f, on a wet track, 0.7 len behind Sugar Daddy with 129lbs at $7.40. Fitter now and making headway. Expected to be very competitive.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.