NZ - Te Aroha - Race 2

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.9f

Maiden

Turf

SOFT 5

14.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

HONOR MISSION (9) put in a fairly decent effort for sixth over a mile when making her debut at New Plymouth 3 weeks ago. Her astute stable puts her immediately over 1 ?m, and we think that will be the winning of the race. This field is not strong, and she goes on top. SHOW DIAMONDS (10) is a stablemate of the top pick who will also be stepping straight up to 1 ?m from a mile. She is peaking at the right time and will be ready to show some good form now. Each way. OUR SHOCKS (1) is a lightly tried and locally trained 7-year-old gelding. He was runner-up at Tauranga 11 days in his first run over a middle-distance, and he is nicely poised to go one better here. KHANDO (5) has turned a corner in her last 3 starts. She benefits from a 7lbs claim and should figure in the finish again. Each way. MAGEE (4) may never win a race, and may try to lead this field with the aid of a 9lbs claim. He gets one more chance from us. Include in all combinations.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Second-up. First start 9th of 12 at Ruakaka 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 18 over 7f, 12 len behind Soberana with 122lbs at $10. Went for a spell before returning 6th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 5 over 1m, 6 len behind Shamwari with 122lbs at $16.70. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer. 1st Pick 9 Honor Mission Jockey: Vinnie Colgan Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Vinnie Colgan T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	87	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First start 9th of 12 at Ruakaka 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 18 over 7f, 12 len behind Soberana with 122lbs at $10. Went for a spell before returning 6th of 11 at New Plymouth Raceway on November 5 over 1m, 6 len behind Shamwari with 122lbs at $16.70. Rates highly and expected to finish much closer.
10	Third race start today. At debut, 7th of 13 at Tauranga on October 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Intoxicated carrying 125lbs at $10.70. Last start 10th of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Protheatrics carrying 127lbs at $11.30. Key chance expected to feature. 2nd Pick 10 Show Diamonds Jockey: Masahiro Hashizume Trainer: Roger James & Robert Wellwood J: Masahiro Hashizume T: Roger James & Robert Wellwood	106	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Third race start today. At debut, 7th of 13 at Tauranga on October 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Intoxicated carrying 125lbs at $10.70. Last start 10th of 15 at Avondale on November 6 over 1m, on a slow track, 7 len behind Protheatrics carrying 127lbs at $11.30. Key chance expected to feature.
1	Last start 2nd of 9 at Tauranga on November 15 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.3 len behind Zacabasso carrying 129lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 14 at this track on November 11 over 1m, slow going 1.3 len behind Regal Wings carrying 129lbs at $27.70. Made headway last time. Top chance. 3rd Pick 1 Our Shocks Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: Gavin Opie J: Warren Kennedy T: Gavin Opie	143	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Last start 2nd of 9 at Tauranga on November 15 over 1 5/16m, slow going 1.3 len behind Zacabasso carrying 129lbs at $5. Before that 5th of 14 at this track on November 11 over 1m, slow going 1.3 len behind Regal Wings carrying 129lbs at $27.70. Made headway last time. Top chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).