NZ - Te Aroha - Race 10

Thoroughbred

20 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

23.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ELLE MCFAB (6) fought on gamely at Te Rapa just over 3 weeks ago, and she has a slightly better gate this time. She is more than capable of taking this out. SHUFFLE THE PACK (12) needed her resuming run at Taupo on a testing heavy track, and she will have Michael McNab replacing an apprentice this time. A wide gate makes it tougher, but she can improve enough to figure in the top 3 here. YOKOZUNA (2) did not quite round of his finish at Ruakaka last time out, but it was an improved effort. He is worth another chance. GOLDEN POINT (1) can make the most of his good draw early on, and his last start third at this level was very good after winning comfortably at Avondale when clearing his maiden status in the middle of July. Stick with him. OCEAN ROAD (4) failed to fire last start when not given much hope off a tricky gate by a 9lbs claiming apprentice. He cops another nasty gate here, but is well worth another chance, especially if the track is heavy.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 8 over 1m, in the wet, 3 len behind Vito with 126lbs at $6.40. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 14 at Avondale on July 15 over 1m, in the wet, 10 len behind Final Reason with 127lbs at $6.60. Is good enough to win this. 1st Pick 6 Elle Mcfab Jockey: Warren Kennedy Trainer: David Greene J: Warren Kennedy T: David Greene	112	-	-	-	15%
Analysis At the latest run crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 13 at Te Rapa on August 8 over 1m, in the wet, 3 len behind Vito with 126lbs at $6.40. The start before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 9th of 14 at Avondale on July 15 over 1m, in the wet, 10 len behind Final Reason with 127lbs at $6.60. Is good enough to win this.
12	Second-up. First-up after three months 5th of 10 at Taupo on August 16 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Empirical carrying 121lbs at $8.70. Previously second-up scored a big 3 len win at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f in heavy going defeating Saltburn with 125lbs at $3.40. top 4 player in this line up. 2nd Pick 12 Shuffle The Pack Jockey: Michael Mcnab Trainer: Ralph Manning J: Michael Mcnab T: Ralph Manning	128	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 5th of 10 at Taupo on August 16 over 6f, on a wet track, 4 len behind Empirical carrying 121lbs at $8.70. Previously second-up scored a big 3 len win at Arawa Park on April 22 over 7f in heavy going defeating Saltburn with 125lbs at $3.40. top 4 player in this line up.
2	Most recently 4th of 12 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Chicago Dream carrying 123lbs at $8.80. Before that 9th of 12 at Ruakaka on July 18 over 7f, 7 len behind Miss Seth carrying 131lbs at $8. Can turn things around. 3rd Pick 2 Yokozuna Jockey: Kyle Wilson-Taylor Trainer: Donna Logan J: Kyle Wilson-Taylor T: Donna Logan	97	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Most recently 4th of 12 at Ruakaka on August 15 over 7f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Chicago Dream carrying 123lbs at $8.80. Before that 9th of 12 at Ruakaka on July 18 over 7f, 7 len behind Miss Seth carrying 131lbs at $8. Can turn things around.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Daily Double

A wager on two consecutive races on the card where bettors have to pick both winners.

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A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.