NZ - Te Aroha - Race 1

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

15.4f

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

MY MAEBELLINE GIRL (11) is making her jumping debut, and she has won both of her jumping trials this month. She is a free goer who can run this field ragged if she jumps safely. On top. LAE ZEE (10) makes her jumps debut off the back of a recent trial win over hurdles. She beat a modest field fresh up at Matamata just over 6 weeks ago, and she will be hard to beat in this. RED NED (1) was runner-up in this role in a better field at Whanganui last time out, and his first jumping win is not far away. Each way. ALMALANE (5) will be well schooled for his jumping debut, and he might improve with further experience in this role, but he can still figure in the top 4.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
11	Last run led throughout and just faded finished third of 9 starters at Hawera on May 17 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 10 len behind Affordable carrying 148lbs at $6.40. The start before that, raced on the pace before fading to run last at Te Rapa on April 25 over 1 ½m, slow track, 28 len behind Perfectmanz with 118lbs at $5.80. Sure to make her presence felt. 1st Pick 11 My Maebelline Girl Jockey: Jay Kozaczek Trainer: Kylie Little J: Jay Kozaczek T: Kylie Little	138	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Last run led throughout and just faded finished third of 9 starters at Hawera on May 17 over 1 5/16m, slow track, 10 len behind Affordable carrying 148lbs at $6.40. The start before that, raced on the pace before fading to run last at Te Rapa on April 25 over 1 ½m, slow track, 28 len behind Perfectmanz with 118lbs at $5.80. Sure to make her presence felt.
10	Racing second-up today. Freshened for 47 days. First-up after five months won by a nose Matamata on April 15 over 6f on heavy going defeating Cast Of Diamonds carrying 115lbs at $12.30. Previously second-up finished ninth of 13 starters at Taupo on October 10 over 1 ¼m, on slow going 9 len behind Tukituki with 126lbs at $24.80. Expect she has been well-educated and can bring that form to this new discipline. 2nd Pick 10 Lae Zee Jockey: S Karnicnik Trainer: Simon Rees J: S Karnicnik T: Simon Rees	105	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Racing second-up today. Freshened for 47 days. First-up after five months won by a nose Matamata on April 15 over 6f on heavy going defeating Cast Of Diamonds carrying 115lbs at $12.30. Previously second-up finished ninth of 13 starters at Taupo on October 10 over 1 ¼m, on slow going 9 len behind Tukituki with 126lbs at $24.80. Expect she has been well-educated and can bring that form to this new discipline.
1	Last start finished second of 11 starters at Wanganui on May 10 over 1m, slow track, 6 len behind Never Look Back carrying 143lbs at $5.50. Race before finished fifth of 13 starters at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, slow track, 4 len behind Lord Spencer with 143lbs at $9.80. Capable of better showing. Looks very hard to beat. 3rd Pick 1 Red Ned Jockey: Billy Marshall Trainer: John Wheeler J: Billy Marshall T: John Wheeler	78	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Last start finished second of 11 starters at Wanganui on May 10 over 1m, slow track, 6 len behind Never Look Back carrying 143lbs at $5.50. Race before finished fifth of 13 starters at Woodville on April 29 over 1m, slow track, 4 len behind Lord Spencer with 143lbs at $9.80. Capable of better showing. Looks very hard to beat.

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A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

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