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11:34 PM

NZ - Te Aroha - Race 1

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
15.4f
Unknown
Turf
HEAVY 10
11.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MOBILIZED (8) will be making his hurdle debut after some good form on the flat. He has been well schooled, and was a narrow runner-up in a recent jumping trial at Cambridge. Hard to beat. CARIGNAN (2) has struggled to win another race, and has been placed in all of his 3 jumping starts to date. He has top 3 claims again. CHESTER BOY (14) has jumped cautiously in both of his hurdling starts, but the money has been there for him, and he is open to rapid improvement in this. Stick with him. KEEN ON BUBBLES (12) is on debut over the hurdles, and she is sure to be well educated in this role. Follow any positive market moves. COCKTAIL LAD (13) has yet to fire in 2 starts over the hurdles, but he has enough pace on the flat, that if he can improve his jumping, he would be a big threat in this.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
8
Mobilized silk

Recent form hard to fault. Last start finished second of 10 starters at this track on July 5 over 1m, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Star Warrior carrying 149lbs at $3.60. The run before favourite, won by a head this track on June 21 over 1m in the wet defeating Kay's Ruebe with 125lbs at $2.50. Found his best form now. One of the main hopes.

1st Pick
8

Mobilized

Jockey: Hamish Mc Neill

Trainer: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy

J: Hamish Mc Neill

T: Shaun & Emma Clotworthy

75---23%7/2

Analysis

Recent form hard to fault. Last start finished second of 10 starters at this track on July 5 over 1m, in the wet, 2.25 len behind Star Warrior carrying 149lbs at $3.60. The run before favourite, won by a head this track on June 21 over 1m in the wet defeating Kay's Ruebe with 125lbs at $2.50. Found his best form now. One of the main hopes.

2
Carignan silk

Racing well. Last run finished third of 10 runners at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 5 len behind Little Thief carrying 150lbs at $3.20. The start before that, finished third of 9 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 1/16m, on heavy track, 6 len behind Affordable with 148lbs at $4.40. Definite winning chance. Ideally placed return to winning form.

2nd Pick
2

Carignan

Jockey: Jay Kozaczek

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Jay Kozaczek

T: Kevin Myers

91---17%5/1

Analysis

Racing well. Last run finished third of 10 runners at Woodville on July 12 over 1m, on heavy track, 5 len behind Little Thief carrying 150lbs at $3.20. The start before that, finished third of 9 starters at Trentham on July 2 over 1/16m, on heavy track, 6 len behind Affordable with 148lbs at $4.40. Definite winning chance. Ideally placed return to winning form.

14
Chester Boy silk

Last outing finished eighth of 9 runners at Trentham on July 2 over 1/16m, on a wet track, 34 len behind Affordable with 143lbs at $5.80. Run before pulled up at Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ¾m. He is capable of a top 4 finish in this.

3rd Pick
14

Chester Boy

Jockey: Unknown Jockey

Trainer: John Wheeler

J: Unknown Jockey

T: John Wheeler

75---15%6/1

Analysis

Last outing finished eighth of 9 runners at Trentham on July 2 over 1/16m, on a wet track, 34 len behind Affordable with 143lbs at $5.80. Run before pulled up at Te Rapa on June 13 over 1 ¾m. He is capable of a top 4 finish in this.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.