NZ - Phar Lap - Race 8

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

14.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

COGNOSCENTI (2) fought on gamely despite needing the run here fresh up just over a fortnight ago, finishing runner-up by a couple of lengths. He generally improves quickly with racing, and if he is not already wanting more ground than 1m, then he can turn the tables on the second pick in this. O'RIORDAN (3) was well-rated outside the pace when beating the top pick here last start off a brief freshen up. She is still nicely treated at the weights, and can repeat the dose. SMOOTH OPERATOR (1) is a top performer when fit, and he would have taken great benefit from his recent modest effort against the top 2 picks in the same race when resuming from a spell. Expect him to be more competitive this time. WAY OUT WEST (7) was third against most of these last start as the favourite, and she can set the record straight this time, so follow your money. VICTORIAN CHARM (5) has needed racing to get fit, and he is capable of a top 3 finish in this at value.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd in a small field at this track on September 6 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind O'riordan with 120lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 9th of 18 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 1m, 5 len behind Pequot carrying 131lbs at $5.60. Will be hard to beat. 1st Pick 2 Cognoscenti Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	152	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 2nd in a small field at this track on September 6 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind O'riordan with 120lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up 9th of 18 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 1m, 5 len behind Pequot carrying 131lbs at $5.60. Will be hard to beat.
3	Second run back. First-up after two months won by 2 len at this track on September 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Cognoscenti carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up 5th of 18 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Pequot carrying 127lbs at $18.80. Can go on with it here. 2nd Pick 3 O'riordan Jockey: Lisa Allpress Trainer: Stephanie Faulkner J: Lisa Allpress T: Stephanie Faulkner	147	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after two months won by 2 len at this track on September 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Cognoscenti carrying 119lbs at $3.50. Previously second-up 5th of 18 at Riccarton Park on November 8 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Pequot carrying 127lbs at $18.80. Can go on with it here.
1	Second run back. First-up after four months ran last in a small field at this track on September 6 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind O'riordan carrying 128lbs at $8.80. Previously second-up from last on the turn 6th of 8 at this track on September 24 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Natural Momentum carrying 132lbs at $4.70. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 3rd Pick 1 Smooth Operator Jockey: Liam Kauri Trainer: Stephanie Faulkner J: Liam Kauri T: Stephanie Faulkner	103	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months ran last in a small field at this track on September 6 over 1m, slow going 9 len behind O'riordan carrying 128lbs at $8.80. Previously second-up from last on the turn 6th of 8 at this track on September 24 over 1m, slow going 3.5 len behind Natural Momentum carrying 132lbs at $4.70. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.