NZ - Phar Lap - Race 6

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

10.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

ONE TRUE KING (3) needed the run fresh up at Riccarton when well found in the market, but the heavy track that day was no help at all. He cops a wide gate, but will strip fitter, and he should finish a lot closer this time, if not win. FAST IMPACT (1) made the most of a positive ride early when gripping on for a game nose win at Wingatui nearly 3 weeks ago. He will still be on the up with his fitness, and should hold his form now that he has broken through. KESSEY (5) built nicely to an impressive win on the Riccarton poly track 4 weeks ago over 1 ?m. Dropping back to 1m is a query for us, but she still needs to be included in all top 4 combos. DUJOUR (11) made ground again last time out on this track and finished a solid third. Her bad luck with the barrier draws continues here, but she is still worth including in all combos. NEW BEGINNING (10) won't lack fitness after racing on the poly track at Riccarton through the winter, and she is also worth top 4 consideration.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Second-up. First-up after six months 10th of 12 at Riccarton Park on August 29 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Beaver Fever carrying 129lbs at $5.10. Previously second-up ran last of 14 in the G2 Waikato Guineas at Te Rapa on February 7 over 1 ¼m, 15 len behind Autumn Glory with 126lbs at $34.70. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 1st Pick 3 One True King Jockey: Hayley Hassman Trainer: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson J: Hayley Hassman T: Mark Walker & Sam Bergerson	126	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 10th of 12 at Riccarton Park on August 29 over 7f, on rain affected going, 7 len behind Beaver Fever carrying 129lbs at $5.10. Previously second-up ran last of 14 in the G2 Waikato Guineas at Te Rapa on February 7 over 1 ¼m, 15 len behind Autumn Glory with 126lbs at $34.70. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.
1	At the latest run won by a 0.1 len at Wingatui on September 4 over 1m in the wet defeating Valstar carrying 129lbs at $3.90. Before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 11 at Oamaru on August 14 over 7f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Big Exit with 129lbs at $5.30. Can go back-to-back. 2nd Pick 1 Fast Impact Jockey: Akshay Balloo Trainer: Bridget Woodsford J: Akshay Balloo T: Bridget Woodsford	125	-	-	-	7%
Analysis At the latest run won by a 0.1 len at Wingatui on September 4 over 1m in the wet defeating Valstar carrying 129lbs at $3.90. Before that raced on the speed throughout before fading 8th of 11 at Oamaru on August 14 over 7f, on heavy track, 8 len behind Big Exit with 129lbs at $5.30. Can go back-to-back.
5	Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 1.4 len at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m defeating Gap It carrying 125lbs at $2. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 5 over 1m, 0.3 len behind Aviva with 125lbs at $5.20. Sure to be in the finish again. 3rd Pick 5 Kessey Jockey: Terry Moseley Trainer: Pam Robson J: Terry Moseley T: Pam Robson	80	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start favourite, won by 1.4 len at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 26 over 1m defeating Gap It carrying 125lbs at $2. The race before that 2nd in a small field at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 5 over 1m, 0.3 len behind Aviva with 125lbs at $5.20. Sure to be in the finish again.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.