NZ - Phar Lap - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

10.7K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

SAILOR SAM (1) proved himself to be a lot stronger this season when leading all the way to score fresh up by well over 4 lengths. Now that the penny has dropped, he can take the net step immediately. HONOR MISSION (9) has hit the line hard in each of his 2 starts since being bought out of the North Island at the start of the season. She is looking for more ground than a mile, but she can have the last say here. THE COOL ONE (4) will be peaking third up from a spell, and the step up from 6f to 1m is ideal. Expect him to race on the pace, and be among the hardest to beat. GOTA HUNCH (3) finished near the rear of the field last time out, but was only a length from the winner over 7f at Riccarton-synthetic nearly a fortnight ago, and getting back to 1m will suit him. If he gets any sort of run from a nasty gate, then he is well worth keeping safe in any top 4 combos. SHOOTING STRIDE (10) has turned a corner in his last couple of starts, so stick with him.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Second-up. First-up after five months scored a big 4.5 len win at this track on September 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Zashubo with 129lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up ran second last of 10 at Kurow on December 30 over 7f, slow going 17 len behind Pure Jewel carrying 126lbs at $28. Only needs to hold that form to be winning again. Back in great shape and will be tough to beat. 1st Pick 1 Sailor Sam Jockey: Triston Moodley Trainer: Kenny Rae J: Triston Moodley T: Kenny Rae	115	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months scored a big 4.5 len win at this track on September 6 over 1m in soft going defeating Zashubo with 129lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up ran second last of 10 at Kurow on December 30 over 7f, slow going 17 len behind Pure Jewel carrying 126lbs at $28. Only needs to hold that form to be winning again. Back in great shape and will be tough to beat.
9	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 14 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 5 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Elegant Explosive with 128lbs at $5.40. Second run from a spell got back early 4th of 8 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Private Treaty with 120lbs at $9.30. Can go on with the job now. 2nd Pick 9 Honor Mission Jockey: Kendra Bakker Trainer: Lance Robinson J: Kendra Bakker T: Lance Robinson	82	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 6th of 14 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on August 5 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Elegant Explosive with 128lbs at $5.40. Second run from a spell got back early 4th of 8 at Riccarton Park Synthetic on September 10 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Private Treaty with 120lbs at $9.30. Can go on with the job now.
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 12 at Oamaru on August 14 over 6f, on a wet track, 8 len behind Smiling Eyes with 130lbs at $6.80. Last start 5th of 8 at Wingatui on September 4 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Hollyhockaroo carrying 130lbs at $7.10. Look for a much better performance. 3rd Pick 4 The Cool One Jockey: Corey Campbell Trainer: Robert Dennis J: Corey Campbell T: Robert Dennis	88	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 12 at Oamaru on August 14 over 6f, on a wet track, 8 len behind Smiling Eyes with 130lbs at $6.80. Last start 5th of 8 at Wingatui on September 4 over 6f, on heavy track, 6 len behind Hollyhockaroo carrying 130lbs at $7.10. Look for a much better performance.

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