AU - Strathalbyn - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

6.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

FRONTPOINT (6) put a clear marker on this race when winning at this track by five and a half lengths last start, beating Enciphering after being well-found in betting. That was his best recent figure and he keeps the successful rider combination, so he sets the standard if he holds that level. THEBIGSOSSO (1) is the strongest danger after resuming with a sound third at Gawler, beaten two and a half lengths, and his record around 6 ¾f is clearly superior to most of these. ATOMIC TIME (2) has the quick turnaround, a 4lbs claim and a recent maiden win over Pretty Morsel in his favour, with his Class 1 sixth last week good enough to keep him in the winning mix if he settles better. FOREVER WAITING (3) knuckled down strongly when finished 1.5 lengths from the winner at Penola. Worth including again. REFRESHING (10) comes through a BM64 at Halidon where she was only beaten just under two lengths at big odds, and the quick back-up gives her a genuine each-way chance.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Powered away to win by five and a half lengths at this track last start, making full use of the soft ground and beating Enciphering in decisive style after sitting near the top of betting. The run prior at Balaklava was better than fifth reads after he covered ground and still made some late headway. Brings the sharpest recent win and looks the one to beat. 1st Pick 6 Frontpoint Jockey: Stephy Wright Trainer: Jarrod Lynch J: Stephy Wright T: Jarrod Lynch	101	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Powered away to win by five and a half lengths at this track last start, making full use of the soft ground and beating Enciphering in decisive style after sitting near the top of betting. The run prior at Balaklava was better than fifth reads after he covered ground and still made some late headway. Brings the sharpest recent win and looks the one to beat.
1	Resumed with a solid third at Gawler, settling back before working home evenly to be beaten two and a half lengths by Trantoro in a race where he was near the top of an open market. His previous run came in BM70 grade at Murray Bdge and was poor, but this is much more suitable. Big weight is offset by the claim, so he rates a strong danger. 2nd Pick 1 Thebigsosso Jockey: Ashlee Stone Trainer: Luke O'connor J: Ashlee Stone T: Luke O'connor	135	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Resumed with a solid third at Gawler, settling back before working home evenly to be beaten two and a half lengths by Trantoro in a race where he was near the top of an open market. His previous run came in BM70 grade at Murray Bdge and was poor, but this is much more suitable. Big weight is offset by the claim, so he rates a strong danger.
10	Improved sharply when fifth in a BM64 at Halidon, beaten just under two lengths by Purfect Line at big odds after travelling behind the leaders and keeping on. That was a far better effort than her last at Balaklava over 5 ¼f the run before. Grade relief and wet-track wins make her a genuine chance. 3rd Pick 10 Refreshing Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: Grant Young J: Stacey Metcalfe T: Grant Young	97	-	-	-	6%	16/1
Analysis Improved sharply when fifth in a BM64 at Halidon, beaten just under two lengths by Purfect Line at big odds after travelling behind the leaders and keeping on. That was a far better effort than her last at Balaklava over 5 ¼f the run before. Grade relief and wet-track wins make her a genuine chance.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.