AU - Strathalbyn - Race 6

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Unknown

Turf

SOFT 5

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

AFFAIRE VUE (8) brings the strongest recent profile, with two wins this campaign before a sound fifth in a BM64 at Morphettville where she led and was only beaten two lengths. Her record at this track and around the mile is a clear advantage, and Todd Pannell going back aboard strengthens the case. This is well within her grasp. YOROKOBI (7) is the main threat off a solid season, having gone close at Balaklava before a fair fifth over 1 ¼m in Saturday company, and he handles wet ground well enough for these conditions. Include. EXTRA CHILL (12) has been below market expectations at her past two, but her Strathalbyn and 1m record keeps her firmly in the mix if she jumps well. BIG RITA JUNE (10) solid Morphettville third in Class 1 company last start and has won at this track, though the mile remains the query. Include.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Was far from disgraced when fifth in a BM64 at Morphettville, beaten two lengths after leading and only tiring late in Saturday company. She had been a well-supported favourite winning an FM BM58 at Gawler prior, beating Shalhavmusik, and her profile is strengthened by a win at this track and a proven 1m record. Looks the one they have to beat. 1st Pick 8 Affaire Vue Jockey: Todd Pannell Trainer: John Macmillan J: Todd Pannell T: John Macmillan	130	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Was far from disgraced when fifth in a BM64 at Morphettville, beaten two lengths after leading and only tiring late in Saturday company. She had been a well-supported favourite winning an FM BM58 at Gawler prior, beating Shalhavmusik, and her profile is strengthened by a win at this track and a proven 1m record. Looks the one they have to beat.
7	Was only fair when fifth in a BM62 at Morphettville over 1 ¼m, beaten four lengths in Saturday company, but the easier setting and return to 1m look more suitable. He had gone within just over half a length at Balaklava the run prior despite blundering on jumping, and his wet-track and distance records are both sound. Strong winning hope. 2nd Pick 7 Yorokobi Jockey: Austin Galati Trainer: Indianna Weinert J: Austin Galati T: Indianna Weinert	152	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Was only fair when fifth in a BM62 at Morphettville over 1 ¼m, beaten four lengths in Saturday company, but the easier setting and return to 1m look more suitable. He had gone within just over half a length at Balaklava the run prior despite blundering on jumping, and his wet-track and distance records are both sound. Strong winning hope.
12	Disappointed as favourite when sixth in a Class 1 at Gawler over 1 5/16m, but she began slowly, was hampered and laid out around the home turn. Her prior BM64 seventh at Morphettville was better than it reads, beaten just under three lengths from well back. Strong chance if she begins cleanly. 3rd Pick 12 Extra Chill Jockey: Kayla Crowther Trainer: Jake Stephens J: Kayla Crowther T: Jake Stephens	105	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Disappointed as favourite when sixth in a Class 1 at Gawler over 1 5/16m, but she began slowly, was hampered and laid out around the home turn. Her prior BM64 seventh at Morphettville was better than it reads, beaten just under three lengths from well back. Strong chance if she begins cleanly.

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