AU - Strathalbyn - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

17.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG MAV (1) is the obvious danger after being beaten just under a length as favourite here on soft ground, and his two wins and two placings from five starts at this track and distance read strongly for this setup. Fitter and look for a big run. KORATORA (6) is knocking on the door after a neck second at Jamestown and has the wet-track record to stay in the argument, though she now rises from picnic grade into a stronger meeting. ZENACITY (4) improved to run third at this venue last start, gets weight relief, and her one win and two placings from three attempts at this track and distance make her a genuine place chance if she builds again. SPORTS CHOICE (11) is in the mix after consecutive seconds, the latest beaten half a length in a BM52 at Manangatang, and that recent consistency gives her a chance despite coming into harder company.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Resumed with a solid second at this track, beaten just under a length by Sacred Chord on soft ground after being sent out favourite. His record at this track and distance is a major positive, with two wins and two placings from five attempts, and the Balaklava trial since adds a little fitness context. The beaten-favourite tag is the query, but he is a key winning hope. 1st Pick 1 Big Mav Jockey: Brooke King Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Brooke King T: Sarah Rutten	156	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resumed with a solid second at this track, beaten just under a length by Sacred Chord on soft ground after being sent out favourite. His record at this track and distance is a major positive, with two wins and two placings from five attempts, and the Balaklava trial since adds a little fitness context. The beaten-favourite tag is the query, but he is a key winning hope.
6	Comes off a narrow second at Jamestown, beaten a neck by I'm Kenny in picnic grade after being near the top of betting. The move into harder company is the main class factor, but she had earlier placed at Balaklava and has been holding her form through the campaign. Harder company is the test, but wet-track credentials keep her right in this. 2nd Pick 6 Koratora Jockey: Alyssa Webb Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Alyssa Webb T: Travis Doudle	121	-	-	-	80%	1/4
Analysis Comes off a narrow second at Jamestown, beaten a neck by I'm Kenny in picnic grade after being near the top of betting. The move into harder company is the main class factor, but she had earlier placed at Balaklava and has been holding her form through the campaign. Harder company is the test, but wet-track credentials keep her right in this.
4	Worked back into form with a third at this track on soft ground, beaten just under four lengths by Bonfire Girl after moving into the race but not lifting late. Two back she was well beaten in a BM66 at Balaklava after a slow start, so the latest run was the better guide. Proven at this track and distance, so she is a genuine place hope. 3rd Pick 4 Zenacity Jockey: Rose Hammond Trainer: Claudette Rose J: Rose Hammond T: Claudette Rose	135	-	-	-	6%	18/1
Analysis Worked back into form with a third at this track on soft ground, beaten just under four lengths by Bonfire Girl after moving into the race but not lifting late. Two back she was well beaten in a BM66 at Balaklava after a slow start, so the latest run was the better guide. Proven at this track and distance, so she is a genuine place hope.

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