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Resulted

AU - Strathalbyn - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
17.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JUST COMET (6) brings the most persuasive recent form, beaten just over half a length at Gawler last start after placing at this track the run prior. She has already placed once at this distance range and has held her form through seven starts without quite breaking through. Gets her chance. DON'T SAY DO (4) went within a nose of winning at Jamestown and gets a 4lbs apprentice claim, though she now has to transfer that picnic-level near miss into harder company. Can contest. ASHEN GLOW (1) was safely held fresh at Mt Gambier but has BM68 form in the background and has placed at this distance. In the mix. REGAL TIME (9) is on the quick back-up and did close off at Balaklava. The apprentice claim helps and is worth throwing in for a value bet. INTIMUS (11) both rides with Teagan Voorham have produced placings. in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Just Comet silk

Comes through the strongest recent line, finishing fourth at Gawler over 7f on soft ground, beaten just over half a length after beginning slowly. She had earlier placed at this venue when well found in betting and has already finished ahead of Don't Say Do in that form reference. Consistent, suited on soft ground and clearly the one to beat.

1st Pick
6

Just Comet

Jockey: Andrew Stead

Trainer: Shayne & Chelsea Cahill

J: Andrew Stead

T: Shayne & Chelsea Cahill

151---15%

Analysis

Comes through the strongest recent line, finishing fourth at Gawler over 7f on soft ground, beaten just over half a length after beginning slowly. She had earlier placed at this venue when well found in betting and has already finished ahead of Don't Say Do in that form reference. Consistent, suited on soft ground and clearly the one to beat.

4
Don't Say Do silk

Went within a nose of Kryal Castle at Jamestown last start after being sent out favourite, a clear step forward on her fifth at this track the run before. This is harder company than that picnic placing, and she has still not won in 13 starts, but five career placings show she keeps giving herself a chance. Harder task now, but her consistency keeps her right in this.

2nd Pick
4

Don't Say Do

Jockey: Jessica Booth

Trainer: Stephen Theodore

J: Jessica Booth

T: Stephen Theodore

105---8%

Analysis

Went within a nose of Kryal Castle at Jamestown last start after being sent out favourite, a clear step forward on her fifth at this track the run before. This is harder company than that picnic placing, and she has still not won in 13 starts, but five career placings show she keeps giving herself a chance. Harder task now, but her consistency keeps her right in this.

1
Ashen Glow silk

Resumed with a fifth at Mt Gambier over 6f, beaten just under five lengths on soft ground after tracking the speed and failing to go on. That country run is followed by a harder assignment, but he had previously been contesting a BM68 at Alice Springs and this distance range has produced one placing from two attempts. The 12-start maiden record tempers confidence, but he rates among the chances.

3rd Pick
1

Ashen Glow

Jockey: Campbell Rawiller

Trainer: Sue & Jason Jaensch

J: Campbell Rawiller

T: Sue & Jason Jaensch

75---13%

Analysis

Resumed with a fifth at Mt Gambier over 6f, beaten just under five lengths on soft ground after tracking the speed and failing to go on. That country run is followed by a harder assignment, but he had previously been contesting a BM68 at Alice Springs and this distance range has produced one placing from two attempts. The 12-start maiden record tempers confidence, but he rates among the chances.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.