AU - Port Lincoln - Race 8

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

16.2K

VIEW

Verdict

STRAWBERRY SWING (5) dug deep to score here two back, then went close to making two on the bounce last start in this grade at Clare. Gets in well with the claim and is drawn favourably. Looks the one to beat. SPIRITUAL GAL (6) was nabbed on the line last start by Strawberry Swing. Gets weight off but still meets the winner worse because of the apprentice going on. Tough ask to turn the tables but will push forward and give herself every chance to do so. PRESCIENT (2) got things back on track last time at Clare when battling on gamely into second after leading them up. Peak fitness now and has enough dash to offset the wide alley. SETTEVELI (1) resumes from a short break and has won fresh before. Murtaghs booking signals stable confidence, so worth keeping in mind.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Clare F&M 0-56 on February 13 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Sha Na Na carrying 132lbs at $5.50. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.9 len at this track 0-54 January 23 over 5f defeating Spiritual Gal carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Expected to be very competitive. 1st Pick 5 Strawberry Swing Jockey: Isaac Sit Trainer: Jackie Stoetzer J: Isaac Sit T: Jackie Stoetzer	135	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Clare F&M 0-56 on February 13 over 5 ½f, 0.9 len behind Sha Na Na carrying 132lbs at $5.50. The run before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.9 len at this track 0-54 January 23 over 5f defeating Spiritual Gal carrying 128lbs at $3.80. Expected to be very competitive.
6	Comes off a 33 day let-up. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 12 at this track 0-54 on January 23 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Strawberry Swing carrying 126lbs at $15. Before that struggled in the run home, 8th of 10 at this track 0-56 on December 31 over 5f, 7 len behind The Gov carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort. 2nd Pick 6 Spiritual Gal Jockey: Jade Doyle Trainer: Trent & Laura Allen J: Jade Doyle T: Trent & Laura Allen	90	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Comes off a 33 day let-up. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 12 at this track 0-54 on January 23 over 5f, 0.9 len behind Strawberry Swing carrying 126lbs at $15. Before that struggled in the run home, 8th of 10 at this track 0-56 on December 31 over 5f, 7 len behind The Gov carrying 121lbs at $4.40. Big chance with a repeat of the latest effort.
2	Last start led but faded 2nd of 11 at Clare 0-54 on February 13 over 6f, 3 len behind Mr Jones with 131lbs at $8. The race before that couldn't go on with it, 10th of 12 at this track 0-56 on January 23 over 6f, 8 len behind Chef Militaire with 131lbs at $9. Can improve again. High among the list of chances. 3rd Pick 2 Prescient Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: J Branford & H Dorward J: Stacey Metcalfe T: J Branford & H Dorward	79	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Last start led but faded 2nd of 11 at Clare 0-54 on February 13 over 6f, 3 len behind Mr Jones with 131lbs at $8. The race before that couldn't go on with it, 10th of 12 at this track 0-56 on January 23 over 6f, 8 len behind Chef Militaire with 131lbs at $9. Can improve again. High among the list of chances.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.