AU - Port Lincoln - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

14.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Wide open. COSTLESS (1) has been going well and has the ratings to beat these. Fourth in town two back then raced on speed from a wide gate in the south-east and scored an impressive win. Tricky gate but with the majority here getting back can slide across and give a sight again. SASSY ANGEL (12) was outclassed in town two back then just missed behind Shuttle Run at Clare. That galloper and the third placegetter are in race six. Peaks for this and will be winding up late again. STAR VALOUR (6) resumed from almost a year off with a win at Lock. Will surely be fitter for it and returns to home track. Have to include again. LION'S INSTINCT (7) was a fresh-up winner at Clare and has scope for more. Drawn for a soft run and will charge late. HE'S ABEL (9) was thereabouts at Lock but will strip much fitter. Has a poor second-up record but is very well weighted in this with the claim and knows his way around this circuit.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Recent form sound. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.75 len at Bordertown 0-54 November 14 over 5 ½f defeating Peperoncino carrying 132lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 15 at Morphettville 0-56 on November 4 over 5 ¼f, slow going 2 len behind Heaven Rocks carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Big winner in the south-east latest and can give a sight again here. 1st Pick 1 Costless Jockey: Stacey Metcalfe Trainer: Garret Lynch J: Stacey Metcalfe T: Garret Lynch	209	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 2.75 len at Bordertown 0-54 November 14 over 5 ½f defeating Peperoncino carrying 132lbs at $7. The run before that 4th of 15 at Morphettville 0-56 on November 4 over 5 ¼f, slow going 2 len behind Heaven Rocks carrying 126lbs at $7.50. Big winner in the south-east latest and can give a sight again here.
12	Third-up today. Resuming second last of 11 at Morphettville Parks 0-56 on October 10 over 5f, 8 len behind Sundogg carrying 121lbs at $71. Second-up 2nd of 11 at Clare 0-54 on October 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, neck behind Shuttle Run with 115lbs at $13. Racing well. Just missed last time and should be winding up late. 2nd Pick 12 Sassy Angel Jockey: Dylan Caboche Trainer: Waylon Hornhardt J: Dylan Caboche T: Waylon Hornhardt	73	-	-	-	3%	33/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming second last of 11 at Morphettville Parks 0-56 on October 10 over 5f, 8 len behind Sundogg carrying 121lbs at $71. Second-up 2nd of 11 at Clare 0-54 on October 26 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, neck behind Shuttle Run with 115lbs at $13. Racing well. Just missed last time and should be winding up late.
6	Second run back. First-up after 11 months won by 1.75 len at Lock Cl1 November 5 over 5f defeating Hawson with 129lbs at $6. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 29 2024 over 6f, 3 len behind Geeijo with 128lbs at $5.50. Likely to come on from that run and expected to go close back at home. 3rd Pick 6 Star Valour Jockey: Caitlyn Munro Trainer: Simon Drewitt J: Caitlyn Munro T: Simon Drewitt	98	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after 11 months won by 1.75 len at Lock Cl1 November 5 over 5f defeating Hawson with 129lbs at $6. Previously second-up 4th of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on September 29 2024 over 6f, 3 len behind Geeijo with 128lbs at $5.50. Likely to come on from that run and expected to go close back at home.

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A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

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A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.