AU - Port Lincoln - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

16.2K

VIEW

Verdict

TRIPOD TERROR (1) hasn't won for nearly a year but is knocking on the door. Comes through strong form races and caught the eye again last start when flashing home to miss by a lip. This looks easier and should be his for the taking. RENEGADE CHIEF (2) got off the mark here at the latest - stalking the early speed before pouncing on them. Doesn't lose anything in the saddle with Milnes taking over and draws well again. Biggest threat. GRECIAN STORM (5) went forward and kept finding when challenged, digging deep to score by half a length. Has enough pace to offset the wide draw and can keep the ball rolling. GAME OVER (3) is another last-start maiden winner. Possesses a positive racing pattern and will give himself every chance again on speed.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	At the latest run took up a position near the tail 2nd of 11 at Gawler 0-58 on February 11 over 6f, nose behind Misludi with 131lbs at $4.60. The race before that 5th of 11 at Murray Bridge 0-58 on February 4 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Exalted Kate carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Rates highly and can go on with it. 1st Pick 1 Tripod Terror Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Chris Bieg J: Connor Murtagh T: Chris Bieg	272	-	-	-	84%
Analysis At the latest run took up a position near the tail 2nd of 11 at Gawler 0-58 on February 11 over 6f, nose behind Misludi with 131lbs at $4.60. The race before that 5th of 11 at Murray Bridge 0-58 on February 4 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Exalted Kate carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Rates highly and can go on with it.
2	Form hard to fault. Returns from a 56-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw December 31 over 6f defeating Grecian Storm with 128lbs at $3.50. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 17 over 6 ¾f, 1.3 len behind Power Primo carrying 128lbs at $2.20. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time. 2nd Pick 2 Renegade Chief Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop J: Rochelle Milnes T: John Dunn & Krystal Bishop	82	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Form hard to fault. Returns from a 56-day let-up. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw December 31 over 6f defeating Grecian Storm with 128lbs at $3.50. The start before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 17 over 6 ¾f, 1.3 len behind Power Primo carrying 128lbs at $2.20. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.
5	Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently won by 0.5 len at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw January 23 over 6 ¾f defeating La Petite carrying 120lbs at $4.40. Before that 5th of 10 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 11 over 6 ¾f, 6 len behind Holder Maid with 117lbs at $5. Can make it back-to-back wins. 3rd Pick 5 Grecian Storm Jockey: Anna Jordsjo Trainer: M A White J: Anna Jordsjo T: M A White	78	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Most recently won by 0.5 len at this track 2yo+ Mdn-Sw January 23 over 6 ¾f defeating La Petite carrying 120lbs at $4.40. Before that 5th of 10 at this track 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on January 11 over 6 ¾f, 6 len behind Holder Maid with 117lbs at $5. Can make it back-to-back wins.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.