AU - Penola - Race 8

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 3

12.4K

VIEW

Verdict

BIG MAV (1) powered home from the tail to grab second at Murray Bridge and with a strong record at this trip he shapes as the one to beat. BURNT BY BERNIE (3) went a miss last start at Naracoorte but his form prior stacks right up. Will need some luck from out there but has the ratings to put him in the finish. PINCHBECK (5) didn't fire first up as favourite but is much better than that and steps out over a more suitable distance. With fitness on his side and Milnes back aboard, he's a definite threat. TINY REBEL (6) is mixing his form but can be around the mark with the right run from a favourable draw. ROBERT THE PUSS (9) makes his stable debut for Kylie Schulz. May need the run but he deserves respect.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	At the latest run 2nd of 16 at Murray Bridge 0-56 (App Only) on April 9 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Katim's Club with 128lbs at $6. The start before that 6th of 13 at Strathalbyn 0-58 on March 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Tupoleu with 131lbs at $13. Nice effort last time. Rates highly and expected to go well. 1st Pick 1 Big Mav Jockey: Connor Murtagh Trainer: Sarah Rutten J: Connor Murtagh T: Sarah Rutten	127	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run 2nd of 16 at Murray Bridge 0-56 (App Only) on April 9 over 7f, 2.5 len behind Katim's Club with 128lbs at $6. The start before that 6th of 13 at Strathalbyn 0-58 on March 26 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Tupoleu with 131lbs at $13. Nice effort last time. Rates highly and expected to go well.
3	At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 10 at Naracoorte Bm58 on April 6 over 7f, 22 len behind Tres Belle with 129lbs at $7. The run before that 5th of 11 at Mt Gambier Bm58 on March 21 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Free Beer with 130lbs at $7. Can improve sharply. 2nd Pick 3 Burnt By Bernie Jockey: Teagan Voorham Trainer: Richard Wilson J: Teagan Voorham T: Richard Wilson	139	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 10 at Naracoorte Bm58 on April 6 over 7f, 22 len behind Tres Belle with 129lbs at $7. The run before that 5th of 11 at Mt Gambier Bm58 on March 21 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Free Beer with 130lbs at $7. Can improve sharply.
5	Second-up. First-up after two months 7th of 10 at Naracoorte 0-54 on April 6 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Testa Dexta carrying 131lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up ran last of 14 at Strathalbyn Bm56 on August 28 over 6 ¾f, slow going 68 len behind Dare To Be Free carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Rates highly and should improve sharply. 3rd Pick 5 Pinchbeck Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: James Dodgson J: Rochelle Milnes T: James Dodgson	90	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after two months 7th of 10 at Naracoorte 0-54 on April 6 over 5 ½f, 4.5 len behind Testa Dexta carrying 131lbs at $3.30. Previously second-up ran last of 14 at Strathalbyn Bm56 on August 28 over 6 ¾f, slow going 68 len behind Dare To Be Free carrying 128lbs at $8.50. Rates highly and should improve sharply.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.