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5:00 AM

AU - Penola - Race 4

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
6.5f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 3
12.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FANCY SHOULDER (3) broke through in style over 7 ?f at Naracoorte with Felicity Atkinson aboard and she sticks for the ride which is always a good sign. With confidence on her side, she looks primed to go on with the job. SMASHING ACTION (6) also shed the maiden tag first up over 5 ½f and did it with authority. Lightly raced and still learning, she's got upside and can certainly measure up again. THE BIG WHEEL (2) didn't fire at Strathalbyn but was in the market off a strong fresh performance. Strips fitter and is expected to be a lot more competitive. JAPANESE EMPEROR (1) didn't get into the race when resuming but has room to improve second up as he strikes a more suitable distance range. Don't overlook. DANGEROUS SECRET (8) returns and has run well fresh without winning. Down in the weights and is in the mix.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Fancy Shoulder silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.4 len at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw April 6 over 7f defeating Eagle Moon carrying 123lbs at $2.70. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Silver Lifestyle carrying 119lbs at $11. Expected to go very well again.

1st Pick
3

Fancy Shoulder

Jockey: Felicity Atkinson

Trainer: Chris Bieg

J: Felicity Atkinson

T: Chris Bieg

108---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, won by 1.4 len at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw April 6 over 7f defeating Eagle Moon carrying 123lbs at $2.70. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 14 at Strathalbyn 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 6 ¾f, slow going 2.5 len behind Silver Lifestyle carrying 119lbs at $11. Expected to go very well again.

6
Smashing Action silk

Second run back. First-up after three months favourite, won by 2 len at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw April 6 over 5 ½f defeating Star Gladiator with 121lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Hcp on December 17 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Heavenbent with 121lbs at $3.10. Shapes as a top chance again.

2nd Pick
6

Smashing Action

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Justin Pickering

J: Non Runner

T: Justin Pickering

124---25%3/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after three months favourite, won by 2 len at Naracoorte 3yo+ Mdn-Sw April 6 over 5 ½f defeating Star Gladiator with 121lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Hcp on December 17 over 6 ½f, 1.5 len behind Heavenbent with 121lbs at $3.10. Shapes as a top chance again.

2
The Big Wheel silk

Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 13 at Strathalbyn Cl1 on March 12 over 6f, long-neck behind Rob The Bank with 128lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 11 at Strathalbyn Cl1 on March 26 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Mellifluent with 128lbs at $2.10. Sure to go close.

3rd Pick
2

The Big Wheel

Jockey: Brooke King

Trainer: Scott Irlam

J: Brooke King

T: Scott Irlam

120---23%7/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 13 at Strathalbyn Cl1 on March 12 over 6f, long-neck behind Rob The Bank with 128lbs at $5.50. Second run from a spell 6th of 11 at Strathalbyn Cl1 on March 26 over 6f, slow going 4 len behind Mellifluent with 128lbs at $2.10. Sure to go close.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.